TED2011
Sebastian Thrun: Google's driverless car
Sebastian Thrun: Google 的自動駕駛
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Sebastian Thrun 幫助建構 Google 的神奇的自動駕駛, 始於一個私下願望以保護生命與減少交通事故. 曾贏得 DARPA 挑戰的自動駕駛車, 行駛於繁忙的市區交通, 在無人駕駛的情況下, 令人咋舌的 TED2011 影片顯示未來會是出乎意料的即將來臨.
Sebastian Thrun - Educator, entrepreneur
Sebastian Thrun is a passionate technologist who is constantly looking for new opportunities to make the world better for all of us. Full bio
Sebastian Thrun is a passionate technologist who is constantly looking for new opportunities to make the world better for all of us. Full bio
Double-click the English transcript below to play the video.
00:15
As a boy,
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孩提時
00:17
I loved cars.
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我就愛車
00:19
When I turned 18,
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在我滿18歲時
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I lost my best friend to a car accident.
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我最要好的朋友死於車禍
00:25
Like this.
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就這樣
00:27
And then I decided I'd dedicate my life
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我便決定要將我的人生
00:30
to saving one million people
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致力於挽救每年
00:32
every year.
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一百萬人的生命損失
00:34
Now I haven't succeeded, so this is just a progress report,
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我還沒成功, 所以這次只是個進度報告
00:37
but I'm here to tell you a little bit about self-driving cars.
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今天我要介紹自動駕駛車輛
00:40
I saw the concept first
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構想是來自於
00:42
in the DARPA Grand Challenges
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DARPA 的大挑戰
00:44
where the U.S. government issued a prize
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U.S. 政府提供一個獎項
00:46
to build a self-driving car that could navigate a desert.
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給能於沙漠中完成自動駕駛的團隊
00:49
And even though a hundred teams were there,
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即使有一百多隊參加
00:52
these cars went nowhere.
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但這些車都沒能完成
00:55
So we decided at Stanford to build a different self-driving car.
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因此Standford 決定建構一個不同的自動駕駛車輛
00:58
We built the hardware and the software.
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我們同時構造硬體與軟體
01:01
We made it learn from us,
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我們使它能向人類學習
01:03
and we set it free in the desert.
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我們把它放到沙漠中
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And the unimaginable happened:
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想不到的事發生了:
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it became the first car
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它竟成為第一部
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to ever return from a DARPA Grand Challenge,
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能完成 DARPA 大挑戰的車 --
01:12
winning Stanford 2 million dollars.
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為 Standford 贏得兩百萬美元
01:17
Yet I still hadn't saved a single life.
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但我還沒救到任何一條命
01:20
Since, our work has focused
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一開始, 我們的設計就是
01:23
on building driving cars
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要建構一部車
01:25
that can drive anywhere by themselves --
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能在任何路況作無人駕駛
01:28
any street in California.
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在加州的任何街道上
01:30
We've driven 140,000 miles.
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我們已開了 14萬英哩
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Our cars have sensors
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我們的車有許多感應器
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by which they magically can see
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也就讓車子能看到
01:39
everything around them
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環繞車子四周的任何事物
01:41
and make decisions
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作所有駕駛會遇到的
01:43
about every aspect of driving.
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即時判斷
01:46
It's the perfect driving mechanism.
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堪稱是完美的駕駛機制
01:49
We've driven in cities,
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我們開過市區
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like in San Francisco here.
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像這裡是舊金山
01:53
We've driven from San Francisco to Los Angeles on Highway 1.
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也開上從舊金山到洛杉磯的 1 號高速公路
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We've encountered joggers,
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我們遇到過慢跑者
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busy highways, toll booths,
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繁忙的高速公路，收費站
02:02
and this is without a person in the loop;
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這些都是無人控制的
02:04
the car just drives itself.
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車子自動駕駛
02:06
In fact, while we drove 140,000 miles,
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事實上呢, 這些14 萬英哩的測試
02:09
people didn't even notice.
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也多是無人察覺
02:12
Mountain roads,
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山路
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day and night,
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日與夜
02:17
and even crooked Lombard Street
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甚至是舊金山彎彎曲曲的
02:20
in San Francisco.
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Lombard 街
02:22
(Laughter)
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(笑聲)
02:25
Sometimes our cars get so crazy,
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有時 我們的車會玩瘋了
02:28
they even do little stunts.
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也會做些電影特技駕駛
02:32
(Video) Man: Oh, my God.
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(影片中對白) 甲: 哦! 天啊!
02:36
What?
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什麼?
02:38
Second Man: It's driving itself.
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乙: 是車子自己在開
02:42
Sebastian Thrun: Now I can't get my friend Harold back to life,
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ST: 現在我雖不能救回我朋友 Harold 的命
02:45
but I can do something for all the people who died.
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但我能為死於車禍的人盡些心力
02:47
Do you know that driving accidents
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你們知道嗎: 車禍事故
02:50
are the number one cause of death for young people?
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是年輕人喪命的頭號殺手?
02:53
And do you realize that almost all of those
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還有，你們知道嗎？
02:56
are due to human error
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那幾乎都是由於人為疏失
02:59
and not machine error,
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不是機器過失
03:01
and can therefore be prevented by machines?
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所以由機器來替代人將有可能避免這些事故?
03:05
Do you realize
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你們知道嗎:
03:07
that we could change the capacity of highways
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我們將能把高速公路的車輛容量
03:10
by a factor of two or three
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提高將近二到三倍
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if we didn't rely on human precision
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將車輛開在車道内
03:15
on staying in the lane --
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如果不依賴人為的控制的話
03:17
improve body position
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也就是說藉著自動駕駛能精準控制位置
03:19
and therefore drive a little bit closer together
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大家能開得靠近一些
03:21
on a little bit narrower lanes,
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車道寬度縮減後
03:23
and do away with all traffic jams on highways?
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就能改善高速公路的塞車
03:28
Do you realize that you, TED users,
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TED 來賓, 你們知道嗎？
03:31
spend an average
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大家每天平均花費
03:33
of 52 minutes per day
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52 分鐘
03:35
in traffic,
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在交通中
03:37
wasting your time
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你的時間
03:39
on your daily commute?
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浪費在每天的通勤中
03:42
You could regain this time.
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你可以再取回這些時間
03:44
This is four billion hours
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對國家而言 這些是總共
03:46
wasted in this country alone.
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每年 40 億小時的浪費
03:49
And it's 2.4 billion gallons of gasoline wasted.
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也是 24億加崙的汽油被浪費
03:53
Now I think there's a vision here, a new technology,
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在這裡 我認為可以有個願景 有種新科技
03:56
and I'm really looking forward to a time
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我真的期待會有一天
03:58
when generations after us look back at us
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當我們的後代 再回顧現在的時代
04:00
and say how ridiculous it was that humans were driving cars.
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會說人們竟然需要開車 真是太好笑了
04:03
Thank you.
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謝謝
04:05
(Applause)
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(掌聲)
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Sebastian Thrun - Educator, entrepreneurSebastian Thrun is a passionate technologist who is constantly looking for new opportunities to make the world better for all of us.
Why you should listen
Sebastian Thrun is an educator, entrepreneur and troublemaker. After a long life as a professor at Stanford University, Thrun resigned from tenure to join Google. At Google, he founded Google X, home to self-driving cars and many other moonshot technologies. Thrun also founded Udacity, an online university with worldwide reach, and Kitty Hawk, a "flying car" company. He has authored 11 books, 400 papers, holds 3 doctorates and has won numerous awards.
Sebastian Thrun | Speaker | TED.com