ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Stephen Hawking - Theoretical physicist
Stephen Hawking's scientific investigations have shed light on the origins of the cosmos, the nature of time and the ultimate fate of the universe. His bestselling books for a general audience have given an appreciation of physics to millions.

Why you should listen

Stephen Hawking is perhaps the world's most famous living physicist. A specialist in cosmology and quantum gravity and a devotee of black holes, his work has probed the origins of the cosmos, the nature of time and the universe's ultimate fate -- earning him accolades including induction into the Order of the British Empire. To the public, he's best known as an author of bestsellers such as The Universe in a Nutshell and A Brief History of Time, which have brought an appreciation of theoretical physics to millions.

Though the motor neuron disorder ALS has confined Hawking to a wheelchair, it hasn't stopped him from lecturing widely, making appearances on television shows such as Star Trek: The Next Generation and The Simpsons -- and planning a trip into orbit with Richard Branson's Virgin Galactic. (He recently experienced weightlessness aboard Zero Gravity Corporation's "Vomit Comet.") A true academic celebrity, he uses his public appearances to raise awareness about potential global disasters -- such as global warming -- and to speak out for the future of humanity: "Getting a portion of the human race permanently off the planet is imperative for our future as a species," he says.

Hawking serves as Lucasian Professor of Mathematics at the University of Cambridge, where he continues to contribute to both high-level physics and the popular understanding of our universe.

More profile about the speaker
Stephen Hawking | Speaker | TED.com
TED2008

Stephen Hawking: Questioning the universe

史蒂芬霍金斯-我們的宇宙如何開始?

Filmed:
12,876,555 views

延續2008年在TED的主題,史蒂芬霍金斯教授問了一些有關我們宇宙的觀點-宇宙是何時開始的?生命是何時開始的?我們是否是宇宙中唯一的一個生物?討論我們要如何回答這些問題。
- Theoretical physicist
Stephen Hawking's scientific investigations have shed light on the origins of the cosmos, the nature of time and the ultimate fate of the universe. His bestselling books for a general audience have given an appreciation of physics to millions. Full bio

Double-click the English transcript below to play the video.

00:14
There is nothing bigger or older舊的 than the universe宇宙.
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沒有一個東西比宇宙更大或更老。
00:18
The questions問題 I would like to talk about are:
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我想討論的問題是,
00:22
one, where did we come from?
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第一、我們從哪裡來?
00:29
How did the universe宇宙 come into being存在?
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這個宇宙如何產生?
00:32
Are we alone單獨 in the universe宇宙?
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我們在宇宙中是孤單的嗎?
00:36
Is there alien外僑 life out there?
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宇宙有沒有任何的外星生物?
00:39
What is the future未來 of the human人的 race種族?
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人類的未來是什麼?
00:43
Up until直到 the 1920s,
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直到一九二零年代,
00:45
everyone大家 thought the universe宇宙 was essentially實質上 static靜態的
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人們認為宇宙本質上是固定的,
00:49
and unchanging不變 in time.
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不會隨著時間改變。
00:51
Then it was discovered發現 that the universe宇宙 was expanding擴大.
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之後,人們發現宇宙是一直在膨脹的。
00:56
Distant遙遠 galaxies星系 were moving移動 away from us.
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遠方的銀河正在漸漸地遠離我們。
00:59
This meant意味著 they must必須 have been closer接近 together一起 in the past過去.
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這個行星比宇宙剛形成時更靠近,
01:06
If we extrapolate推斷 back,
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如果我們更近
01:08
we find we must必須 have all been on top最佳 of each other
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從以宇宙的起源來看,
01:12
about 15 billion十億 years年份 ago.
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在一百五十億年前,
01:14
This was the Big Bang, the beginning開始 of the universe宇宙.
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大爆炸是宇宙的開始,
01:20
But was there anything before the Big Bang?
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但在大爆炸之前,是否有宇宙呢?
01:23
If not, what created創建 the universe宇宙?
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如果沒有,那到底是什麼創造了宇宙?
01:27
Why did the universe宇宙 emerge出現 from the Big Bang the way it did?
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為什麼宇宙是經由大爆炸而形成呢?
01:32
We used to think that the theory理論 of the universe宇宙
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我們以前認為相關理論
01:37
could be divided分為 into two parts部分.
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有兩部分,
01:39
First, there were the laws法律
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第一是
01:42
like Maxwell's麥克斯韋 equations方程 and general一般 relativity相對論
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麥斯威爾的理論到相對論決定宇宙的演化
01:45
that determined決心 the evolution演化 of the universe宇宙,
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在太空中一個特定時間點內
01:49
given特定 its state over all of space空間 at one time.
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決定宇宙的狀態。
01:52
And second第二, there was no question
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第二是沒有任何
01:55
of the initial初始 state of the universe宇宙.
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關於宇宙起源的疑問。
01:58
We have made製作 good progress進展 on the first part部分,
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我們在第一部份有一些進展,
02:03
and now have the knowledge知識 of the laws法律 of evolution演化
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在宇宙演化的部分
02:06
in all but the most extreme極端 conditions條件.
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多了一些知識,
02:09
But until直到 recently最近, we have had little idea理念
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但是,近來在第二個宇宙起源的發現
02:12
about the initial初始 conditions條件 for the universe宇宙.
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沒有很多進展。
02:16
However然而, this division into laws法律 of evolution演化 and initial初始 conditions條件
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然而,這些關於宇宙演化的理論
02:21
depends依靠 on time and space空間 being存在 separate分離 and distinct不同.
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是依據時間與空間是分開並獨立的假設。
02:27
Under extreme極端 conditions條件, general一般 relativity相對論 and quantum量子 theory理論
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但在極端的條件下,相對論的變化以及量子理論時,
02:31
allow允許 time to behave表現 like another另一個 dimension尺寸 of space空間.
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已經讓時間變成另一個影響太空的變量。
02:39
This removes移除了 the distinction分別 between之間 time and space空間,
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這個想法解除了原先時間與空間
02:43
and means手段 the laws法律 of evolution演化 can also determine確定 the initial初始 state.
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是分開獨立的假設,這也使得宇宙演化的研究直接會影響到宇宙起源的探索。
02:51
The universe宇宙 can spontaneously自發 create創建 itself本身 out of nothing.
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宇宙可能會從完全沒有的狀態自發地產生。
02:55
Moreover此外, we can calculate計算 a probability可能性 that the universe宇宙
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此外,我們可以計算宇宙創造的的
03:03
was created創建 in different不同 states狀態.
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不同狀態的或然率。
03:05
These predictions預測 are in excellent優秀 agreement協議
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這些預測可以由
03:08
with observations意見 by the WMAPWMAP satellite衛星
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Wmap衛星佐證,
03:12
of the cosmic宇宙的 microwave微波 background背景,
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這些觀察數據可以取得
03:14
which哪一個 is an imprint版本說明 of the very early universe宇宙.
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宇宙早期形成的微波。
03:18
We think we have solved解決了 the mystery神秘 of creation創建.
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我們認為我們已經解決的宇宙發生的秘密。
03:24
Maybe we should patent專利 the universe宇宙
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或許我們應該開始去尋找太空
03:26
and charge收費 everyone大家 royalties for their existence存在.
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是否有多樣的生物存在。
03:33
I now turn to the second第二 big question:
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現在轉到第二個問題,
03:36
are we alone單獨, or is there other life in the universe宇宙?
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我們是唯一在宇宙中的唯一生物嗎?
03:44
We believe that life arose出現 spontaneously自發 on the Earth地球,
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我們相信地球是自然地產生生物。
03:47
so it must必須 be possible可能 for life to appear出現 on other suitable適當 planets行星,
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所以,也有可能在其他適合生存的行星上也會有生物,
03:52
of which哪一個 there seem似乎 to be a large number in the galaxy星系.
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而且這種星球在銀河裡應該很多。
03:56
But we don't know how life first appeared出現.
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但我們還不知道生命剛剛形成的形式。
04:04
We have two pieces of observational觀察 evidence證據
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我們有兩個可觀察的證據
04:07
on the probability可能性 of life appearing出現.
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可以參考。
04:12
The first is that we have fossils化石 of algae藻類
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第一是地球在
04:15
from 3.5 billion十億 years年份 ago.
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三十五億年前的化石。
04:19
The Earth地球 was formed形成 4.6 billion十億 years年份 ago
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在四十六億年前的地球,
04:23
and was probably大概 too hot for about the first half billion十億 years年份.
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前五億年或許還因為太熱不適合生物生存。
04:33
So life appeared出現 on Earth地球
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所以在地球剛開始的
04:35
within half a billion十億 years年份 of it being存在 possible可能,
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五億年沒有生物生存的可能,
04:39
which哪一個 is short compared相比 to the 10-billion-year-billion年 lifetime一生
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但到了地球產生的十億年時
04:42
of a planet行星 of Earth地球 type類型.
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可能有基本形式的生命開始,
04:45
This suggests提示 that a probability可能性 of life appearing出現 is reasonably合理 high.
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當時生物存在的機率相對地高。
04:50
If it was very low, one would have expected預期 it
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如果存在機率非常低,那也大概會在
04:54
to take most of the ten billion十億 years年份 available可得到.
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後來的十億年發展出生物,
04:58
On the other hand, we don't seem似乎 to have been visited參觀 by aliens外星人.
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另一方面,我們似乎沒有資訊顯示外星人來訪,
05:04
I am discounting貼現 the reports報告 of UFOs不明飛行物.
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我手上沒有什麼飛碟資料,
05:07
Why would they appear出現 only to cranks曲柄 and weirdoes怪人?
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為什麼他們只出現在特定人士面前?
05:14
If there is a government政府 conspiracy陰謀 to suppress壓制 the reports報告
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如果政府為保密而壓制這些外星人資訊,
05:18
and keep for itself本身 the scientific科學 knowledge知識 the aliens外星人 bring帶來,
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使得科學家沒有機會研究外星人相關知識,
05:23
it seems似乎 to have been a singularly ineffective不靈 policy政策 so far.
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目前對我似乎也不會是個有效的政策。
05:27
Furthermore此外, despite儘管 an extensive廣泛 search搜索 by the SETISETI project項目,
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再者,雖然有很多廣泛或相關的專案或研究,
05:37
we haven't沒有 heard聽說 any alien外僑 television電視 quiz測驗 shows節目.
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我們也沒有在電視的秀中看到任何訊息。
05:41
This probably大概 indicates指示 that there are no alien外僑 civilizations文明
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在我們現有的研究發展下,我們在宇宙用無線電波
05:46
at our stage階段 of development發展
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在光年距離做宇宙測試的現象,
05:48
within a radius半徑 of a few少數 hundred light years年份.
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這似乎顯示我們並沒有任何外星人的文明,
05:53
Issuing發行 an insurance保險 policy政策
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我想對於要確認是否有外星人存在,
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against反對 abduction綁架 by aliens外星人 seems似乎 a pretty漂亮 safe安全 bet賭注.
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我們的研究將是一個安全的背書。
06:02
This brings帶來 me to the last of the big questions問題:
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這帶我們進入最後一個大問題,
06:05
the future未來 of the human人的 race種族.
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人類的未來,
06:08
If we are the only intelligent智能 beings眾生 in the galaxy星系,
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如果我們是銀河裡唯一高智慧生物,
06:12
we should make sure we survive生存 and continue繼續.
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我們應該確認是否能永續生存,
06:19
But we are entering進入 an increasingly日益 dangerous危險 period of our history歷史.
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但我們正進入一個正在逐漸危險的人類歷史時期,
06:23
Our population人口 and our use of the finite有限 resources資源 of planet行星 Earth地球
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我們的人口與我們使用這個地球行星的資源,
06:33
are growing生長 exponentially成倍, along沿 with our technical技術 ability能力
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是快速的成長以及我們高速的科技發展
06:37
to change更改 the environment環境 for good or ill生病.
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已經大量改變這個地球的生態,
06:44
But our genetic遺傳 code
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但我們的基因解碼研究
06:46
still carries攜帶 the selfish自私 and aggressive侵略性 instincts本能
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已經使我們有積極的進展,
06:49
that were of survival生存 advantage優點 in the past過去.
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使我們未來可以比過去生存的更好
06:52
It will be difficult enough足夠 to avoid避免 disaster災害
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我們在未來一百年,
07:00
in the next下一個 hundred years年份,
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或未來幾百萬年,
07:01
let alone單獨 the next下一個 thousand or million百萬.
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都將很難避免未來的災難。
07:08
Our only chance機會 of long-term長期 survival生存
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我們的唯一長期生存的機會,
07:11
is not to remain lurking潛伏 on planet行星 Earth地球,
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並不是去在地球重建另一個行星,
07:15
but to spread傳播 out into space空間.
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而是去擴散到太空去。
07:17
The answers答案 to these big questions問題
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回答這些問題的答案是,
07:22
show顯示 that we have made製作 remarkable卓越 progress進展 in the last hundred years年份.
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顯現我們過去幾百年的努力的輝煌成就。
07:27
But if we want to continue繼續 beyond the next下一個 hundred years年份,
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我們要再用未來幾百年把力氣
07:32
our future未來 is in space空間.
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用在太空研究上,
07:34
That is why I am in favor偏愛 of manned載人 --
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這是為什麼我會傾向
07:39
or should I say, personedpersoned -- space空間 flight飛行.
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研究人類的太空飛行。
07:42
All of my life I have sought追捧 to understand理解 the universe宇宙
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我用我的一生去研究瞭解這個宇宙
07:52
and find answers答案 to these questions問題.
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與替這些問題找答案,
07:54
I have been very lucky幸運
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很幸運,
07:57
that my disability失能 has not been a serious嚴重 handicap阻礙.
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我的缺陷並沒會成為一個嚴重的殘障。
08:01
Indeed確實, it has probably大概 given特定 me more time than most people
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事實上,或許使我可以有更多時間與找到更多人
08:06
to pursue追求 the quest尋求 for knowledge知識.
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來去追求我想要的知識
08:08
The ultimate最終 goal目標 is a complete完成 theory理論 of the universe宇宙,
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這個最終目標在宇宙的理論
08:16
and we are making製造 good progress進展.
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正在進行好的發展。
08:18
Thank you for listening.
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謝謝您的聆聽!
08:26
Chris克里斯 Anderson安德森: Professor教授, if you had to guess猜測 either way,
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Chris Anderson: 教授如果你願意做個猜測的話,
08:29
do you now believe that it is more likely容易 than not
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我想請問你相信在銀河裡面
08:33
that we are alone單獨 in the Milky乳白色 Way,
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我們是否是唯一
08:36
as a civilization文明 of our level水平 of intelligence情報 or higher更高?
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最高而有文明的高智商動物?
08:57
This answer回答 took seven minutes分鐘, and really gave me an insight眼光
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這個答案需要七分鐘,這整個TED的演講
09:03
into the incredible難以置信 act法案 of generosity慷慨 this whole整個 talk was for TEDTED.
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真的讓我大開眼界。
09:18
Stephen斯蒂芬 Hawking霍金: I think it quite相當 likely容易 that we are the only civilization文明
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Stephen Hawking: 我認為很可能我們是在幾百光年內
09:23
within several一些 hundred light years年份;
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我們是唯一的文明,
09:26
otherwise除此以外 we would have heard聽說 radio無線電 waves波浪.
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否則我們應該會聽到無線電波,
09:29
The alternative替代 is that civilizations文明 don't last very long,
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其他的文明沒有維持很久
09:37
but destroy破壞 themselves他們自己.
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但可能自我毀滅過。
09:38
CACA: Professor教授 Hawking霍金, thank you for that answer回答.
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Chris Anderson:教授,謝謝您的答案,
09:44
We will take it as a salutary有益 warning警告, I think,
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我們會把你的意見
09:46
for the rest休息 of our conference會議 this week.
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當作我們在地球的的警訊。
09:50
Professor教授, we really thank you for the extraordinary非凡 effort功夫 you made製作
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也謝謝您把你思考的問題
09:54
to share分享 your questions問題 with us today今天.
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分享給我們。
09:57
Thank you very much indeed確實.
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真的非常感謝您。
09:58
(Applause掌聲)
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(掌聲)
Translated by Dxm Online大小媒體
Reviewed by Chih-Yuan Huang

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ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Stephen Hawking - Theoretical physicist
Stephen Hawking's scientific investigations have shed light on the origins of the cosmos, the nature of time and the ultimate fate of the universe. His bestselling books for a general audience have given an appreciation of physics to millions.

Why you should listen

Stephen Hawking is perhaps the world's most famous living physicist. A specialist in cosmology and quantum gravity and a devotee of black holes, his work has probed the origins of the cosmos, the nature of time and the universe's ultimate fate -- earning him accolades including induction into the Order of the British Empire. To the public, he's best known as an author of bestsellers such as The Universe in a Nutshell and A Brief History of Time, which have brought an appreciation of theoretical physics to millions.

Though the motor neuron disorder ALS has confined Hawking to a wheelchair, it hasn't stopped him from lecturing widely, making appearances on television shows such as Star Trek: The Next Generation and The Simpsons -- and planning a trip into orbit with Richard Branson's Virgin Galactic. (He recently experienced weightlessness aboard Zero Gravity Corporation's "Vomit Comet.") A true academic celebrity, he uses his public appearances to raise awareness about potential global disasters -- such as global warming -- and to speak out for the future of humanity: "Getting a portion of the human race permanently off the planet is imperative for our future as a species," he says.

Hawking serves as Lucasian Professor of Mathematics at the University of Cambridge, where he continues to contribute to both high-level physics and the popular understanding of our universe.

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Stephen Hawking | Speaker | TED.com