TED2019
Bina Venkataraman: The power to think ahead in a reckless age
Bina Venkatamaran: Moć razmišljanja unaprijed u nesmotrenom dobu
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U govoru koji gleda u budućnost, spisateljica Bina Venkatamaran odgovara na ključno pitanje našeg doba: kako možemo osigurati svoju budućnost i učiniti što je ispravno za buduće generacije? Razlaže pogreške koje činimo kada zamišljamo budućnost naših života, poslova i zajednica, odajući kako možemo povratiti naš urođeni osjećaj za predviđanje. Pojavljuje se iznenađujuć razlog za nadu -- i put ka postajanju "dobrim precima" kakvima čeznemo biti.
Bina Venkataraman - Writer, futurist
Bina Venkataraman is an MIT professor and author of the forthcoming book "The Optimist's Telescope." Full bio
Bina Venkataraman is an MIT professor and author of the forthcoming book "The Optimist's Telescope." Full bio
Double-click the English transcript below to play the video.
00:13
So in the winter of 2012,
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U zimi 2012. godine
00:15
I went to visit my grandmother's house
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posjetila sam kuću svoje bake
00:17
in South India,
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u južnoj Indiji,
00:19
a place, by the way,
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mjestu gdje, usput,
00:20
where the mosquitos have a special taste
for the blood of the American-born.
for the blood of the American-born.
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komarci imaju poseban tek
za krvlju Amerikanaca.
za krvlju Amerikanaca.
00:24
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
00:25
No joke.
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Nije šala.
00:27
When I was there,
I got an unexpected gift.
I got an unexpected gift.
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Dok sam bila ondje,
dobila sam neočekivan dar.
dobila sam neočekivan dar.
00:31
It was this antique instrument
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Bio je to ovaj drevni instrument
00:34
made more than a century ago,
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izrađen prije više od stoljeća,
00:36
hand-carved from a rare wood,
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ručno izrezbaren iz rijetkog drveta,
00:38
inlaid with pearls
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ispunjen biserima
00:40
and with dozens of metal strings.
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i s desecima metalnih žica.
00:43
It's a family heirloom,
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To je obiteljsko nasljeđe,
00:46
a link between my past,
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poveznica između moje prošlosti,
00:48
the country where my parents were born,
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zemlje u kojoj su rođeni moji roditelji,
00:50
and the future,
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i budućnosti,
00:52
the unknown places I'll take it.
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svih nepoznatih mjesta
na koja ću ga ponijeti.
na koja ću ga ponijeti.
00:55
I didn't actually realize it
at the time I got it,
at the time I got it,
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Nisam to shvaćala kada sam ga dobila,
00:58
but it would later become
a powerful metaphor for my work.
a powerful metaphor for my work.
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ali on će kasnije postati snažna
metafora za moj rad.
metafora za moj rad.
01:02
We all know the saying,
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Svima nam je poznata izreka,
01:04
"There's no time like the present."
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"Nijedno vrijeme nije kao sadašnjost."
01:08
But nowadays, it can feel
like there's no time but the present.
like there's no time but the present.
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Ali danas se može činiti da nema
drugog vremena osim sadašnjosti.
drugog vremena osim sadašnjosti.
01:13
What's immediate and ephemeral
seems to dominate our lives,
seems to dominate our lives,
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Trenutno i nestalno
dominira našim životima,
dominira našim životima,
01:17
our economy and our politics.
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našom ekonomijom i politikom.
01:21
It's so easy to get caught up
in the number of steps we took today
in the number of steps we took today
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Tako je lako zaokupiti se
brojem koraka koje smo učinili danas
brojem koraka koje smo učinili danas
01:26
or the latest tweet
from a high-profile figure.
from a high-profile figure.
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ili objavom na Twitteru poznate ličnosti.
01:30
It's easy for businesses to get caught up
in making immediate profits
in making immediate profits
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Poduzećima je tako lako
zaokupiti se trenutnim profitom
zaokupiti se trenutnim profitom
01:35
and neglect what's good
for future invention.
for future invention.
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i zapostaviti ono što je dobro
za buduće inovacije.
za buduće inovacije.
01:40
And it's far too easy
for governments to stand by
for governments to stand by
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I vladama je tako lako stajati postrani
01:44
while fisheries and farmland are depleted
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dok propadaju ribarstvo i poljoprivreda,
01:47
instead of conserved
to feed future generations.
to feed future generations.
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umjesto da ih se očuva kako bi
hranili buduće naraštaje.
hranili buduće naraštaje.
01:52
I have a feeling that, at this rate,
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Imam osjećaj da će, ovim tempom,
01:54
it's going to be hard for our generation
to be remembered as good ancestors.
to be remembered as good ancestors.
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biti teško sjećati se našeg naraštaja
kao dobrih predaka.
kao dobrih predaka.
02:00
If you think about it,
our species evolved to think ahead,
our species evolved to think ahead,
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Ako malo razmislite, naša vrsta
razvila se tako da misli unaprijed,
razvila se tako da misli unaprijed,
02:04
to chart the stars,
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da napravi kartu zvijezda,
02:07
dream of the afterlife,
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sanja o životu nakon smrti,
02:09
sow seeds for later harvest.
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posije sjeme za kasniju žetvu.
02:12
Some scientists call this superpower
that we have "mental time travel,"
that we have "mental time travel,"
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Neki znanstvenici nazivaju ovu supermoć
"mentalnim putovanjem kroz vrijeme",
"mentalnim putovanjem kroz vrijeme",
02:17
and it's responsible for pretty much
everything we call human civilization,
everything we call human civilization,
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i odgovorna je za gotovo sve
što danas zovemo ljudskom civilizacijom,
što danas zovemo ljudskom civilizacijom,
02:21
from farming to the Magna Carta
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od poljoprivrede do Velike povelje
o ljudskim slobodama,
o ljudskim slobodama,
02:24
to the internet --
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do interneta --
02:26
all first conjured in the minds of humans.
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sve je to ponajprije nastalo
u umovima ljudi.
u umovima ljudi.
02:30
But let's get real:
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Ali pogledajmo u realnost:
02:31
if we look around us today,
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ogledamo li se oko sebe danas,
02:34
we don't exactly seem to be
using this superpower quite enough,
using this superpower quite enough,
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čini se da baš i ne koristimo
dovoljno tu supermoć,
dovoljno tu supermoć,
02:40
and that begs the question: Why not?
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a to zahtijeva pitanje: zašto ne?
02:44
What's wrong is how our communities,
businesses and institutions are designed.
businesses and institutions are designed.
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Naše zajednice, poduzeća i institucije
su pogrešno osmišljene.
su pogrešno osmišljene.
02:49
They're designed in a way
that's impairing our foresight.
that's impairing our foresight.
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Osmišljene su na način koji
oštećuje naše predviđanje.
oštećuje naše predviđanje.
02:54
I want to talk to you
about the three key mistakes
about the three key mistakes
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Želim vam govoriti o tri ključne pogreške
02:57
that I think we're making.
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koje mislim da radimo.
02:59
The first mistake is what we measure.
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Prva pogreška je ono što mjerimo.
03:03
When we look at the quarterly
profits of a company
profits of a company
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Ako pogledamo kvartalnu dobit poduzeća
03:06
or its near-term stock price,
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ili cijenu dionice nedugo
prije kraja burzovnog razdoblja,
prije kraja burzovnog razdoblja,
03:09
that's often not a great measure
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to često nije dobra mjera
03:11
of whether that company
is going to grow its market share
is going to grow its market share
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hoće li to poduzeće povećati
svoj udio u tržištu
svoj udio u tržištu
03:14
or be inventive in the long run.
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ili biti dugoročno inovativno.
03:16
When we glue ourselves to the test scores
that kids bring back from school,
that kids bring back from school,
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Ako smo opsjednuti rezultatima testova
koje nam djeca donose iz škole,
koje nam djeca donose iz škole,
03:21
that's not necessarily
what's great for those kids' learning
what's great for those kids' learning
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to nije nužno dobar pokazatelj
onoga što djeca nauče,
onoga što djeca nauče,
03:24
and curiosity in the long run.
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niti dugoročne znatiželjnosti.
03:27
We're not measuring
what really matters in the future.
what really matters in the future.
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Ne mjerimo ono što je
doista bitno za budućnost.
doista bitno za budućnost.
03:31
The second mistake we're making
that impairs our foresight
that impairs our foresight
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Druga pogreška koju činimo
koja oštećuje naše predviđanje
koja oštećuje naše predviđanje
03:34
is what we reward.
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jest što nagrađujemo.
03:37
When we celebrate a political leader
or a business leader
or a business leader
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Kada slavimo političkog
ili poslovnog lidera
ili poslovnog lidera
03:40
for the disaster she just cleaned up
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zbog katastrofe koju je upravo počistio
03:44
or the announcement she just made,
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ili zbog najave koju je upravo razglasio,
03:46
we're not motivating that leader
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mi ne motiviramo tog lidera
03:48
to invest in preventing
those disasters in the first place,
those disasters in the first place,
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da uloži u sprječavanje da do takve
katastrofe uopće dođe,
katastrofe uopće dođe,
03:52
or to put down payments on the future
by protecting communities from floods
by protecting communities from floods
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da uloži u budućnost
stvarajući zaštitu od poplava,
stvarajući zaštitu od poplava,
03:56
or fighting inequality
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ili suzbijajući nejednakost,
03:58
or investing in research and education.
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ili ulažući u istraživanje i obrazovanje.
04:02
The third mistake
that impairs our foresight
that impairs our foresight
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Treća pogreška koja
oštećuje naše predviđanje
oštećuje naše predviđanje
04:06
is what we fail to imagine.
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je ono što nismo u mogućnosti zamisliti.
04:10
Now, when we do think about the future,
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A kada i razmišljamo o budućnosti,
04:12
we tend to focus
on predicting exactly what's next,
on predicting exactly what's next,
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obično se usredotočimo na predviđanje
onog što je neposredno sljedeće,
onog što je neposredno sljedeće,
04:15
whether we're using horoscopes
or algorithms to do that.
or algorithms to do that.
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bilo da se pritom služimo
horoskopima ili algoritmima.
horoskopima ili algoritmima.
04:19
But we spend a lot less time imagining
all the possibilities the future holds.
all the possibilities the future holds.
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Ali trošimo puno manje vremena na
zamišljanje svih mogućnosti za budućnost.
zamišljanje svih mogućnosti za budućnost.
04:26
When the Ebola outbreak
emerged in 2014 in West Africa,
emerged in 2014 in West Africa,
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Kada je izbila ebola u zapadnoj
Africi 2014. godine,
Africi 2014. godine,
04:31
public health officials around the world
had early warning signs
had early warning signs
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činovnici javnog zdravstva u cijelom
svijetu imali su rane znakove uzbune
svijetu imali su rane znakove uzbune
04:34
and predictive tools
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i alate za predviđanje
04:37
that showed how
that outbreak might spread,
that outbreak might spread,
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koji su pokazivali kako bi se
zaraza mogla raširiti,
zaraza mogla raširiti,
04:40
but they failed to fathom that it would,
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ali nisu uspjeli shvatiti
da će se doista proširiti
da će se doista proširiti
04:44
and they failed to act
in time to intervene,
in time to intervene,
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i propustili su djelovati
na vrijeme da to suzbiju,
na vrijeme da to suzbiju,
04:46
and the epidemic grew
to kill more than 11,000 people.
to kill more than 11,000 people.
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a epidemija se raširila toliko
da je ubila 11 tisuća ljudi.
da je ubila 11 tisuća ljudi.
04:50
When people with lots of resources
and good forecasts
and good forecasts
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Kada se ljudi s mnoštvom resursa
i dobrim prognozama
i dobrim prognozama
04:53
don't prepare for deadly hurricanes,
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ne pripreme za smrtonosne uragane,
04:56
they're often failing to imagine
how dangerous they can be.
how dangerous they can be.
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često propuštaju zamisliti koliko
opasni uragani mogu biti.
opasni uragani mogu biti.
05:03
Now, none of these mistakes
that I've described,
that I've described,
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Nijedna od ovih pogrešaka
koje sam opisala,
koje sam opisala,
05:05
as dismal as they might sound,
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koliko god strašnima se činile,
05:07
are inevitable.
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nije neizbježna.
05:09
In fact, they're all avoidable.
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Zapravo, sve ih je moguće izbjeći.
05:13
What we need to make
better decisions about the future
better decisions about the future
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Kako bismo donosili
bolje odluke o budućnosti,
bolje odluke o budućnosti,
05:15
are tools that can aid our foresight,
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trebamo alate koji nam
pomažu u predviđanju,
pomažu u predviđanju,
05:17
tools that can help us think ahead.
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alate koji nam mogu pomoći
da razmišljamo unaprijed.
da razmišljamo unaprijed.
05:20
Think of these as something
like the telescopes
like the telescopes
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Razmišljajte o njima kao o teleskopima
05:22
that ship captains of yore used
when they scanned the horizon.
when they scanned the horizon.
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koje su kapetani brodova u davnini
koristili kada su promatrali obzor.
koristili kada su promatrali obzor.
05:26
Only instead of for looking
across distance and the ocean,
across distance and the ocean,
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Ali umjesto gledanja u daljinu i ocean,
05:31
these tools are for looking
across time to the future.
across time to the future.
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ovi alati gledaju kroz
vrijeme u budućnost.
vrijeme u budućnost.
05:35
I want to share with you a
few of the tools
few of the tools
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Želim podijeliti s vama nekoliko alata
05:38
that I've found in my research
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koje sam otkrila u svom istraživanju,
05:40
that I think can help us with foresight.
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koji nam mogu pomoći s predviđanjem.
05:43
The first tool I want to share with you
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Prvi alat koji želim podijeliti s vama
05:45
I think of as making
the long game pay now.
the long game pay now.
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čini da se igranje na duge staze
isplati odmah sada.
isplati odmah sada.
05:49
This is Wes Jackson, a farmer
I spent some time with in Kansas.
I spent some time with in Kansas.
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Ovo je Wes Jackson, poljoprivrednik s
kojim sam provela neko vrijeme u Kansasu.
kojim sam provela neko vrijeme u Kansasu.
05:53
And Jackson knows
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Jackson zna
05:54
that the way that most crops
are grown around the world today
are grown around the world today
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da način uzgajanja većine kultura
na svijetu danas
na svijetu danas
05:58
is stripping the earth
of the fertile topsoil
of the fertile topsoil
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iscrpljuje plodni površinski sloj zemlje
06:01
we need to feed future generations.
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koji nam treba da prehranimo
buduće naraštaje.
buduće naraštaje.
06:04
He got together
with a group of scientists,
with a group of scientists,
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Udružio se sa skupinom znanstvenika
06:06
and they bred perennial grain crops
which have deep roots
which have deep roots
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i uzgojili su višegodišnje
žitne kulture dubokih korijena
žitne kulture dubokih korijena
06:11
that anchor the fertile topsoil of a farm,
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koji učvršćuju plodan
površinski sloj zemlje na farmi,
površinski sloj zemlje na farmi,
06:13
preventing erosion
and protecting future harvests.
and protecting future harvests.
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sprječavajući eroziju tla
i štiteći buduće žetve.
i štiteći buduće žetve.
06:17
But they also knew
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Ali također su znali da,
06:18
that in order to get farmers
to grow these crops in the short run,
to grow these crops in the short run,
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kako bi u kratkom roku pridobili
poljoprivrednike da uzgajaju ovu kulturu,
poljoprivrednike da uzgajaju ovu kulturu,
06:22
they needed to boost
the annual yields of the crops
the annual yields of the crops
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moraju povećati godišnji prinos kulture
06:25
and find companies willing
to make cereal and beer using the grains
to make cereal and beer using the grains
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te pronaći tvrtke spremne proizvoditi
žitne pahuljice i pivo koristeći žito,
žitne pahuljice i pivo koristeći žito,
06:30
so that farmers could reap profits today
by doing what's good for tomorrow.
by doing what's good for tomorrow.
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kako bi poljoprivrednici pobrali dobit
danas čineći dobro za sutrašnjicu.
danas čineći dobro za sutrašnjicu.
06:35
And this is a tried-and-true strategy.
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Ovo je oprobana i učinkovita strategija.
06:37
In fact, it was used
by George Washington Carver
by George Washington Carver
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Zapravo, George Washington Carver
koristio se njome
koristio se njome
06:40
in the South of the United States
after the Civil War
after the Civil War
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na jugu SAD-a nakon Građanskog rata
06:43
in the early 20th century.
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u ranom 20. stoljeću.
06:45
A lot of people have probably heard
of Carver's 300 uses for the peanut,
of Carver's 300 uses for the peanut,
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Mnogi su zasigurno čuli za
Carverovih 300 upotreba kikirikija,
Carverovih 300 upotreba kikirikija,
06:50
the products and recipes
that he came up with
that he came up with
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proizvode i recepte koje je smislio,
06:53
that made the peanut so popular.
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a koji su učinili kikiriki toliko popularnim.
06:56
But not everyone knows
why Carver did that.
why Carver did that.
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Ali većina ne zna
zašto je Carver to učinio.
zašto je Carver to učinio.
06:59
He was trying to help
poor Alabama sharecroppers
poor Alabama sharecroppers
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Pokušavao je pomoći siromašnim
uzgajivačima u Alabami
uzgajivačima u Alabami
07:02
whose cotton yields were declining,
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čiji je prinos pamuka opadao,
a on je znao kako će sadnja
kikirikija na njihovim poljima
kikirikija na njihovim poljima
07:05
and he knew that planting
peanuts in their fields
peanuts in their fields
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07:07
would replenish those soils
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obnoviti tu zemlju
07:09
so that their cotton yields
would be better a few years later.
would be better a few years later.
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kako bi prinosi pamuka bili
bolji nekoliko godina poslije.
bolji nekoliko godina poslije.
07:12
But he also knew it needed
to be lucrative for them in the short run.
to be lucrative for them in the short run.
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Ali također je znao da to mora biti
isplativo u kratkom roku.
isplativo u kratkom roku.
07:16
Alright, so let's talk
about another tool for foresight.
about another tool for foresight.
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Dobro, pričajmo o još jednom
alatu za predviđanje.
alatu za predviđanje.
07:19
This one I like to think of
as keeping the memory of the past alive
as keeping the memory of the past alive
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Volim razmišljati o njemu kao održanju
sjećanja na prošlost živim
sjećanja na prošlost živim
07:24
to help us imagine the future.
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kako bi nam pomoglo zamisliti budućnost.
07:27
So I went to Fukushima, Japan
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Otišla sam u Fukushimu u Japan
07:29
on the sixth anniversary
of the nuclear reactor disaster there
of the nuclear reactor disaster there
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prigodom šeste obljetnice
nesreće u nuklearnom reaktoru,
nesreće u nuklearnom reaktoru,
07:32
that followed the Tohoku earthquake
and tsunami of 2011.
and tsunami of 2011.
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nakon potresa Tohoku
i tsunamija 2011. godine.
i tsunamija 2011. godine.
07:37
When I was there, I learned
about the Onagawa Nuclear Power Station,
about the Onagawa Nuclear Power Station,
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Dok sam bila ondje, saznala sam za
Onagawa postaju za nuklearnu energiju,
Onagawa postaju za nuklearnu energiju,
07:41
which was even closer
to the epicenter of that earthquake
to the epicenter of that earthquake
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koja je bila još bliža
epicentru tog potresa
epicentru tog potresa
07:44
than the infamous Fukushima Daiichi
that we all know about.
that we all know about.
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nego zloglasna Fukushima Daiichi
za koju svi jako dobro znamo.
za koju svi jako dobro znamo.
07:48
In Onagawa, people in the city
actually fled to the nuclear power plant
actually fled to the nuclear power plant
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U Onagawi, ljudi iz grada su zapravo
pobjegli u tvornicu nuklearne energije
pobjegli u tvornicu nuklearne energije
07:53
as a place of refuge.
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kao mjesto skloništa.
07:55
It was that safe.
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Bila je toliko sigurna.
07:57
It was spared by the tsunamis.
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Tsunamiji su je poštedjeli.
08:00
It was the foresight of just one engineer,
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Radilo se o predviđanju
tek jednog inženjera,
tek jednog inženjera,
08:02
Yanosuke Hirai,
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Yanosuke Hirai,
08:04
that made that happen.
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koji je to omogućio.
08:06
In the 1960s, he fought
to build that power plant
to build that power plant
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1960-ih godina, borio se za to
da izgradi tu nuklearku
da izgradi tu nuklearku
08:10
farther back from the coast
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puno dalje od obale
08:12
at higher elevation
and with a higher sea wall.
and with a higher sea wall.
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i na višoj nadmorskoj visini,
s višim zidom zaštite od vode.
s višim zidom zaštite od vode.
08:16
He knew the story of his hometown shrine,
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Znao je za priču o hramu
u svome rodnom gradu,
u svome rodnom gradu,
08:20
which had flooded
in the year 869 after a tsunami.
in the year 869 after a tsunami.
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koji je bio potopljen 869. godine
nakon tsunamija.
nakon tsunamija.
08:24
It was his knowledge of history
that allowed him to imagine
that allowed him to imagine
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Njegovo poznavanje povijesti
omogućilo mu je da zamisli
omogućilo mu je da zamisli
08:28
what others could not.
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nešto što drugi nisu mogli.
08:31
OK, one more tool of foresight.
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Dobro, još jedan alat za predviđanje.
08:34
This one I think of
as creating shared heirlooms.
as creating shared heirlooms.
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O ovome razmišljam kao o stvaranju
zajedničkih nasljeđa.
zajedničkih nasljeđa.
08:38
These are lobster fishermen
on the Pacific coast of Mexico,
on the Pacific coast of Mexico,
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Ovo su ribari jastoga na
meksičkoj obali Tihog oceana,
meksičkoj obali Tihog oceana,
08:41
and they're the ones who taught me this.
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i oni su me naučili ovome.
08:44
They have protected
their lobster harvest there
their lobster harvest there
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Oni štite svoj ulov jastoga ondje
08:46
for nearly a century,
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gotovo cijelo stoljeće,
08:49
and they've done that
by treating it as a shared resource
by treating it as a shared resource
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a to čine tretirajući ga
kao zajednički izvor
kao zajednički izvor
08:52
that they're passing on to their collected
children and grandchildren.
children and grandchildren.
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koji će prenijeti na svu svoju
djecu i unuke.
djecu i unuke.
08:55
They carefully measure what they catch
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Pažljivo mjere što ulove
08:58
so that they're not taking
the breeding lobster out of the ocean.
the breeding lobster out of the ocean.
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kako ne bi izlovljavali jastoge
koji se pare iz oceana.
koji se pare iz oceana.
09:02
Across North America,
there are more than 30 fisheries
there are more than 30 fisheries
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Diljem sjeverne Amerike ima
preko 30 ribarskih udruga
preko 30 ribarskih udruga
09:05
that are doing something
vaguely similar to this.
vaguely similar to this.
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koje čine nešto poput ovoga.
09:08
They're creating long-term stakes
in the fisheries known as catch shares
in the fisheries known as catch shares
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Stvaraju dugoročne prinose za ribare,
znane kao udjeli u izlovu,
znane kao udjeli u izlovu,
09:13
which get fishermen to be motivated
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koji motiviraju ribare,
09:15
not just in taking whatever they can
from the ocean today
from the ocean today
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ne samo da danas izlove
iz oceana koliko mogu,
iz oceana koliko mogu,
09:19
but in its long-term survival.
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nego na dugoročni opstanak.
09:23
Now there are many,
many more tools of foresight
many more tools of foresight
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Postoji još jako mnogo
alata za predviđanje
alata za predviđanje
09:25
I would love to share with you,
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koje bih voljela podijeliti s vama,
09:27
and they come from all kinds of places:
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i dolaze s najrazličitijih mjesta:
09:29
investment firms that look
beyond near-term stock prices,
beyond near-term stock prices,
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investicijskih tvrtki koje predviđaju
dalje od kratkoročne cijene dionica,
dalje od kratkoročne cijene dionica,
09:32
states that have freed their elections
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država koje su oslobodile svoje izbore
09:34
from the immediate interests
of campaign financiers.
of campaign financiers.
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od neposrednih interesa osoba
koje financiraju kampanje.
koje financiraju kampanje.
09:39
And we're going to need to marshal
as many of these tools as we can
as many of these tools as we can
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I morat ćemo sabrati i
organizirati što više tih alata
organizirati što više tih alata
09:43
if we want to rethink what we measure,
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ako želimo razmotriti ono što mjerimo,
09:45
change what we reward
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promijeniti ono što nagrađujemo,
09:47
and be brave enough
to imagine what lies ahead.
to imagine what lies ahead.
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i biti dovoljno hrabri da zamislimo
što dolazi u budućnosti.
što dolazi u budućnosti.
09:52
Not all this is going to be easy,
as you can imagine.
as you can imagine.
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Kao što možete pretpostaviti,
sve to neće biti jednostavno.
sve to neće biti jednostavno.
09:57
Some of these tools
we can pick up in our own lives,
we can pick up in our own lives,
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Neke od tih alata možemo
uzeti iz vlastitog života,
uzeti iz vlastitog života,
10:00
some we're going to need to do
in businesses or in communities,
in businesses or in communities,
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neke ćemo morati razviti unutar
naših poslova i zajednica,
naših poslova i zajednica,
10:05
and some we need to do as a society.
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a neke ćemo morati stvoriti kao društvo.
10:09
The future is worth this effort.
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Budućnost zaslužuje ovaj trud.
10:15
My own inspiration to keep up this effort
is the instrument I shared with you.
is the instrument I shared with you.
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Moje nadahnuće da nastavim s trudom
jest instrument koji sam vam pokazala.
jest instrument koji sam vam pokazala.
10:19
It's called a dilruba,
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Zove se dilruba,
10:22
and it was custom-made
for my great-grandfather.
for my great-grandfather.
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izrađen je po narudžbi za moga pradjeda.
10:25
He was a well-known
music and art critic in India
music and art critic in India
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On je bio poznati kritičar
glazbe i umjetnosti u Indiji,
glazbe i umjetnosti u Indiji,
10:28
in the early 20th century.
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u ranom 20. stoljeću.
10:32
My great-grandfather had the foresight
to protect this instrument
to protect this instrument
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Moj pradjed imao je predviđanje
da zaštiti ovaj instrument
da zaštiti ovaj instrument
10:37
at a time when my great-grandmother
was pawning off all their belongings,
was pawning off all their belongings,
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u vrijeme kada je moja prabaka
zalagala sve što su posjedovali,
zalagala sve što su posjedovali,
10:41
but that's another story.
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ali to je druga priča.
10:45
He protected it by giving it
to the next generation,
to the next generation,
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Zaštitio ga je tako što ga
je predao sljedećem naraštaju,
je predao sljedećem naraštaju,
10:48
by giving it to my grandmother,
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predajući ga mojoj baki,
10:50
and she gave it to me.
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a ona ga je dala meni.
10:54
When I first heard
the sound of this instrument,
the sound of this instrument,
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Kada sam prvi put čula
zvuk ovoga instrumenta,
zvuk ovoga instrumenta,
10:57
it haunted me.
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on me proganjao.
10:59
It felt like hearing a wanderer
in the Himalayan fog.
in the Himalayan fog.
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Bilo je kao da čujem
zalutaloga u magli Himalaje.
zalutaloga u magli Himalaje.
11:05
It felt like hearing
a voice from the past.
a voice from the past.
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Bilo je kao da čujem glas iz prošlosti.
11:08
(Music)
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(Glazba)
11:44
(Music ends)
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(Glazba prestaje)
11:49
That's my friend Simran Singh
playing the dilruba.
playing the dilruba.
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To je moj prijatelj Simran Singh
kako svira dilrubu.
kako svira dilrubu.
11:53
When I play it, it sounds
like a cat's dying somewhere,
like a cat's dying somewhere,
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Kada je ja sviram, zvuči kao
da mačka negdje umire,
da mačka negdje umire,
11:56
so you're welcome.
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pa nema na čemu.
11:57
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
12:00
This instrument is in my home today,
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Instrument je danas u mome domu,
12:03
but it doesn't actually belong to me.
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ali zapravo ne pripada meni.
12:06
It's my role to shepherd it in time,
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Moja zadaća je da ga pričuvam u vremenu,
12:10
and that feels more meaningful to me
than just owning it for today.
than just owning it for today.
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i to mi se čini važnijim od
pukog posjedovanja za danas.
pukog posjedovanja za danas.
12:15
This instrument positions me
as both a descendant and an ancestor.
as both a descendant and an ancestor.
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Instrument me određuje ujedno
i kao potomka i kao pretka.
i kao potomka i kao pretka.
12:23
It makes me feel part of a story
bigger than my own.
bigger than my own.
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Čini da se osjećam dijelom jedne
priče koja je veća od moje vlastite.
priče koja je veća od moje vlastite.
12:28
And this, I believe,
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A to je, vjerujem,
12:30
is the single most powerful way
we can reclaim foresight:
we can reclaim foresight:
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najmoćniji način kako možemo
povratiti predviđanje:
povratiti predviđanje:
12:35
by seeing ourselves
as the good ancestors we long to be,
as the good ancestors we long to be,
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smatrajući sebe samima dobrim precima
kakvima žudimo biti,
kakvima žudimo biti,
12:41
ancestors not just to our own children
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precima ne samo svoje djece,
12:45
but to all humanity.
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nego cjelokupnog čovječanstva.
12:48
Whatever your heirloom is,
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Što god da je vaše nasljeđe,
12:52
however big or small,
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bilo veliko ili malo,
12:55
protect it
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zaštitite ga
12:58
and know that its music
can resonate for generations.
can resonate for generations.
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i znajte da njegova glazba može
odjekivati naraštajima.
odjekivati naraštajima.
13:02
Thank you.
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Hvala.
13:03
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Bina Venkataraman - Writer, futuristBina Venkataraman is an MIT professor and author of the forthcoming book "The Optimist's Telescope."
Why you should listen
For more than six years, Bina Venkataraman has been traveling around the world studying how people and communities think about the future. Her curiosity as a former journalist, and her firsthand experience in the Obama White House, led her to question whether the shortsightedness rampant in today's societies is inevitable -- or actually "a choice we're making."
During the Obama years, Venkataraman built partnerships among communities, companies and government to prepare for coming pandemics, wildfires and rising seas. In 2014, she launched the White House Climate Data Initiative to bring actionable climate science to people making decisions around the globe. Previously, she was a science journalist for the New York Times and the Boston Globe. Now, she teaches students at MIT to use scientific knowledge in service of society.
As Venkataraman writes: "For as long as I can remember, I have suspected that the future of humanity depended on the future of the planet. I have since found this to be the most compelling story of our time. As I imagine what lies in our shared future, from gene-editing to the climate crisis, I see both dangers and extraordinary potential."
Venkataraman wrote her first book, The Optimist's Telescope (to be published by Riverhead on August 27, 2019), to help people today better shape their own future and that of coming generations.
Bina Venkataraman | Speaker | TED.com