Emma Belcher: 3 questions we should ask about nuclear weapons
艾玛 · 贝尔切: 关于核武器,我们应该问这 3 个问题
Emma Belcher develops and implements strategy for reducing the threat posed by nuclear weapons. Full bio
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you're doubled over in pain
身体特别的难受的时候,
I call my friend Sasha --
我会给我的朋友萨莎打电话——
to the nearest emergency room
火急火燎得跑去最近的急救中心?”
等它自己好就行?”
questions of life and death.
and scarily all over the news.
遍布各大新闻媒体,引得人心惶惶。
major US cities,
打击美国主要城市的潜力,
with tweets of "fire and fury."
that tensions would escalate
目前紧张的局势有可能恶化,
were calling and asking was:
还是说他们可以放心?
a fundamental question:
no, they didn't need to worry just yet,
他们还不必为此担心的时候,
under a much larger cloud for decades --
生活数十年了——
that friends of mine
don't know much about nuclear weapons
tension abated,
a relic of the past.
with the specter of nuclear war
核战争的在阴霾下长大。
to think about nuclear weapons.
不喜欢去想核武器的事。
a cheerier field to study.
愉快一点的研究领域。
have been more uplifting.
to think about in their busy lives,
有那么多别的东西要去考虑,
about something over which
some semblance of control,
smarter than they on this topic,
比他们自己在这方面更聪明的人,
好让大家都平平安安。
people don't talk about this,
jargon and terminology
for a lot of people.
I think makes us numb
想要讨论的东西感到麻木,
in the number of nuclear weapons
in the world today.
将近一万五千枚核弹头。
over 90 percent of these nuclear weapons.
the countries that have the rest.
这些国家拥有剩下的核武器。
300-ish range and below.
that we have new technologies
我们拥有的最新科技
countries like ours and others
某一天类似我们的和他们的国家
about a nuclear strike to a robot,
机器人来决定。
to inform those algorithms?
来支持这些算法呢?
misunderstanding.
tends to grow longer by the day.
只会一天比一天多。
of former officials,
we're in greater danger
in the Cold War.
on the advice from the 1950s.
some fundamental questions
with the way it is.
questions of ourselves
three with you today.
are you willing to take or tolerate?"
depends on deterrence theory.
country's nuclear weapons
from using theirs.
双方陷入僵局。
and we're all safe.
我们就都安全了。
who challenge this theory
this way in practice?
for mistakes or miscalculations.
一点失误和计算错误。
gambling my future survival,
下一代的存亡作为赌注,
on the other side of the Earth.
数以百万计的人全部蒸发。
to solve complex problems,
because women were involved --
因为女人也参与其中——
that should be possible.
更有人性的解决方案。
should make nuclear decisions?"
“你认为谁应该决定使用核武器?”
in the United States,
to launch a nuclear strike.
depending on the scenario,
也许在巨大的压力之下,
or a misunderstanding --
of millions of lives:
and launch a nuclear strike,
发动一次核打击,
the annihilation of the human race.
our reality, though, and in fact,
that have nuclear weapons, it's not,
拥有核武器的国家并不是这样的,
that are not democracies.
我们也可以改变它,
underway to do so.
know about nuclear weapons,
are they likely to take on your behalf?"
a very important role to play
US nuclear weapons policy.
what not to fund,
since the end of the Cold War,
in the level of understanding,
some terrific new champions emerge,
优秀的政治家崭露头角的同时,
lack of awareness
critically important decisions.
that currently grips Washington
members from both sides of the aisle
the nuclear challenges we were facing
on cooperative programs.
that nuclear risk reduction
to succumb to political partisanship.
Threat Reduction Program,
in the former Soviet Union.
of bipartisanship,
当年双边合作的年代,
and awareness about the challenges we face
才会行动起来。
about nuclear weapons?"
on your staff?
somebody you could refer to
在你要做出重大决定的时候,
an important decision?"
with your own views and values.
to spend US national treasure?
to put aside partisanship
that affects my survival
is far too difficult to understand
for the general public to understand,
实在太复杂有太多细节了,
to our lives --
be any different?
education, the environment.
such hallmarks of US democracy,
and death that we're talking about.
nuclear weapons keep us safe
partisan, ideological issues
the guts to tell my friends at the time.
当初我没有胆量告诉我朋友的话。
you can do about it.
can live with too.
to represent your views.
to change the answer to the question
我们才能改变这个问题的答案。
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Emma Belcher - Nuclear security expertEmma Belcher develops and implements strategy for reducing the threat posed by nuclear weapons.
Why you should listen
Emma Belcher is the Director of Nuclear Challenges at the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation. In partnership with the MacArthur Foundation board of directors and president, she allocates roughly 20 million dollars in grants annually to organizations worldwide focused on nuclear policy. The MacArthur Foundation is the largest funder in the nuclear field. Prior to joining the MacArthur Foundation, Belcher published research on nuclear weapons at the Council on Foreign Relations as a Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow. She has also worked as an advisor in Australia’s Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet on national security and international affairs and as a public affairs officer at the Australian embassy in Washington, D.C.
Belcher is currently on the Advisor Board for N Square, a project of the New Venture Fund, which consists of a network of innovators working to end the nuclear threat. She was a fellow at the Harvard University's Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs and was named an Emerging Leader by the Chicago Council on Global Affairs. Belcher has a PhD and master’s degree from the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University, and a bachelor of arts from University of Melbourne.
Emma Belcher | Speaker | TED.com