TED2009
Al Gore: What comes after An Inconvenient Truth?
Al Gore upozorava na posljednje klimatske promjene
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Na TED-u 2009., Al Gore je prezentirao obnovljenu prezentaciju koju je pokazao širom svijeta, kako bi nas uvjerio da postoje zabrinjavajući klimatski trendovi koji su gori od onoga što su znanstvenici predvidjeli i kako bi jasno ukazao na svoj stav o "čistom ugljenu".
Al Gore - Climate advocate
Nobel Laureate Al Gore focused the world’s attention on the global climate crisis. Now he’s showing us how we’re moving towards real solutions. Full bio
Nobel Laureate Al Gore focused the world’s attention on the global climate crisis. Now he’s showing us how we’re moving towards real solutions. Full bio
Double-click the English transcript below to play the video.
00:12
Last year I showed these two slides so that
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Prošle godine sam pokazao ova dva slajda kako bih
00:15
demonstrate that the arctic ice cap,
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demonstrirao da se arktička ledena kapa,
00:17
which for most of the last three million years
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koja je u proteklih 3 milijuna godina
00:19
has been the size of the lower 48 states,
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bila veličine 48 "donjih" saveznih država,
00:21
has shrunk by 40 percent.
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smanjila za 40%.
00:23
But this understates the seriousness of this particular problem
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Ali to nedovoljno ukazuje na ozbiljnost ovog problema
00:26
because it doesn't show the thickness of the ice.
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jer ne prikazuje debljinu leda.
00:29
The arctic ice cap is, in a sense,
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Arktička ledena kapa je, na određeni način,
00:31
the beating heart of the global climate system.
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pulsirajuće srce globalnog klimatskog sustava.
00:34
It expands in winter and contracts in summer.
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Ona se širi zimi i skuplja ljeti.
00:37
The next slide I show you will be
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Slijedeći slajd koji ću pokazati jest
00:40
a rapid fast-forward of what's happened over the last 25 years.
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ubrzani prikaz onoga što se događalo u proteklih 25 godina.
00:44
The permanent ice is marked in red.
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Stalni led je označen crvenom.
00:46
As you see, it expands to the dark blue --
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Kao što vidite, on se širi u tamno plavo.
00:49
that's the annual ice in winter,
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To je godišnji led tijekom zime.
00:51
and it contracts in summer.
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I skuplja se tijekom ljeta.
00:53
The so-called permanent ice, five years old or older,
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Takozvani stalni led, star pet godina ili stariji,
00:55
you can see is almost like blood,
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kao što vidite gotovo je poput krvi,
00:58
spilling out of the body here.
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koja se ovdje izlijeva iz tijela.
01:02
In 25 years it's gone from this, to this.
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U 25 godina je došla iz ovoga u ovo.
01:06
This is a problem because the warming
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To je problem jer zagrijavanje
01:09
heats up the frozen ground around the Arctic Ocean,
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grije zamrznutu zemlju oko arktičkog oceana
01:12
where there is a massive amount of frozen carbon
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a u njoj se nalaze velike količine zamrznutog ugljika
01:15
which, when it thaws, is turned into methane by microbes.
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koji se, kada se otapa, pretvara u metan od strane mikroba.
01:18
Compared to the total amount of global warming pollution in the atmosphere,
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Uspoređujući s ukupnom količinom zagađenja u atmosferi od globalnog zagrijavanja,
01:22
that amount could double if we cross this tipping point.
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ta bi se količina mogla udvostručiti ako prijeđemo točku preokreta.
01:26
Already in some shallow lakes in Alaska,
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Već se u nekim plitkim jezerima u Aljasci
01:29
methane is actively bubbling up out of the water.
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može vidjeti metan koji aktivno izlazi iz vode u obliku mjehurića.
01:31
Professor Katey Walter from the University of Alaska
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Profesorica Katey Walter sa Sveučilišta Aljaske
01:34
went out with another team to another shallow lake last winter.
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je otišla s drugim timom na drugo plitko jezero prošle zime.
01:48
Video: Whoa! (Laughter)
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Video: Evo! (Smijeh)
01:50
Al Gore: She's okay. The question is whether we will be.
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Al Gore: Ona je dobro. Pitanje je, hoćemo li mi biti?
01:53
And one reason is, this enormous heat sink
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A jedan od razloga jest, da ta enormna toplina
01:55
heats up Greenland from the north.
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zagrijava Grenland sa sjevera.
01:58
This is an annual melting river.
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Ovo je rijeka koja nastaje topljenjem svake godine.
02:01
But the volumes are much larger than ever.
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Međutim njen volumen je veći nego ikada.
02:04
This is the Kangerlussuaq River in southwest Greenland.
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Ovo je rijeka Kangerlussuaq na južnozapadnom Grenlandu.
02:07
If you want to know how sea level rises
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Ako želite znati kako se povećava razina mora
02:09
from land-base ice melting
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od topljenja leda na kopnu
02:11
this is where it reaches the sea.
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ovdje je mjesto gdje dolazi u more.
02:13
These flows are increasing very rapidly.
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Ove bujice rastu jako brzo.
02:15
At the other end of the planet, Antarctica
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Na drugom kraju Planeta, Antartici
02:17
the largest mass of ice on the planet.
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najvećoj masi leda na planetu.
02:19
Last month scientists reported the entire continent
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Prošlog mjeseca su znanstvenici izvjestili kako cijeli kontinent
02:21
is now in negative ice balance.
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sada ima negativnu ledenu bilancu.
02:23
And west Antarctica cropped up on top some under-sea islands,
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A zapadna Antartika na kojoj se pojavljuju ispod površinski otoci
02:27
is particularly rapid in its melting.
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se posebno brzo topi.
02:30
That's equal to 20 feet of sea level, as is Greenland.
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To je jednako šestmetarskoj razini mora, kao Grenland.
02:34
In the Himalayas, the third largest mass of ice:
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Na Himalajima, trećoj najvećoj masi leda,
02:36
at the top you see new lakes, which a few years ago were glaciers.
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na vrhu se mogu vidjeti nova jezera, koja su prije nekoliko godina bila glečeri.
02:40
40 percent of all the people in the world
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40% svih ljudi na svijetu
02:42
get half of their drinking water from that melting flow.
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dobiva pola svoje pitke vode od otapanja.
02:44
In the Andes, this glacier is the
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Na Andima, je ovaj glečer
02:46
source of drinking water for this city.
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izvor pitke vode za ovaj grad.
02:48
The flows have increased.
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Otapanja su se povećala.
02:50
But when they go away, so does much of the drinking water.
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Ali kada nestanu, nestati će i pitke vode.
02:53
In California there has been a 40 percent
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U Kaliforniji se dogodio 40%
02:55
decline in the Sierra snowpack.
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smanjenje snježnog pokrivača u Sierri.
02:57
This is hitting the reservoirs.
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To pogađa akumulacijske rezervoare.
02:59
And the predictions, as you've read, are serious.
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A predviđanja, kao što ste pročitali, su ozbiljna.
03:02
This drying around the world has lead to
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To isušivanje širom svijeta je dovelo do
03:04
a dramatic increase in fires.
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dramatičkog povećanja požara.
03:06
And the disasters around the world
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A prirodne nepogode širom svijeta
03:09
have been increasing at an absolutely extraordinary
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rastu apsolutno izuzetnom
03:11
and unprecedented rate.
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i besprimjernom stopom.
03:13
Four times as many in the last 30 years
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Četiri puta više u posljednjih 30 godina
03:15
as in the previous 75.
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nego što ih je bilo u 75 godina prije toga.
03:17
This is a completely unsustainable pattern.
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To je apsolutno neodrživi obrazac.
03:21
If you look at in the context of history
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Ako promatrate povijesni kontekst
03:24
you can see what this is doing.
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onda možete shvatiti što se događa.
03:29
In the last five years
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U posljednjih pet godina
03:31
we've added 70 million tons of CO2
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smo dodali 70 milijuna tona CO2
03:33
every 24 hours --
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svaka 24 sata --
03:35
25 million tons every day to the oceans.
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25 milijuna tona svaki dan oceanima.
03:37
Look carefully at the area of the eastern Pacific,
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Pogledajte pažljivo područje istočnog Pacifika,
03:40
from the Americas, extending westward,
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od Američkih kontinenata, širi se zapadno,
03:42
and on either side of the Indian subcontinent,
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do obje strane Indijskog podkontinenta,
03:45
where there is a radical depletion of oxygen in the oceans.
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gdje je došlo do radikalnog iscrpljivanja kisika iz oceana.
03:49
The biggest single cause of global warming,
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Jedan od najvećih globalnih izvora zatopljenja,
03:51
along with deforestation, which is 20 percent of it, is the burning of fossil fuels.
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uz deforestizaciju, na koju otpada 20%, jest sagorijevanje fosilnih goriva.
03:55
Oil is a problem, and coal is the most serious problem.
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Nafta je problem, i ugljen je jako ozbiljan problem.
03:58
The United States is one of the two
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Sjedinjene Države su jedan od dva
04:00
largest emitters, along with China.
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najveća zagađivača, zajedno s Kinom.
04:02
And the proposal has been to build a lot more coal plants.
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A prijedlog je da se sagradi još više elektrana na ugljen.
04:06
But we're beginning to see a sea change.
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Međutim sada počinjemo vidjeti more promjena.
04:08
Here are the ones that have been cancelled in the last few years
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Ovdje su one koje su otkazane u posljednjih nekoliko godina
04:11
with some green alternatives proposed.
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s nekim predloženim zelenim alternativama.
04:13
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
04:14
However there is a political battle
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Bilo kako bilo, ovdje postoji politička borba
04:17
in our country.
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u našoj zemlji.
04:19
And the coal industries and the oil industries
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A industrije ugljena i nafte
04:21
spent a quarter of a billion dollars in the last calendar year
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su potrošile ¼ milijarde dolara u protekloj kalendarskoj godini
04:24
promoting clean coal,
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promovirajući čisti ugljen
04:26
which is an oxymoron.
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što je oksimoron.
04:28
That image reminded me of something.
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Ti prizori su me podsjetili na nešto.
04:30
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
04:33
Around Christmas, in my home in Tennessee,
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Oko Božića, u mom domu u Tennesseeju,
04:35
a billion gallons of coal sludge was spilled.
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skoro 4 milijarde litara ugljenovog mulja je proliveno.
04:38
You probably saw it on the news.
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Vjerojatno ste to vidjeli na vijestima.
04:40
This, all over the country, is the second largest waste stream in America.
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Ovo, preko cijele zemlje, je drugi najveći tok otpada u Americi.
04:44
This happened around Christmas.
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To se dogodilo oko Božića.
04:46
One of the coal industry's ads around Christmas was this one.
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Ovo je jedan od promotivnih spotova industrije ugljena koji se vrtio oko Božića.
04:49
Video: ♪♫ Frosty the coal man is a jolly, happy soul.
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Video: ♪♫ Zamrznuti čovjek od ugljena je vesela, sretna duša.
04:52
He's abundant here in America,
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On je napušten ovdje u Americi
04:54
and he helps our economy grow.
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a pomaže ekonomiji rasti.
04:56
Frosty the coal man is getting cleaner everyday.
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Zamrznuti čovjek od ugljena je svaki dan sve čišći.
05:00
He's affordable and adorable, and workers keep their pay.
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On je pristupačan i obožavan, a radnici dobivaju svoju plaću.
05:04
Al Gore: This is the source of much of the coal in West Virginia.
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Al Gore: Ovo je izvor većine ugljena u Zapadnoj Virginiji.
05:08
The largest mountaintop miner is the head of Massey Coal.
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Najveći planinski rudnik je vrh Massey Coal.
05:13
Video: Don Blankenship: Let me be clear about it. Al Gore,
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Video: Don Blankenship: Dozvolite da budem jasan Al Gore,
05:15
Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, they don't know what they're talking about.
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Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, oni nemaju pojma o čemu pričaju.
05:19
Al Gore: So the Alliance for Climate Protection
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Al Gore: Tako je Savez za zaštitu klime
05:21
has launched two campaigns.
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izbacio dvije kampanje.
05:23
This is one of them, part of one of them.
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Ovo je jedna, dio jedne.
05:26
Video: Actor: At COALergy we view climate change as a very serious
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Video: Glumac: U UGLJENozemlji mi gledamo na klimatske promjene kao na jako ozbiljnu
05:28
threat to our business.
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prijetnu našem poslovanju.
05:30
That's why we've made it our primary goal
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Zato je naš primarni cilj
05:32
to spend a large sum of money
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potrošiti velike sume novca
05:34
on an advertising effort to help bring out and complicate
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na promotivne napore kako bismo iznijeli i zakomplicirali
05:37
the truth about coal.
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istinu o ugljenu.
05:39
The fact is, coal isn't dirty.
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Činjenica je, ugljen nije priljav.
05:41
We think it's clean --
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Mi mislimo da je čist --
05:43
smells good, too.
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dobro i miriše.
05:45
So don't worry about climate change.
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Zato ne brinite za klimatske promjene.
05:48
Leave that up to us.
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Prepustite to nama.
05:50
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
05:51
Video: Actor: Clean coal -- you've heard a lot about it.
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Video: Glumac: Čisti ugljen, čuli se puno o njemu.
05:53
So let's take a tour of this state-of-the-art clean coal facility.
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Zato napravimo tour po tom vrhunski čistom postrojenju za ugljen.
05:59
Amazing! The machinery is kind of loud.
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Zapanjujuće! Strojevi su nešto bučni.
06:02
But that's the sound of clean coal technology.
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Ali to je zvuk čiste tehnologije ugljena.
06:06
And while burning coal is one of the leading causes of global warming,
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I dok je spaljivanje ugljena jedan od ključnih uzroka globalnog zatopljavanja,
06:09
the remarkable clean coal technology you see here
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čudesno čista ugljena tehnologija koju vidite ovdje
06:12
changes everything.
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mijenja sve.
06:14
Take a good long look: this is today's clean coal technology.
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Dobro pogledajte, ovu današnju čistu ugljenu tehnologiju.
06:19
Al Gore: Finally, the positive alternative
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Al Gore: Konačno pozitivna alternativa
06:21
meshes with our economic challenge
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isprepliće s ekonomskim izazovom
06:23
and our national security challenge.
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i izazovom naše nacionalne sigurnosti.
06:25
Video: Narrator: America is in crisis -- the economy,
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Video: Narator: Amerika je u krizi, ekonomija,
06:27
national security, the climate crisis.
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nacionalna sigurnost, klimatske krize.
06:30
The thread that links them all:
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Prijetnja koja ih sve povezuje,
06:32
our addiction to carbon based fuels,
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naša ovisnost o fosilnim gorivima,
06:34
like dirty coal and foreign oil.
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poput prljavog ugljena i strane nafte.
06:36
But now there is a bold new solution to get us out of this mess.
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Ali postoji snažno novo rješenje koje će nas izvući iz tog nereda.
06:39
Repower America with 100 percent clean electricity
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Osnažite Ameriku s 100% čistom strujom,
06:42
within 10 years.
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za manje od 10 godina.
06:44
A plan to put America back to work,
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Plan koji će Ameriku zaposliti,
06:46
make us more secure, and help stop global warming.
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učiniti nas sigurnijim, i pomoći zaustaviti globalno zatopljenje.
06:49
Finally, a solution that's big enough to solve our problems.
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Konačno, rješenje koje je dovoljno veliko da riješi naše probleme.
06:52
Repower America. Find out more.
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Osnažite Ameriku. Saznajte više.
06:54
Al Gore: This is the last one.
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Al Gore: Ovo je zadnji.
07:03
Video: Narrator: It's about repowering America.
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Video: Narator: Radi se o osnaživanju Amerike.
07:05
One of the fastest ways to cut our dependence
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Jedan od najbržih načina za ukidanje naše ovisnosti
07:07
on old dirty fuels that are killing our planet.
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o starim prljavim gorivima koja ubijaju naš planet.
07:12
Man: Future's over here. Wind, sun, a new energy grid.
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Čovjek: Budućnost je ovdje. Vjetar, sunce, nova energetska mreža.
07:17
Man #2: New investments to create high-paying jobs.
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Čovjek # 2: Nove investicije koje će kreirati poslove koji se plaćaju.
07:22
Narrator: Repower America. It's time to get real.
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Narator: Osnažite Ameriku. Vrijeme je da postanemo ozbiljni.
07:26
Al Gore: There is an old African proverb that says,
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Al Gore: Postoji jedna stara afrička poslovica
07:29
"If you want to go quickly, go alone.
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"Ako želite ići brzo, idite sami.
07:31
If you want to go far, go together."
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ako želite doći daleko, idite zajedno."
07:34
We need to go far, quickly.
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Mi moramo ići daleko, jako brzo.
07:36
Thank you very much.
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Hvala vam puno.
07:38
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Al Gore - Climate advocateNobel Laureate Al Gore focused the world’s attention on the global climate crisis. Now he’s showing us how we’re moving towards real solutions.
Why you should listen
Former Vice President Al Gore is co-founder and chairman of Generation Investment Management. While he’s is a senior partner at Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, and a member of Apple, Inc.’s board of directors, Gore spends the majority of his time as chair of The Climate Reality Project, a nonprofit devoted to solving the climate crisis.
He is the author of the bestsellers Earth in the Balance, An Inconvenient Truth, The Assault on Reason, Our Choice: A Plan to Solve the Climate Crisis, and most recently, The Future: Six Drivers of Global Change. He is the subject of the Oscar-winning documentary An Inconvenient Truth and is the co-recipient, with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, of the Nobel Peace Prize for 2007 for “informing the world of the dangers posed by climate change.”
Gore was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 1976, 1978, 1980 and 1982 and the U.S. Senate in 1984 and 1990. He was inaugurated as the 45th Vice President of the United States on January 20, 1993, and served eight years.
Al Gore | Speaker | TED.com