TED2009
Al Gore: What comes after An Inconvenient Truth?
Al Gore warns on the latest climate trends
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At TED2009, Al Gore presents updated slides from around the globe to make the case that worrying climate trends are even worse than scientists predicted, and to make clear his stance on "clean coal."
Al Gore - Climate advocate
Nobel Laureate Al Gore focused the world’s attention on the global climate crisis. Now he’s showing us how we’re moving towards real solutions. Full bio
Nobel Laureate Al Gore focused the world’s attention on the global climate crisis. Now he’s showing us how we’re moving towards real solutions. Full bio
Double-click the English transcript below to play the video.
00:12
Last year I showed these two slides so that
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Mwaka jana nilionyesha hizi kurasa mbili ili
00:15
demonstrate that the arctic ice cap,
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kuthibitisha kuwa barafu inayofunika arctic,
00:17
which for most of the last three million years
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ambayo kwa zaidi ya miaka milioni tatu iliyopita
00:19
has been the size of the lower 48 states,
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imekuwa na ukubwa unaopungua kidogo ya ule wa majimbo 48,
00:21
has shrunk by 40 percent.
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imepungua kwa asilimia 40.
00:23
But this understates the seriousness of this particular problem
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Lakini hii inapunguza msisitizo wa tatizo hili mahsusi
00:26
because it doesn't show the thickness of the ice.
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kwa sababu haionyeshi unene wa barafu.
00:29
The arctic ice cap is, in a sense,
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Mfuniko wa barafu wa arctic ni, kwa matazamo,
00:31
the beating heart of the global climate system.
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Mapigo ya moyo wa mfumo wa tabia nchi wa dunia.
00:34
It expands in winter and contracts in summer.
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Inatanuka wakati wa masika na kusinyaa wakati wa kiangazi.
00:37
The next slide I show you will be
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Kurasa inayofuata nawaonesha
00:40
a rapid fast-forward of what's happened over the last 25 years.
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(barafu) itatoweka kwa kasi zaidi kuliko ilivyotokea miaka 25 iliyopita.
00:44
The permanent ice is marked in red.
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Barafu ya kudumu imewekewa alama nyekundu.
00:46
As you see, it expands to the dark blue --
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Kama mnavyoona, inatanuka kuelekea rangi ya bluu iliyokolea.
00:49
that's the annual ice in winter,
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Hiyo ni barafu ya mwaka wakati wa masika.
00:51
and it contracts in summer.
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Na inasinyaa wakati wa kiangazi.
00:53
The so-called permanent ice, five years old or older,
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Kilichoitwa barafu ya kudumu, katika umri wa miaka mitano,
00:55
you can see is almost like blood,
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mnaona imekuwa kama damu,
00:58
spilling out of the body here.
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ikitiririka kutoka mwilini hapa.
01:02
In 25 years it's gone from this, to this.
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Ndani ya miaka 25 imetoweka kutoka hii, hadi hii.
01:06
This is a problem because the warming
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Hili ni tatizo kwa kuwa kuongezeka kwa joto,
01:09
heats up the frozen ground around the Arctic Ocean,
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kunapasha ardhi iliyoganda kuzunguka bahari ya arctic
01:12
where there is a massive amount of frozen carbon
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ambayo ina kiasi kikubwa cha ukaa ulioganda
01:15
which, when it thaws, is turned into methane by microbes.
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ambao, unapoyeyuka, unabadilishwa na wadudu wadogo kuwa methini.
01:18
Compared to the total amount of global warming pollution in the atmosphere,
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Ukilinganisha na jumla ya uchafuzi wa anga wenye kuleta ongezeko la joto duniani,
01:22
that amount could double if we cross this tipping point.
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Kiasi hiki chaweza`kuwa mara mbili endapo tutavuka ncha hii hatari.
01:26
Already in some shallow lakes in Alaska,
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Tayari katika maziwa ya kina kifupi yaliyoko Alaska
01:29
methane is actively bubbling up out of the water.
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methini inatoka majini kama mapovu yenye nguvu.
01:31
Professor Katey Walter from the University of Alaska
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Profesa Katey Walter kutoka Chuo Kikuu cha Alaska
01:34
went out with another team to another shallow lake last winter.
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alienda pamoja na timu nyingine kwenye ziwa jingine fupi wakati wa masika iliyopita.
01:48
Video: Whoa! (Laughter)
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Whoa!
01:50
Al Gore: She's okay. The question is whether we will be.
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Yuko sawa. Swali ni iwapo tutakuwa.
01:53
And one reason is, this enormous heat sink
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Na sababu moja ni, hili joto kuu linaloshuka
01:55
heats up Greenland from the north.
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likipasha joto Greenland kutoka kaskazini.
01:58
This is an annual melting river.
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Huu ni mto unaoyeyuka mwaka mzima.
02:01
But the volumes are much larger than ever.
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Lakini kiasi cha ujazo ni kikubwa kuliko wakati wote.
02:04
This is the Kangerlussuaq River in southwest Greenland.
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Huu ni mto Kangerlussuaq kusini magharibi mwa Greenland.
02:07
If you want to know how sea level rises
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Kama unataka kujua jinsi kina cha bahari kinavyoongezeka
02:09
from land-base ice melting
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kutokana na kuyeyuka kwa ardhi-barafu
02:11
this is where it reaches the sea.
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hapa ndipo huingilia baharini.
02:13
These flows are increasing very rapidly.
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Mitiririko hii inaongezeka kwa kasi sana.
02:15
At the other end of the planet, Antarctica
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Pale Antarctica, mwisho mwingine wa sayari,
02:17
the largest mass of ice on the planet.
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kuna mlundikano mkubwa zaidi wa barafu katika sayari hii.
02:19
Last month scientists reported the entire continent
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Mwezi uliopita wanasayansi waliripoti bara nzima
02:21
is now in negative ice balance.
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lina barafu katika mizania hasi.
02:23
And west Antarctica cropped up on top some under-sea islands,
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Na Antarctica magharibi ambayo imezuka ghafla juu ya baadhi ya visiwa ndani ya bahari,
02:27
is particularly rapid in its melting.
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Ni mahsusi kwa kuyeyuka haraka.
02:30
That's equal to 20 feet of sea level, as is Greenland.
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Hiyo si sawa na futi 20 za usawa wa bahari, kama ilivyo Greenland.
02:34
In the Himalayas, the third largest mass of ice:
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Himalaya, ina mkusanyiko wa barafu wa tatu kwa ukubwa,
02:36
at the top you see new lakes, which a few years ago were glaciers.
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Juu yake unaona maziwa mapya, ambayo miaka michache iliyopita yalikuwa barafu.
02:40
40 percent of all the people in the world
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Asilimia 40 ya watu wote duniani
02:42
get half of their drinking water from that melting flow.
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wanapata nusu ya maji ya kunywa kutokana na kuyeyuka kunakotoa mtiririko huo.
02:44
In the Andes, this glacier is the
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Katika Andes, hii barafu ni
02:46
source of drinking water for this city.
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chanzo cha maji ya kunywa kwa jiji hili.
02:48
The flows have increased.
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Mitiririko imeongezeka.
02:50
But when they go away, so does much of the drinking water.
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Lakini kadiri yanavyotoweka, vivyo hivyo na maji ya kunywa
02:53
In California there has been a 40 percent
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Huko California asilimia 40
02:55
decline in the Sierra snowpack.
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ya mlundikano ya barafu wa Sierra umepungua.
02:57
This is hitting the reservoirs.
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Hili linaathiri akiba ya maji.
02:59
And the predictions, as you've read, are serious.
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Na tabiri, kama mlivyosoma, ni makini.
03:02
This drying around the world has lead to
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Huku kukauka kwa dunia kumepelekea
03:04
a dramatic increase in fires.
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Ongezeko kubwa la mioto.
03:06
And the disasters around the world
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Na maafa duniani kote
03:09
have been increasing at an absolutely extraordinary
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yamekuwa yakiongezeka kwa kiwango kisicho cha kawaida
03:11
and unprecedented rate.
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na kwa kasi ya kutisha.
03:13
Four times as many in the last 30 years
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Mara nne zaidi katika miaka 30 iliyopita
03:15
as in the previous 75.
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kama ilivyo kwa miaka 75 ya karibuni.
03:17
This is a completely unsustainable pattern.
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Huu ni mpangilio usio endelevu kabisa.
03:21
If you look at in the context of history
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Kama ukiangalia katika muktadha wa historia
03:24
you can see what this is doing.
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unaweza kuona hii inafanya nini.
03:29
In the last five years
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Katika miaka mitano iliyopita
03:31
we've added 70 million tons of CO2
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Tumeongeza tani milioni 70 za hewa ya ukaa
03:33
every 24 hours --
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kila saa 24 --
03:35
25 million tons every day to the oceans.
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tani milioni 25 kila siku kwenda baharini.
03:37
Look carefully at the area of the eastern Pacific,
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Angalia kwa makini eneo la mashariki mwa Pacific,
03:40
from the Americas, extending westward,
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kutoka Amerika, likitanuka kuelekea magharibi
03:42
and on either side of the Indian subcontinent,
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na upande wowote wa bara dogo la India,
03:45
where there is a radical depletion of oxygen in the oceans.
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ambako hewa ya oksijeni katika bahari inaisha kwa kasi.
03:49
The biggest single cause of global warming,
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Sababu moja kubwa ya ongezeko la joto duniani
03:51
along with deforestation, which is 20 percent of it, is the burning of fossil fuels.
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sambamba na ukataji hovyo wa miti, ambao ni asilimia 20, ni nishati itokanayo na visukuku
03:55
Oil is a problem, and coal is the most serious problem.
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Mafuta ni tatizo, na makaa ya wawe ni tatizo kubwa kuliko yote.
03:58
The United States is one of the two
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Marekani ni moja ya nchi mbili
04:00
largest emitters, along with China.
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kubwa zinazotoa gesi joto, sambamba na China.
04:02
And the proposal has been to build a lot more coal plants.
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Na pendekezo limekuwa kujenga viwanda zaidi vya makaa ya mawe.
04:06
But we're beginning to see a sea change.
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Lakini tulikuwa tunaanza kuona badiliko.
04:08
Here are the ones that have been cancelled in the last few years
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Hapa ni mpango mmoja uliovunjwa miaka michache iliyopita
04:11
with some green alternatives proposed.
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Kukiwa na mapendekezo mbadala ya kijani.
04:13
(Applause)
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(Makofi)
04:14
However there is a political battle
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Hata hivyo kuna vita ya kisiasa
04:17
in our country.
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nchini mwetu.
04:19
And the coal industries and the oil industries
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Na viwanda vya makaa ya mawe na viwanda vya mafuta
04:21
spent a quarter of a billion dollars in the last calendar year
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vilitumia dola robo bilioni katika mwaka wa kalenda uliopita
04:24
promoting clean coal,
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kutangaza makaa safi ya mawe,
04:26
which is an oxymoron.
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ambayo ni utatanishi.
04:28
That image reminded me of something.
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Picha hiyo ilinikumbusha kitu
04:30
(Laughter)
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(Kicheko)
04:33
Around Christmas, in my home in Tennessee,
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Karibia na Krismas, nyumbani kwangu Tennessee,
04:35
a billion gallons of coal sludge was spilled.
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galoni bilioni za majimaji ya makaa ya mawe zilivuja.
04:38
You probably saw it on the news.
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Huenda mliiona kwenye habari.
04:40
This, all over the country, is the second largest waste stream in America.
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Hiki, nchini kote, ni kijito cha pili kwa ukubwa cha uchafu katika Marekani.
04:44
This happened around Christmas.
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Hii ilitokea karibu na Krismas.
04:46
One of the coal industry's ads around Christmas was this one.
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Moja ya matangazo kutoka kiwanda cha makaa ya mawe karibia Krismas lilikuwa hili,
04:49
Video: ♪♫ Frosty the coal man is a jolly, happy soul.
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Bila bashasha Kaa-jiwe-mtu ni mchangamfu, akiishi kwa furaha.
04:52
He's abundant here in America,
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Anapatikana kwa wingi hapa Marekani,
04:54
and he helps our economy grow.
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Na anasaidia uchumi wetu kukua.
04:56
Frosty the coal man is getting cleaner everyday.
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Bila bashasha kaa–jiwe-mtu anakuwa safi kila siku,
05:00
He's affordable and adorable, and workers keep their pay.
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gharama yake ni ndogo na anapendwa, na watumishi wanabakiza malipo yao.
05:04
Al Gore: This is the source of much of the coal in West Virginia.
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Hiki ni chanzo cha kiasi kikubwa cha makaa ya mawe katika Virginia Magharibi
05:08
The largest mountaintop miner is the head of Massey Coal.
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Mchimbaji mkubwa kuliko wote ni mkuu wa kampuni ya makaa ya mawe ya Massey
05:13
Video: Don Blankenship: Let me be clear about it. Al Gore,
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Ngoja niwe wazi kuhusu hiyo. Al Gore,
05:15
Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, they don't know what they're talking about.
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Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, hawajui wanalozungumzia.
05:19
Al Gore: So the Alliance for Climate Protection
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Kwa hiyo Muungano wa Kulinda Tabia Nchi
05:21
has launched two campaigns.
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umezindua kampeni mbili.
05:23
This is one of them, part of one of them.
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Hii ni mojawapo, sehemu ya mojawapo.
05:26
Video: Actor: At COALergy we view climate change as a very serious
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Pale COALergy tunaona mabadiliko ya tabia nchi kama
05:28
threat to our business.
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tishio kubwa kwa biashara zetu.
05:30
That's why we've made it our primary goal
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Ndio maana tumelifanya lengo letu la msingi
05:32
to spend a large sum of money
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kutumia kiasi kikubwa cha fedha
05:34
on an advertising effort to help bring out and complicate
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katika juhudi za kutangaza kuweza kuuweka wazi na kwa ujumla wake
05:37
the truth about coal.
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uweki kuhusu makaa ya mawe.
05:39
The fact is, coal isn't dirty.
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Ukweli ni kuwa, makaa ya mawe sio uchafu.
05:41
We think it's clean --
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Tunadhani ni safi –
05:43
smells good, too.
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ina harufu nzuri, pia.
05:45
So don't worry about climate change.
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Hivyo msijali kuhusu mabadiliko ya tabia nchi.
05:48
Leave that up to us.
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Tuachie sisi.
05:50
(Laughter)
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(Kicheko)
05:51
Video: Actor: Clean coal -- you've heard a lot about it.
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Makaa safi ya mawe, mmesikia mengi kuyahusu.
05:53
So let's take a tour of this state-of-the-art clean coal facility.
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Hivyo hebu tutalii nyenzo yetu mahiri ya makaa safi ya mawe.
05:59
Amazing! The machinery is kind of loud.
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Yashangaza! Mashine ni aina ya kelele.
06:02
But that's the sound of clean coal technology.
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Lakini hiyo ni sauti ya teknolojia ya makaa safi ya mawe.
06:06
And while burning coal is one of the leading causes of global warming,
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Na wakati kuchoma makaa ya mawe ni moja ya sababu kuu za ongezeko la joto duniani,
06:09
the remarkable clean coal technology you see here
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teknolojia ya kipekee ya makaa safi ya mawe mnayoona hapa
06:12
changes everything.
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inabadilisha kila kitu.
06:14
Take a good long look: this is today's clean coal technology.
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Angalia kwa kirefu, hii ni teknolojia ya kisasa ya makaa safi ya mawe.
06:19
Al Gore: Finally, the positive alternative
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Mwisho mbadala chanya
06:21
meshes with our economic challenge
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Unaoana na changamoto zetu za kiuchumi
06:23
and our national security challenge.
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na changamoto zetu za usalama wa taifa.
06:25
Video: Narrator: America is in crisis -- the economy,
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Marekani ipo katika mzozo, uchumi,
06:27
national security, the climate crisis.
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Usalama wa taifa, mzozo wa tabia nchi.
06:30
The thread that links them all:
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Utando unaziunganisha zote,
06:32
our addiction to carbon based fuels,
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mazoea yetu ya nishati zitokanazo na ukaa,
06:34
like dirty coal and foreign oil.
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kama makaa ya mawe chafu na mafuta ya kigeni.
06:36
But now there is a bold new solution to get us out of this mess.
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Lakini sasa kuna suluhisho mpya thabiti la kututoa katika vurugu hili.
06:39
Repower America with 100 percent clean electricity
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Kuipa nguvu mpya Marekani kwa kuwa na umeme safi kwa asilimia 100,
06:42
within 10 years.
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ndani ya miaka 10.
06:44
A plan to put America back to work,
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Mpango wa kuirejesha Marekani kazini,
06:46
make us more secure, and help stop global warming.
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unatufanya tuwe salama, na unasaidia kusimamisha ongezeko la joto duniani.
06:49
Finally, a solution that's big enough to solve our problems.
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Mwisho, suluhisho lililo kubwa vya kutosha kusuluhisha matatizo yetu.
06:52
Repower America. Find out more.
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Kuipa nguvu mpya Marekani. Tafuta zaidi.
06:54
Al Gore: This is the last one.
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Hii ni ya mwisho.
07:03
Video: Narrator: It's about repowering America.
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Inahusu kuipa nguvu mpya Marekani.
07:05
One of the fastest ways to cut our dependence
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Moja ya njia za haraka kupunguza utegemezi wetu
07:07
on old dirty fuels that are killing our planet.
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kwenye nishati chafu ya kizamani inayoua sayari yetu.
07:12
Man: Future's over here. Wind, sun, a new energy grid.
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Mustakabali wetu upo hapa. Upepo, jua, nishati mpya ya gridi.
07:17
Man #2: New investments to create high-paying jobs.
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Uwekezaji mpya unaotengeneza ajira mpya zenye malipo makubwa.
07:22
Narrator: Repower America. It's time to get real.
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Ipe nguvu mpya Marekani. Ni wakati wa kupata usahihi.
07:26
Al Gore: There is an old African proverb that says,
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Kuna methali ya kale ya Kiafrika isemayo,
07:29
"If you want to go quickly, go alone.
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"Kama unataka kwenda haraka, nenda mwenyewe.
07:31
If you want to go far, go together."
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Kama unataka kwenda mbali, nenda pamoja."
07:34
We need to go far, quickly.
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Tunataka kwenda mbali, kwa haraka.
07:36
Thank you very much.
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Asanteni sana.
07:38
(Applause)
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(Makofi)
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Al Gore - Climate advocateNobel Laureate Al Gore focused the world’s attention on the global climate crisis. Now he’s showing us how we’re moving towards real solutions.
Why you should listen
Former Vice President Al Gore is co-founder and chairman of Generation Investment Management. While he’s is a senior partner at Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, and a member of Apple, Inc.’s board of directors, Gore spends the majority of his time as chair of The Climate Reality Project, a nonprofit devoted to solving the climate crisis.
He is the author of the bestsellers Earth in the Balance, An Inconvenient Truth, The Assault on Reason, Our Choice: A Plan to Solve the Climate Crisis, and most recently, The Future: Six Drivers of Global Change. He is the subject of the Oscar-winning documentary An Inconvenient Truth and is the co-recipient, with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, of the Nobel Peace Prize for 2007 for “informing the world of the dangers posed by climate change.”
Gore was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 1976, 1978, 1980 and 1982 and the U.S. Senate in 1984 and 1990. He was inaugurated as the 45th Vice President of the United States on January 20, 1993, and served eight years.
Al Gore | Speaker | TED.com