TED2009
Al Gore: What comes after An Inconvenient Truth?
Al Gor upozorava na najnovije klimatske promene.
Filmed:
Readability: 4.6
952,886 views
Na TED2009 Al Gor predstavlja ažurirane slajdove, koje je prikazao širom sveta kako bi dokazao da su zabrinjavajući klimatski trendovi čak mnogo gori nego što su naučnici predvideli, i kako bi razjasnio svoj stav prema "čistom uglju".
Al Gore - Climate advocate
Nobel Laureate Al Gore focused the world’s attention on the global climate crisis. Now he’s showing us how we’re moving towards real solutions. Full bio
Nobel Laureate Al Gore focused the world’s attention on the global climate crisis. Now he’s showing us how we’re moving towards real solutions. Full bio
Double-click the English transcript below to play the video.
00:12
Last year I showed these two slides so that
0
0
3000
Prošle godine sam prikazao ova dva slajda kako bih
00:15
demonstrate that the arctic ice cap,
1
3000
2000
pokazao da se arktički ledeni pokrivač,
00:17
which for most of the last three million years
2
5000
2000
koji je u poslednjih tri miliona godina uglavnom
00:19
has been the size of the lower 48 states,
3
7000
2000
bio veličine 48 država kontinentalne SAD,
00:21
has shrunk by 40 percent.
4
9000
2000
smanjio za 40%.
00:23
But this understates the seriousness of this particular problem
5
11000
3000
Ali ovo ne ukazuje u potpunosti na ozbiljnost ovog specifičnog problema
00:26
because it doesn't show the thickness of the ice.
6
14000
3000
jer ne pokazuje debljinu leda.
00:29
The arctic ice cap is, in a sense,
7
17000
2000
Arktički ledeni pokrivač je na neki nacin
00:31
the beating heart of the global climate system.
8
19000
3000
lupajuće srce globalnog klimatskog sistema.
00:34
It expands in winter and contracts in summer.
9
22000
3000
Zimi se širi, a leti smanjuje.
00:37
The next slide I show you will be
10
25000
3000
Na sledećem slajdu koji ću vam pokazati ćete videti
00:40
a rapid fast-forward of what's happened over the last 25 years.
11
28000
4000
ubrzano šta se desilo u poslednjih 25 godina.
00:44
The permanent ice is marked in red.
12
32000
2000
Trajni led je označen crvenom.
00:46
As you see, it expands to the dark blue --
13
34000
3000
Kao što vidite, širi se u tamno plavu.
00:49
that's the annual ice in winter,
14
37000
2000
To je godišnji led u toku zime.
00:51
and it contracts in summer.
15
39000
2000
I skuplja se tokom leta.
00:53
The so-called permanent ice, five years old or older,
16
41000
2000
Ovaj, takozvani trajni led, star 5 ili više godina je,
00:55
you can see is almost like blood,
17
43000
3000
i sami vidite, skoro kao krv,
00:58
spilling out of the body here.
18
46000
4000
koja curi iz ovog tela.
01:02
In 25 years it's gone from this, to this.
19
50000
4000
Za 25 godina je prešao iz ovoga u ovo.
01:06
This is a problem because the warming
20
54000
3000
Ovo predstavlja problem jer zagrevanje
01:09
heats up the frozen ground around the Arctic Ocean,
21
57000
3000
zagreva zaleđenu zemlju oko arktičkog okeana
01:12
where there is a massive amount of frozen carbon
22
60000
3000
gde se nalazi ogromna količina zaleđenog ugljenika
01:15
which, when it thaws, is turned into methane by microbes.
23
63000
3000
koji, kada se topi, mikrobi pretvaraju u metan.
01:18
Compared to the total amount of global warming pollution in the atmosphere,
24
66000
4000
U poređenju sa totalnom količinom zagašenja izazvanim globalnim zagrevanjem u atmosferi
01:22
that amount could double if we cross this tipping point.
25
70000
4000
ta količina bi mogla da se udvostruči ako pređemo tačku preokreta.
01:26
Already in some shallow lakes in Alaska,
26
74000
3000
U nekim plitkim jezerima na Aljasci, već
01:29
methane is actively bubbling up out of the water.
27
77000
2000
možemo videti kako metan u vidu mehura izlazi iz vode.
01:31
Professor Katey Walter from the University of Alaska
28
79000
3000
Profesor Kejti Volter sa Univerziteta u Aljasci
01:34
went out with another team to another shallow lake last winter.
29
82000
4000
je sa drugim timom otišla u jedno plitko jezero prošle zime.
01:48
Video: Whoa! (Laughter)
30
96000
2000
Video: Jao! (Smeh).
01:50
Al Gore: She's okay. The question is whether we will be.
31
98000
3000
Al Gor: ona je dobro. Pitanje je da li ćemo i mi biti.
01:53
And one reason is, this enormous heat sink
32
101000
2000
A jedan od razloga je taj što ova ogromna upijena toplota
01:55
heats up Greenland from the north.
33
103000
3000
zagreva Grenland sa severa.
01:58
This is an annual melting river.
34
106000
3000
Ovo je reka koja nastaje topljenjem leda svake godine.
02:01
But the volumes are much larger than ever.
35
109000
3000
Ali njena zapremina je veća nego ikada.
02:04
This is the Kangerlussuaq River in southwest Greenland.
36
112000
3000
Ovo je reka Kangerlusak u jugozapadnom Grenlandu.
02:07
If you want to know how sea level rises
37
115000
2000
Ako želite da znate kako se podiže nivo mora
02:09
from land-base ice melting
38
117000
2000
zbog topljenje leda na kopnu
02:11
this is where it reaches the sea.
39
119000
2000
ovo je tačka gde reka dolazi do mora.
02:13
These flows are increasing very rapidly.
40
121000
2000
Ovakve bujice veoma brzo rastu.
02:15
At the other end of the planet, Antarctica
41
123000
2000
Na drugom kraju planete, Antarktiku,
02:17
the largest mass of ice on the planet.
42
125000
2000
najvećoj masi leda na planeti.
02:19
Last month scientists reported the entire continent
43
127000
2000
Prošlog meseca naučnici su saopštili da ceo kontinent
02:21
is now in negative ice balance.
44
129000
2000
sada ima negativan bilans leda.
02:23
And west Antarctica cropped up on top some under-sea islands,
45
131000
4000
A zapadni Antarktik koji se nalazi na vrhu nekoliko podvodnih ostrva
02:27
is particularly rapid in its melting.
46
135000
3000
se posebno brzo topi.
02:30
That's equal to 20 feet of sea level, as is Greenland.
47
138000
4000
To odgovara 6 metara morske dubine, kao i Grenland.
02:34
In the Himalayas, the third largest mass of ice:
48
142000
2000
Na Himalajima, trećoj najvećoj masi leda na svetu,
02:36
at the top you see new lakes, which a few years ago were glaciers.
49
144000
4000
na vrhu se vide nova jezera, koja su pre nekoliko godina bila glečeri.
02:40
40 percent of all the people in the world
50
148000
2000
40% svih ljudi na svetu
02:42
get half of their drinking water from that melting flow.
51
150000
2000
dobija polovinu pijuće vode iz te otopljene bujice.
02:44
In the Andes, this glacier is the
52
152000
2000
U Andima, glečer je
02:46
source of drinking water for this city.
53
154000
2000
izvor pijaće vode za ovaj grad.
02:48
The flows have increased.
54
156000
2000
Bujice su se povećale.
02:50
But when they go away, so does much of the drinking water.
55
158000
3000
Ali kada prođu, sa njima nestane i većina pijaće vode.
02:53
In California there has been a 40 percent
56
161000
2000
U Kaliforniji se snežni pokrivač u Sijeri
02:55
decline in the Sierra snowpack.
57
163000
2000
smanjio za 40%.
02:57
This is hitting the reservoirs.
58
165000
2000
Ovo utiče i na rezervoare.
02:59
And the predictions, as you've read, are serious.
59
167000
3000
A predviđanja su, kao što ste pročitali, ozbiljna.
03:02
This drying around the world has lead to
60
170000
2000
Ovo isušivanje u svetu je dovelo do
03:04
a dramatic increase in fires.
61
172000
2000
dramatičnog povećanja požara.
03:06
And the disasters around the world
62
174000
3000
A prirodne nepogode širom sveta
03:09
have been increasing at an absolutely extraordinary
63
177000
2000
rastu apsolutno izuzetnom
03:11
and unprecedented rate.
64
179000
2000
i ranije neviđenom stopom.
03:13
Four times as many in the last 30 years
65
181000
2000
Bilo ih je četiri puta više u poslednjih 30 godina
03:15
as in the previous 75.
66
183000
2000
nego u poslednjih 75.
03:17
This is a completely unsustainable pattern.
67
185000
4000
Ovo je potpuno neodrživ model.
03:21
If you look at in the context of history
68
189000
3000
Ako na to gledate u kontekstu istorije
03:24
you can see what this is doing.
69
192000
5000
možete da vidite šta je posledica toga.
03:29
In the last five years
70
197000
2000
U poslednjih pet godina
03:31
we've added 70 million tons of CO2
71
199000
2000
dodali smo 70 miliona tona CO2
03:33
every 24 hours --
72
201000
2000
svakih 24 sata -
03:35
25 million tons every day to the oceans.
73
203000
2000
25 miliona tona dnevno u okeane.
03:37
Look carefully at the area of the eastern Pacific,
74
205000
3000
Pažljivo pogledajte površinu istočnog Pacifika,
03:40
from the Americas, extending westward,
75
208000
2000
od Amerike, idući ka zapadu,
03:42
and on either side of the Indian subcontinent,
76
210000
3000
i sa obe strane indijskog potkontinenta,
03:45
where there is a radical depletion of oxygen in the oceans.
77
213000
4000
gde je došlo do radikalnog iscrpljivanja kiseonika iz okeana.
03:49
The biggest single cause of global warming,
78
217000
2000
Jedan od najvećih individualnih uzroka globalnog zagrevanja,
03:51
along with deforestation, which is 20 percent of it, is the burning of fossil fuels.
79
219000
4000
zajedno sa krčenjem šuma, na koje odlazi 20%, je sagorevanje fosilnih goriva.
03:55
Oil is a problem, and coal is the most serious problem.
80
223000
3000
Nafta predstavlja problem, ali ugalj predstavlja najozbiljniji problem.
03:58
The United States is one of the two
81
226000
2000
SAD su jedan od dva
04:00
largest emitters, along with China.
82
228000
2000
najveća zagađivača, zajedno sa Kinom.
04:02
And the proposal has been to build a lot more coal plants.
83
230000
4000
A postoji i plan da se izgradi jos više termoelektrana na bazi uglja.
04:06
But we're beginning to see a sea change.
84
234000
2000
Ali počinjemo da uviđamo promenu.
04:08
Here are the ones that have been cancelled in the last few years
85
236000
3000
Evo nekih projekata koji su otkazani u poslednjih nekoliko godina
04:11
with some green alternatives proposed.
86
239000
2000
sa nekim od predloženih ekoloških alternativa.
04:13
(Applause)
87
241000
1000
(Aplauz)
04:14
However there is a political battle
88
242000
3000
Međutim, postoji i politička bitka
04:17
in our country.
89
245000
2000
u našoj zemlji.
04:19
And the coal industries and the oil industries
90
247000
2000
A industrije uglja i nafte
04:21
spent a quarter of a billion dollars in the last calendar year
91
249000
3000
su potrošile ¼ milijarde dolara u protekloj kalendarskoj godini
04:24
promoting clean coal,
92
252000
2000
na promociju "čistog" (ekološkog) uglja
04:26
which is an oxymoron.
93
254000
2000
što je oksimoron.
04:28
That image reminded me of something.
94
256000
2000
Ta slika me je podsetila na nešto.
04:30
(Laughter)
95
258000
3000
(Smeh)
04:33
Around Christmas, in my home in Tennessee,
96
261000
2000
Oko Božića, kod moje kuće u Tenesiju,
04:35
a billion gallons of coal sludge was spilled.
97
263000
3000
prosuto je oko 3.8 milijarde litara ugljanog mulja.
04:38
You probably saw it on the news.
98
266000
2000
Verovatno ste videli na vestima.
04:40
This, all over the country, is the second largest waste stream in America.
99
268000
4000
Ovo, širom cele zemlje, je drugi po redu najveći izvor đubrišta u Americi.
04:44
This happened around Christmas.
100
272000
2000
To se desilo oko Božića.
04:46
One of the coal industry's ads around Christmas was this one.
101
274000
3000
Ovo je bila jedna od reklama industrije uglja oko Božića:
04:49
Video: ♪♫ Frosty the coal man is a jolly, happy soul.
102
277000
3000
Video: ♪♫ Ledenko, ugljeni čovek je vesela i srećna duša.
04:52
He's abundant here in America,
103
280000
2000
Ima ga u izobilju ovde u Americi,
04:54
and he helps our economy grow.
104
282000
2000
i on pomaže našoj ekonomiji da raste.
04:56
Frosty the coal man is getting cleaner everyday.
105
284000
4000
Ledenko, ugljeni čovek je svakog dana sve čistiji.
05:00
He's affordable and adorable, and workers keep their pay.
106
288000
4000
On je jeftin i divan, a radnici imaju svoju platu.
05:04
Al Gore: This is the source of much of the coal in West Virginia.
107
292000
4000
Al Gor: ovo je izvor većine uglja u Zapadnoj Virdžiniji.
05:08
The largest mountaintop miner is the head of Massey Coal.
108
296000
5000
Najveći planinski rudnik površinskog kopa je Masi Koal.
05:13
Video: Don Blankenship: Let me be clear about it. Al Gore,
109
301000
2000
Video: Don Blankenšip: dozvolite da budem jasan. Al Gor,
05:15
Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, they don't know what they're talking about.
110
303000
4000
Nensi Pelozi, Heri Rid, oni nemaju pojma o čemu pričaju.
05:19
Al Gore: So the Alliance for Climate Protection
111
307000
2000
Al Gor: dakle, Savez za zaštitu klime
05:21
has launched two campaigns.
112
309000
2000
je lansirao dve kampanje.
05:23
This is one of them, part of one of them.
113
311000
3000
Ovo je jedna od njih, deo jedne od njih.
05:26
Video: Actor: At COALergy we view climate change as a very serious
114
314000
2000
Video: glumac: U UGLJO-energiji gledamo na klimatske promene kao na veoma ozbiljnu
05:28
threat to our business.
115
316000
2000
pretnju našem poslovanju.
05:30
That's why we've made it our primary goal
116
318000
2000
Zato je naš osnovni cilj
05:32
to spend a large sum of money
117
320000
2000
da potrošimo veliku sumu novca
05:34
on an advertising effort to help bring out and complicate
118
322000
3000
na promotivan trud kako bismo doprineli isticanju i komplikovanju
05:37
the truth about coal.
119
325000
2000
istine o uglju.
05:39
The fact is, coal isn't dirty.
120
327000
2000
Činjenica je da ugalj nije prljav.
05:41
We think it's clean --
121
329000
2000
Mi mislimo da je čist -
05:43
smells good, too.
122
331000
2000
i lepo miriše.
05:45
So don't worry about climate change.
123
333000
3000
Tako da nemojte da brinete o klimatskoj promeni.
05:48
Leave that up to us.
124
336000
2000
Prepustite to nama.
05:50
(Laughter)
125
338000
1000
(Smeh)
05:51
Video: Actor: Clean coal -- you've heard a lot about it.
126
339000
2000
Video: glumac: čist ugalj, dosta ste čuli o tome.
05:53
So let's take a tour of this state-of-the-art clean coal facility.
127
341000
6000
Zato hajde da obiđemo ovaj vrhunski objekat čistog uglja.
05:59
Amazing! The machinery is kind of loud.
128
347000
3000
Neverovatno! Mašinerija je prilično glasna.
06:02
But that's the sound of clean coal technology.
129
350000
4000
Ali to je zvuk tehnologije čistog uglja.
06:06
And while burning coal is one of the leading causes of global warming,
130
354000
3000
I dok je sagorevanje uglja jedan od vodećih uzroka globalnog zagrevanja,
06:09
the remarkable clean coal technology you see here
131
357000
3000
izvanredna tehnologija čistog uglja koju ovde vidite
06:12
changes everything.
132
360000
2000
menja sve.
06:14
Take a good long look: this is today's clean coal technology.
133
362000
3000
Dobro pogledajte, ovo je današnja tehnologija čistog uglja.
06:19
Al Gore: Finally, the positive alternative
134
367000
2000
Al Gor: konačno, pozitivna opcija
06:21
meshes with our economic challenge
135
369000
2000
se prepliće sa našim ekonomskim izazovom
06:23
and our national security challenge.
136
371000
2000
i izazovom naše državne bezbednosti.
06:25
Video: Narrator: America is in crisis -- the economy,
137
373000
2000
Video: narator: Amerika je u krizi, ekonomija,
06:27
national security, the climate crisis.
138
375000
3000
državna bezbednost, klimatska kriza.
06:30
The thread that links them all:
139
378000
2000
Nit koja sve njih povezuje
06:32
our addiction to carbon based fuels,
140
380000
2000
je naša zavisnost od goriva baziranih na ugljeniku,
06:34
like dirty coal and foreign oil.
141
382000
2000
kao što su prljavi ugalj i nafta uvezena iz inostranstva.
06:36
But now there is a bold new solution to get us out of this mess.
142
384000
3000
Ali postoji smelo, novo rešenje koje će nas izvaditi iz ovog nereda.
06:39
Repower America with 100 percent clean electricity
143
387000
3000
Osnažimo Ameriku sa 100% čistom strujom,
06:42
within 10 years.
144
390000
2000
za 10 godina.
06:44
A plan to put America back to work,
145
392000
2000
Plan koji će ponovo zaposliti Ameriku,
06:46
make us more secure, and help stop global warming.
146
394000
3000
učiniti nas sigurnijima i pomoći da se zaustavi globalno zagrevanje.
06:49
Finally, a solution that's big enough to solve our problems.
147
397000
3000
Konačno, rešenje koje je dovoljno veliko da reši naše probleme.
06:52
Repower America. Find out more.
148
400000
2000
Osnažimo Ameriku. Saznajte više.
06:54
Al Gore: This is the last one.
149
402000
2000
Al Gor: ovo je poslednji.
07:03
Video: Narrator: It's about repowering America.
150
411000
2000
Video: narator: radi se o osnaživanju Amerike.
07:05
One of the fastest ways to cut our dependence
151
413000
2000
Jedan od najbržih načina da smanjimo našu zavisnost
07:07
on old dirty fuels that are killing our planet.
152
415000
3000
na stara, prljava goriva koja ubijaju našu planetu.
07:12
Man: Future's over here. Wind, sun, a new energy grid.
153
420000
4000
Čovek: budućnost je ovde. Vetar, sunce, nova energetska mreža.
07:17
Man #2: New investments to create high-paying jobs.
154
425000
3000
Čovek #2: nove investicije za stvaranje visoko plaćenih poslova.
07:22
Narrator: Repower America. It's time to get real.
155
430000
4000
Narator: osnažimo Ameriku. Vreme je da se uozbiljimo.
07:26
Al Gore: There is an old African proverb that says,
156
434000
3000
Al Gor: postoji stara afrička poslovica koja kaže:
07:29
"If you want to go quickly, go alone.
157
437000
2000
"Ako hoćete da idete brzo, idite sami.
07:31
If you want to go far, go together."
158
439000
3000
Ako hoćete da stignete daleko, idite zajedno."
07:34
We need to go far, quickly.
159
442000
2000
Mi moramo da idemo daleko, veoma brzo.
07:36
Thank you very much.
160
444000
2000
Hvala vam puno.
07:38
(Applause)
161
446000
3000
(Aplauz)
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Al Gore - Climate advocateNobel Laureate Al Gore focused the world’s attention on the global climate crisis. Now he’s showing us how we’re moving towards real solutions.
Why you should listen
Former Vice President Al Gore is co-founder and chairman of Generation Investment Management. While he’s is a senior partner at Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, and a member of Apple, Inc.’s board of directors, Gore spends the majority of his time as chair of The Climate Reality Project, a nonprofit devoted to solving the climate crisis.
He is the author of the bestsellers Earth in the Balance, An Inconvenient Truth, The Assault on Reason, Our Choice: A Plan to Solve the Climate Crisis, and most recently, The Future: Six Drivers of Global Change. He is the subject of the Oscar-winning documentary An Inconvenient Truth and is the co-recipient, with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, of the Nobel Peace Prize for 2007 for “informing the world of the dangers posed by climate change.”
Gore was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 1976, 1978, 1980 and 1982 and the U.S. Senate in 1984 and 1990. He was inaugurated as the 45th Vice President of the United States on January 20, 1993, and served eight years.
Al Gore | Speaker | TED.com