TED2019
Herman Narula: The transformative power of video games
赫曼 · 那魯拉: 電玩的變革力量
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全世界三分之一的人口——26億人——玩電玩遊戲，這促使了大規模的網絡上互動。它不僅是娛樂，更開啟了機遇。一場關於未來媒介體的演說，企業家赫曼 · 那魯拉讓大家對玩電玩有全新的認識——它是一股創造新的世界、連接人類和塑造經濟的力量。
Herman Narula - Entrepreneur, coder
Herman Narula builds new technology for the online games and virtual worlds that will massively impact the way we live, socialize and entertain each other. Full bio
Herman Narula builds new technology for the online games and virtual worlds that will massively impact the way we live, socialize and entertain each other. Full bio
Double-click the English transcript below to play the video.
哈囉，
00:13
Hello.
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00:14
My name is Herman,
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我是赫曼，
00:15
and I've always been struck
by how the most important, impactful,
by how the most important, impactful,
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我總是很訝異，
對於我們的文化和社會
對於我們的文化和社會
00:21
tsunami-like changes
to our culture and our society
to our culture and our society
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最重要、最有影響力、
能引起海嘯般的改變的事物，
能引起海嘯般的改變的事物，
00:24
always come from those things
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總是來自最不被我們認為
00:26
that we least think
are going to have that impact.
are going to have that impact.
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會有那種影響力的事物。
00:29
I mean, as a computer scientist,
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身為資訊科學家，
00:31
I remember when Facebook
was just image-sharing in dorm rooms,
was just image-sharing in dorm rooms,
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我記得臉書當初只是
在宿舍分享影像的工具，
在宿舍分享影像的工具，
00:34
and depending upon who you ask,
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看你問的是誰，
00:36
it's now involved in toppling elections.
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臉書現在甚至可以顛覆選舉了。
00:39
I remember when cryptocurrency
or automated trading
or automated trading
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我還記得加密貨幣或者自動交易
00:42
were sort of ideas by a few renegades
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是金融機構叛徒想出來的點子，
00:45
in the financial institutions
in the world for automated trading,
in the world for automated trading,
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他們存在於金融體系，
存在於自動交易世界中，
存在於自動交易世界中，
00:48
or online, for cryptocurrency,
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或是網絡上的加密貨幣。
00:50
and they're now coming to quickly shape
the way that we operate.
the way that we operate.
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如今它們快速形塑我們的運作方式。
我想各位都還記得
00:53
And I think each of you
can recall that moment
can recall that moment
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這些點子曾經都像是
可忽視、可付之一笑的點子，
可忽視、可付之一笑的點子，
00:55
where one of these ideas felt
like some ignorable, derisive thing,
like some ignorable, derisive thing,
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00:59
and suddenly, oh, crap,
the price of Bitcoin is what it is.
the price of Bitcoin is what it is.
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突然，喔，天哪，
比特幣現在是天價了。
比特幣現在是天價了。
01:02
Or, oh, crap, guess who's been elected.
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或者，喔，天哪，猜猜誰當選了。
01:06
The reality is that, you know,
from my perspective,
from my perspective,
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現實就是，從我的觀點來看，
01:10
I think that we're about
to encounter that again.
to encounter that again.
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我們很快又會再次遇到這種改變。
01:12
And I think one of the biggest,
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我認為，未來其中一個最大、
最有影響力的改變，
最有影響力的改變，
01:14
most impactful changes
in the way we live our lives,
in the way we live our lives,
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能改變我們的生活方式，
改變我們的教育方式，
01:16
to the ways we're educated,
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01:18
probably even to how we end up
making an income,
making an income,
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甚至可能改變我們
賺取收入的方式，
賺取收入的方式，
01:20
is about to come not from AI,
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這個改變不是來自人工智慧，
01:22
not from space travel or biotech --
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不是來自太空旅行或生物科技。
01:24
these are all very important
future inventions --
future inventions --
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這些全是非常重要的未來發明。
01:27
but in the next five years,
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但是在接下來的五年，
01:28
I think it's going to come
from video games.
from video games.
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我認為改變會來自電玩。
01:34
So that's a bold claim, OK.
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這樣說很大膽。
01:35
I see some skeptical faces
in the audience.
in the audience.
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我看到觀眾席中有些懷疑的表情。
01:38
But if we take a moment
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但如果我們花點時間看看
01:39
to try to look at what video games
are already becoming in our lives today,
are already becoming in our lives today,
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哪些電玩遊戲現已深入我們的生活，
以及科技上的一點進步，
01:42
and what just a little bit
of technological advancement
of technological advancement
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能創造出什麼，
01:46
is about to create,
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01:47
it starts to become
more of an inevitability.
more of an inevitability.
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就會發現這是無可避免的。
我認為這些可能性很振奮人心。
01:49
And I think the possibilities
are quite electrifying.
are quite electrifying.
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讓我們花點時間看其規模。
01:52
So let's just take a moment
to think about scale.
to think about scale.
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現在已有二十六億人
玩電玩遊戲。
玩電玩遊戲。
01:54
I mean, there's already
2.6 billion people who play games.
2.6 billion people who play games.
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01:57
And the reality is that's a billion more
than five years ago.
than five years ago.
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比起五年前，多出了十億人。
02:00
A billion more people in that time.
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比那時候多了十億人。
02:02
No religion, no media,
nothing has spread like that.
nothing has spread like that.
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沒有宗教或媒體散播得這麼快。
02:06
And there's likely to be a billion more
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還有可能再多出十億人，
02:08
when Africa and India
gain the infrastructure
gain the infrastructure
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只要非洲和印度能取得基礎設施後，
02:11
to sort of fully realize
the possibilities of gaming.
the possibilities of gaming.
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就能實現玩電玩的可能性。
02:14
But what I find really special is --
and this often shocks a lot of people --
and this often shocks a lot of people --
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但，我發現了一個特點——
通常會讓很多人吃驚——
通常會讓很多人吃驚——
02:17
is that the average age of a gamer,
like, have a guess, think about it.
like, have a guess, think about it.
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遊戲玩家的平均年齡，
你猜猜看是多少？
你猜猜看是多少？
02:21
It's not six, it's not 18, it's not 12.
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不是六歲，不是十八歲，
不是十二歲。
不是十二歲。
02:24
It's 34.
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是三十四歲。
02:26
[Average age of an American gamer]
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【美國電玩家平均 34 歲】
比我還老。
【美國電玩家平均 34 歲】
【美國電玩家平均 34 歲】
02:27
It's older than me.
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02:29
And that tells us something,
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那告訴我們一些訊息，
02:30
that this isn't entertainment
for children anymore.
for children anymore.
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這已不再是兒童的娛樂，
它已經是一個媒介體，
就像文學或其他，
就像文學或其他，
02:33
This is already a medium
like literature or anything else
like literature or anything else
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已成為我們基礎生活的一部分。
02:36
that's becoming a fundamental
part of our lives.
part of our lives.
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我喜歡的一項數據是
大概在過去十五、二十年，
大概在過去十五、二十年，
02:38
One stat I like is that people
who generally picked up gaming
who generally picked up gaming
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接觸電玩後喜歡上的人，
02:41
in the last sort of 15, 20 years
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多半不會停止玩遊戲。
02:42
generally don't stop.
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有些事物的轉變
讓這個媒介體更有條裡。
讓這個媒介體更有條裡。
02:44
Something changed in the way
that this medium is organized.
that this medium is organized.
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02:46
And more than that,
it's not just play anymore, right?
it's not just play anymore, right?
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不只這樣，它已不再只是玩樂而已。
02:50
You've heard some examples today,
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你今天聽到了一些例子，
02:51
but people are earning
an income playing games.
an income playing games.
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人們能通過玩電玩賺取收入，
雖然並不是直接性的。
02:54
And not in the obvious ways.
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對，我們有電子競技，有獎金
02:55
Yes, there's e-sports, there's prizes,
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02:57
there's the opportunity to make money
in a competitive way.
in a competitive way.
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用比賽的方式有機會賺錢。
但也有人通過修改、創建電玩內容
03:00
But there's also people earning incomes
modding games, building content in them,
modding games, building content in them,
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或電玩藝術，賺取收入。
03:04
doing art in them.
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03:05
I mean, there's something at a scale
akin to the Florentine Renaissance,
akin to the Florentine Renaissance,
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我是說它的規模類似文藝復興，
03:09
happening on your kid's iPhone
in your living room.
in your living room.
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就在你的客廳、
孩子的 iPhone 裡上演著。
孩子的 iPhone 裡上演著。
卻一直被忽視。
03:12
And it's being ignored.
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03:14
Now, what's even more exciting for me
is what's about to happen.
is what's about to happen.
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讓我感到更振奮的是
將要發生的事。
將要發生的事。
03:17
And when you think about gaming,
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當你想到玩電玩時，
你可能已開始想像，
03:19
you're probably already imagining
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它特寫了龐大無限的世界。
03:20
that it features these massive,
infinite worlds,
infinite worlds,
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但事實上，
03:23
but the truth is,
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電玩長久以來被深深限制著，
03:24
games have been deeply limited
for a very long time
for a very long time
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換句話說，在我們這行裡，
03:26
in a way that kind of we in the industry
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已經盡可能地用巧計掩飾。
03:28
have tried very hard to cover up
with as much trickery as possible.
with as much trickery as possible.
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我想用的這個比喻，
請容我賣弄一下，
請容我賣弄一下，
03:32
The metaphor I like to use,
if you'd let me geek out for a moment,
if you'd let me geek out for a moment,
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引用劇場的概念。
03:35
is the notion of a theater.
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在過去的十年間，
03:36
For the last 10 years,
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03:37
games have massively advanced
the visual effects,
the visual effects,
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電玩大大推進
視覺效果、實體融入遊戲
和遊戲前端的進步。
和遊戲前端的進步。
03:41
the physical immersion,
the front end of games.
the front end of games.
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但是這一切的幕後，
03:43
But behind the scenes,
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03:45
the actual experiential reality
of a game world
of a game world
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在遊戲世界，現實的實際經驗
03:48
has remained woefully limited.
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一直非常有限。
03:49
I'll put that in perspective for a moment.
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我先以一個角度來看，
我現在可以離開這個劇場，
03:51
I could leave this theater right now,
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我可以去塗鴉，
打一場架，談一場戀愛，
打一場架，談一場戀愛，
03:53
I could do some graffiti,
get in a fight, fall in love.
get in a fight, fall in love.
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03:57
I might actually do
all of those things after this,
all of those things after this,
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我確實能在離開後做這些事，
但重點是它們都會帶來後果，
03:59
but the point is that all of that
would have consequence.
would have consequence.
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會對現實引起連環效應——
04:02
It would ripple through reality --
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人人都可以與此同時互動，
04:03
all of you could interact with that
at the same time.
at the same time.
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而且持久。
04:06
It would be persistent.
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因為這些重要的特質
讓我們感覺世界的真實。
讓我們感覺世界的真實。
04:07
And those are very important qualities
to what makes the real world real.
to what makes the real world real.
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04:11
Now, behind the scenes in games,
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這些遊戲的幕後
一直有限制。
04:12
we've had a limit for a very long time.
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04:14
And the limit is, behind the visuals,
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這些限制是看不到的。
在遊戲的世界裡，
04:16
the actual information being exchanged
between players or entities
between players or entities
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玩家能和實體交換的實際信息
04:20
in a single game world
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04:21
has been deeply bounded
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十分受限。
04:23
by the fact that games
mostly take place on a single server
mostly take place on a single server
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事實上，遊戲的運作
通常只在一個伺服器
通常只在一個伺服器
04:27
or a single machine.
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或者一台機器上。
04:28
Even The World of Warcraft
is actually thousands of smaller worlds.
is actually thousands of smaller worlds.
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即使是「魔獸世界」
也是幾千個小世界組成的。
也是幾千個小世界組成的。
當你聽「堡壘之夜」的電玩演唱會時，
04:32
When you hear about concerts in Fortnite,
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04:34
you're actually hearing
about thousands of small concerts.
about thousands of small concerts.
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其實你聽到的是
上千個小型演唱會。
上千個小型演唱會。
04:37
You know, individual,
as was said earlier today,
as was said earlier today,
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像我們今天之前提到的個人、
04:39
campfires or couches.
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營火會或沙發。
04:41
There isn't really this possibility
to bring it all together.
to bring it all together.
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真的不可能將所有內容整合在一起。
04:44
Let's take a moment to just
really understand what that means.
really understand what that means.
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讓我們稍微想想這代表什麼。
看著遊戲，你可能會看見美麗的影像。
04:47
When you look at a game,
you might see this, beautiful visuals,
you might see this, beautiful visuals,
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這些影像就在你面前產生。
04:50
all of these things
happening in front of you.
happening in front of you.
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但是線上遊戲的幕後
04:52
But behind the scenes in an online game,
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長這個樣子。
04:54
this is what it looks like.
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對於資訊科學家，
04:56
To a computer scientist,
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你看見的只是這一點點資訊
04:57
all you see is just
a little bit of information
a little bit of information
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在少數有意義的實體或物體間交換，
04:59
being exchanged by a tiny handful
of meaningful entities or objects.
of meaningful entities or objects.
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05:02
You might be thinking,
"I've played in an infinite world."
"I've played in an infinite world."
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你可能在想，
「我在無限的世界裡玩。」
「我在無限的世界裡玩。」
05:05
Well it's more that you've played
on a treadmill.
on a treadmill.
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那個世界確實
比你跑步機上的還大。
比你跑步機上的還大。
05:08
As you've been walking through that world,
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當你走進那個世界，
我們巧妙地讓你不存在的部份消失，
05:10
we've been cleverly causing the parts
of it that you're not in to vanish,
of it that you're not in to vanish,
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你存在時那部份又會出現。
05:14
and the parts of it
in front of you to appear.
in front of you to appear.
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很好的手法，
但這不是革新的基礎，
但這不是革新的基礎，
05:16
A good trick, but not the basis
for the revolution
for the revolution
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就像我一開場就提到的。
05:18
that I promised you
in the beginning of this talk.
in the beginning of this talk.
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但事實上，你們這些熱衷的玩家，
05:21
But the reality is, for those of you
that are passionate gamers
that are passionate gamers
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會對此感到興奮，
05:24
and might be excited about this,
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不管你感到擔心或不擔心，
05:25
and for those of you
that are afraid and may not be,
that are afraid and may not be,
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這一切將會有改變。
05:28
all of that is about to change.
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會改變是因為科技終於趕上，
05:29
Because finally,
the technology is in place
the technology is in place
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05:32
to go well beyond the limits
that we've previously seen.
that we've previously seen.
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超越了我們先前有的限制。
05:34
I've dedicated my career to this,
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我為此奉獻了我的事業，
還有許多人在解決這個問題，
05:36
there are many others
working on the problem --
working on the problem --
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我從來不炫耀我的功勞，
05:38
I'd hardly take credit for it myself,
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但我們終於到了，
05:40
but we're at the point now
where we can finally
where we can finally
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完成這不可能的任務的地步。
05:42
do this impossible hard thing
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05:44
of weaving together thousands
of disparate machines
of disparate machines
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我們把上千個截然不同的機器
編織在同一個模擬器裡。
05:47
into single simulations
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它非常方便，不是一次性的，
05:49
that are convenient enough
to not be one-offs,
to not be one-offs,
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而是任何人都能創建。
05:51
but to be buildable by anybody.
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05:53
And to be at the point
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為了達到這點，
05:54
where we can start to experience
those things that we can't yet fathom.
those things that we can't yet fathom.
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我們能體驗之前無法探測到的事物。
我們來想像一下，
05:57
Let's just take a moment
to visualize that.
to visualize that.
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06:00
I'm talking about not individual
little simulations
little simulations
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我説的不是小型的個人模擬，
06:03
but a massive possibility
of huge networks of interaction.
of huge networks of interaction.
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而極有可能是大規模網絡互動。
06:07
Massive global events
that can happen inside that.
that can happen inside that.
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大型的全球性節目能在網絡上演。
06:09
Things that even in the real world
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包括在現實世界中，
06:11
become challenging to produce
at that kind of scale.
at that kind of scale.
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因規模太大難以實踐的。
我知道在座有些玩家，
06:13
And I know some of you are gamers,
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06:15
so I'm going to show you
some footage of some things
some footage of some things
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我給大家看看一些影像，
我非常確定我的夥伴允許我這麼做，
06:17
that I'm pretty sure I'm allowed to do,
from some of our partners.
from some of our partners.
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TED 也再三和我確認過，
06:21
TED and me had a back-and-forth on this.
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這是很多人沒見過的，
06:22
These are a few things
that not many people have seen before,
that not many people have seen before,
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用這項技術產生的全新體驗。
06:25
some new experiences
powered by this type of technology.
powered by this type of technology.
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我花一些時間讓你看看，
06:28
I'll just [take] a moment
to show you some of this stuff.
to show you some of this stuff.
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這是一個遊戲世界，
06:31
This is a single game world
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上千的玩家同時在決戰，
06:32
with thousands of simultaneous
people participating in a conflict.
people participating in a conflict.
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06:36
It also has its own ecosystem,
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這世界有自己的生態系統，
06:39
its own sense of predator and prey.
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有捕食者和獵物。
06:41
Every single object you see here
is simulated in some way.
is simulated in some way.
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你在這裡看到的每一樣物體，
基本上都是虛擬的。
基本上都是虛擬的。
06:44
This is a game being built by one
of the biggest companies in the world,
of the biggest companies in the world,
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這個遊戲是由世界
大型公司之一所創建的，
大型公司之一所創建的，
「網易」，一家大型的中國公司。
06:47
NetEase, a huge Chinese company.
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他們已造出創意模擬助手，
06:49
And they've made
an assistant creative simulation
an assistant creative simulation
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一組玩家能夠一起創設遊戲，
06:51
where groups of players
can cocreate together,
can cocreate together,
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用的還是不同的器材，
06:53
across multiple devices,
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06:54
in a world that doesn't vanish
when you're done.
when you're done.
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一個你退出了也不會消失的世界。
它是一個說故事、冒險的地方，
06:57
It's a place to tell stories
and have adventures.
and have adventures.
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就連天氣都是虛擬的。
06:59
Even the weather is simulated.
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07:01
And that's kind of awesome.
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那真是太棒了。
07:02
And this is my personal favorite.
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這是我個人最喜愛的，
07:04
This is a group of people,
pioneers in Berlin,
pioneers in Berlin,
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是一組在柏林的開發者，
名叫「Klang Games」，
07:06
a group called Klang Games,
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07:08
and they're completely insane,
and they'll love me for saying that.
and they'll love me for saying that.
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他們簡直是瘋子，
他們會喜歡我這麼說。
他們會喜歡我這麼說。
他們基本上已經找到方法，
製作整個星球的模型。
製作整個星球的模型。
07:11
And they found a way to model,
basically, an entire planet.
basically, an entire planet.
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他們會進行一場模擬，
07:14
They're going to have a simulation
with millions of non-player characters
with millions of non-player characters
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讓上百萬個非玩家角色和玩家參與。
07:17
and players engaging.
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他們甚至吸引了
勞倫斯·萊西格的注意
勞倫斯·萊西格的注意
07:18
They actually grabbed Lawrence Lessig
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在他們創建的世界裡，
07:20
to help understand
the political ramifications
the political ramifications
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一起了解政治上的影響。
07:22
of the world they're creating.
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1484
這是一項驚人的經驗，
07:24
This is the sort of astounding
set of experiences,
set of experiences,
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遠超乎我們的想像，
07:26
well beyond what we might have imagined,
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把不可能變成可能。
07:28
that are now going to be possible.
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這只是這項科技的第一步，
07:30
And that's just the first step
in this technology.
in this technology.
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07:32
So if we step beyond that, what happens?
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如果我們再往前走，會怎樣？
07:35
Well, computer science
tends to be all exponential,
tends to be all exponential,
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電腦科技通常呈指數增長，
只要我們克服了最艱難的問題，
07:38
once we crack the really hard problems.
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我很確定在不久的將來，
07:40
And I'm pretty sure that very soon,
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這項電腦科技帶來的影響力，
07:42
we're going to be in a place
where we can make
where we can make
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看起來也沒什麼了不起。
07:44
this type of computational power
look like nothing.
look like nothing.
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到了那時候，所帶來的機遇...
07:46
And when that happens,
the opportunities ...
the opportunities ...
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07:49
It's worth taking a moment to try
to imagine what I'm talking about here.
to imagine what I'm talking about here.
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值得我們花點時間想想，
我在這裡提到的一切。
我在這裡提到的一切。
我說的是，千千萬萬的人
07:53
Hundreds of thousands
or millions of people
or millions of people
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07:55
being able to coinhabit the same space.
192
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能夠在一個空間共生，
距離上次我們族類
07:57
The last time any of us as a species
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07:59
had the opportunity
to build or do something together
to build or do something together
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能有機會一起建設或做某些事情，
08:02
with that may people was in antiquity.
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大概是人類在遠古的時候。
08:04
And the circumstances
were less than optimal, shall we say.
were less than optimal, shall we say.
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我們可以說當時的條件並不樂觀。
08:08
Mostly conflicts or building pyramids.
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大部份是紛爭或建造金字塔，
08:10
Not necessarily the best thing for us
to be spending our time doing.
to be spending our time doing.
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3238
未必是我們一起花時間
做的最好的事情。
做的最好的事情。
但如果你能把大家聚集在一起，
08:13
But if you bring together
that many people,
that many people,
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2020
大家能創建共同的經驗...
08:15
the kind of shared experience
that can create ...
that can create ...
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2928
08:18
I think it exercises a social muscle in us
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2841
我想這能觸動我們交際的本能，
08:21
that we've lost and forgotten.
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我們已經把它丟失和遺忘的。
08:22
Going even beyond that,
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除此了這些之外，我想花點時間
08:24
I want to take a moment
to think about what it means
to think about what it means
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2452
想想它在感情、身份上的意義是什麼，
08:26
for relationships, for identity.
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如果能讓大家大規模地
體驗彼此的世界，
體驗彼此的世界，
08:28
If we can give each other worlds,
experiences at scale
experiences at scale
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能一起有意義地度過時光，
08:31
where we can spend
a meaningful amount of our time,
a meaningful amount of our time,
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我們就能改變「個人」的意義。
08:33
we can change what it means
to be an individual.
to be an individual.
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我們能超越單一的身份，
08:35
We can go beyond a single identity
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使個人的身份更多元。
08:37
to a diverse set of personal identities.
210
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08:40
The gender, the race,
the personality traits you were born with
the personality traits you were born with
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可能你想嘗試改變
08:43
might be something you want
to experiment differently with.
to experiment differently with.
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性別、種族，或與生俱來的個性。
08:46
You might be someone
that wants to be more than one person.
that wants to be more than one person.
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除了自己之外，你還想成為別人。
我們都一樣，內心裡存在著幾個人。
08:49
We all are, inside, multiple people.
214
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2063
08:51
We rarely get
the opportunity to flex that.
the opportunity to flex that.
215
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2135
我們很難有機會放縱它。
08:53
It's also about empathy.
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這有關於同理心。
08:55
I have a grandmother
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我有個奶奶，
08:56
who I have literally
nothing in common with.
nothing in common with.
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2055
我幾乎和她沒什麼共通性。
我愛她的一切，
08:58
I love her to bits,
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1175
但她的故事都從四零年代開始，
五零年代結束。
五零年代結束。
08:59
but every story she has begins in 1940
and ends sometime in 1950.
and ends sometime in 1950.
220
527919
3978
09:03
And every story I have
is like 50 years later.
is like 50 years later.
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2347
我的每個故事都是
五十年後才開始。
五十年後才開始。
09:06
But if we could coinhabit,
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但如果我們能共生，
09:07
co-experience things together,
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共同體驗不同的事物，
這體驗不會因為
身體虛弱或缺少內容而減少，
身體虛弱或缺少內容而減少，
09:09
that undiminished by physical frailty
or by lack of context,
or by lack of context,
224
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2833
09:12
create opportunities together,
225
540545
1675
能共同創造機會，
09:14
that changes things,
that bonds people in different ways.
that bonds people in different ways.
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3047
它能改變事物，
用不同的方式緊緊繫住人們。
用不同的方式緊緊繫住人們。
09:17
I'm struck by how social media
has amplified our many differences,
has amplified our many differences,
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4199
我很訝異社交媒體
如何放大了人們的差異性，
如何放大了人們的差異性，
09:21
and really made us more who we are
in the presence of other people.
in the presence of other people.
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讓我們在他人面前
更能成為我們自己。
更能成為我們自己。
我覺得遊戲能開始創造
09:24
I think games could really start to create
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09:27
an opportunity for us to empathize again.
230
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1953
一個讓我們更有同理心的機會。
09:29
To have shared adversity,
shared opportunity.
shared opportunity.
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有共同的逆境、機會。
09:31
I mean, statistically,
at this moment in time,
at this moment in time,
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在數據上，就在這個時候，
09:33
there are people who are
on the opposite sides of a conflict,
on the opposite sides of a conflict,
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3739
有些由於紛爭而敵對的人，
09:37
who have been matchmade
together into a game
together into a game
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在遊戲裡被配在一起，
09:40
and don't even know it.
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而他們全不知情。
09:41
That's an incredible opportunity
to change the way we look at things.
to change the way we look at things.
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3271
這是很棒的機會，
改變了我們看待事物的方法。
改變了我們看待事物的方法。
最後，對於這些
抱著懷疑態度的你們，
抱著懷疑態度的你們，
09:45
Finally, for those of you who perhaps are
more cynical about all of this,
more cynical about all of this,
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或許也覺得虛擬世界
不是你喜愛的，
不是你喜愛的，
09:48
who maybe don't think that virtual worlds
and games are your cup of tea.
and games are your cup of tea.
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3393
你必須接受一個事實，
09:52
There's a reality you have to accept,
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就像我提到的，
它能對經濟帶來影響，
它能對經濟帶來影響，
09:53
and that is that the economic impact
of what I'm talking about
of what I'm talking about
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還是很大的影響。
09:56
will be profound.
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1158
現今有數以千計的人
在電玩業全職工作，
在電玩業全職工作，
09:57
Right now, thousands of people
have full-time jobs in gaming.
have full-time jobs in gaming.
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2875
10:00
Soon, it will be millions of people.
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2741
再過不久，就會以百萬計。
10:03
Wherever there's a mobile phone,
there will be a job.
there will be a job.
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2540
哪裡有手機，哪裡就有工作。
10:06
An opportunity for something
that is creative and rich
that is creative and rich
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一個能讓某個人創新、致富的機會，
10:09
and gives you an income,
no matter what country you're in,
no matter what country you're in,
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不管你在哪個國家，
都能給你帶來收入。
都能給你帶來收入。
不管你本來以為
你有什麼技能或機會。
你有什麼技能或機會。
10:11
no matter what skills or opportunities
you might think you have.
you might think you have.
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3373
10:15
Probably the first dollar
most kids born today make
most kids born today make
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2643
有可能現今出生的小孩，
能賺到的第一塊錢，
能賺到的第一塊錢，
10:17
might be in a game.
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1182
就是從遊戲賺到。
10:19
That will be the new paper route,
250
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1611
就像出現了新的送報路線，
10:20
that will be the new
opportunity for an income
opportunity for an income
251
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2175
另一個賺錢的機會，
出現在你最初的人生。
10:22
at the earliest time in your life.
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10:24
So I kind of want to end
with almost a plea,
with almost a plea,
253
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3864
我想用幾乎是懇求的語氣來完結，
10:28
really, more than thoughts.
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1952
確實，它不只是一個想法，
10:30
A sense of, I think, how we need
to face this new opportunity
to face this new opportunity
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我認為某程度上我們需要
想想如何面對這新的機遇，
想想如何面對這新的機遇，
10:33
a little differently
to some we have in the past.
to some we have in the past.
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2343
與我們之前經歷的有點不一樣。
10:36
It's so hypocritical
for yet another technologist
for yet another technologist
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2332
有點虛假，又是一位科技人
10:38
to stand up on stage and say,
258
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1406
站在台上説，
10:39
"The future will be great,
technology will fix it."
technology will fix it."
259
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2393
「未來是偉大的，
科技會解決未來。」
科技會解決未來。」
10:42
And the reality is,
this is going to have downsides.
this is going to have downsides.
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現實是這也會有缺點，
但這些缺點只會在
10:44
But those downsides will only be amplified
261
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2146
10:46
if we approach, once again,
with cynicism and derision,
with cynicism and derision,
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3373
我們對於眼前的機遇
抱著譏諷、悲觀的態度時被放大。
10:50
the opportunities that this presents.
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1833
10:52
The worst thing that we could possibly do
264
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2047
我們可能做的最糟糕的事
10:54
is let the same four or five companies
265
642323
1995
是讓相同的四或五家公司
10:56
end up dominating
yet another adjacent space.
yet another adjacent space.
266
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2997
又壟斷另一個相鄰的空間。
10:59
(Applause)
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2365
（掌聲）
11:01
Because they're not just going to define
how and who makes money from this.
how and who makes money from this.
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4166
因為他們不只決定如何
或什麼人從中賺錢，
或什麼人從中賺錢，
11:05
The reality is, we're now talking
about defining how we think,
about defining how we think,
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653942
3936
現實是，我們現在說的是，
重新定義我們怎麼想，
重新定義我們怎麼想，
11:09
what the rules are
around identity and collaboration,
around identity and collaboration,
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657902
2596
關於身份和合作的準則是什麼，
我們生活的世界的準則。
11:12
the rules of the world we live in.
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這將會是我們所有人擁有的，
11:14
This has got to be something we all own,
272
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1936
11:16
we all cocreate.
273
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1150
我們所有人共創建的。
11:17
So, my final plea
is really to those engineers,
is really to those engineers,
274
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所以，我最後的懇求
是針對今天在現場當中那些
是針對今天在現場當中那些
11:20
those scientists, those artists
in the audience today.
in the audience today.
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3238
工程師、科學家和藝術家。
或許你們當中有人夢想
要從事太空旅遊行業。
要從事太空旅遊行業。
11:24
Maybe some of you dreamed
of working on space travel.
of working on space travel.
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3071
11:27
The reality is, there are worlds
you can build right here, right now,
you can build right here, right now,
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3492
現實是，這裡現在就有
你能建設的世界，
你能建設的世界，
11:30
that can transform people's lives.
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1976
它還能轉變人們的生活。
11:32
There are still huge
technological frontiers
technological frontiers
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在前線，我們面對很大的科技困難，
11:35
that need to be overcome here,
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需要去克服，
11:36
akin to those we faced
when building the early internet.
when building the early internet.
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情況類似於當初我們
建設網絡時的困難。
建設網絡時的困難。
11:39
All the technology
behind virtual worlds is different.
behind virtual worlds is different.
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虛擬世界幕後所用的科技不同。
11:42
So, my plea to you is this.
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所以，我懇求大家這件事。
11:43
Let's engage, let's all engage,
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讓我們一起參與！一起參與！
11:45
let's actually try to make this something
that we shape in a positive way,
that we shape in a positive way,
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與其採取被動的態度，
不如讓我們用正面的態度，
不如讓我們用正面的態度，
11:49
rather than once again have be done to us.
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來塑造這樣一件事。
11:52
Thank you.
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謝謝。
11:53
(Applause)
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（掌聲）
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Herman Narula - Entrepreneur, coderHerman Narula builds new technology for the online games and virtual worlds that will massively impact the way we live, socialize and entertain each other.
Why you should listen
According to Herman Narula, "I have always been interested in how technology can enable creativity and solve tough problems, and I've always loved video games." With co-founder Rob Whitehead, "who shared my excitement ... [for] creating the next generation of games and virtual spaces," he founded Improbable, which created SpatialOS.
SpatialOS is a tool for developers and gaming studios like Midwinter Entertainment, Klang Games and NetEase Games to "add innovation to online games -- from short, team-based matches to huge, persistent shared environments. Our goal is to help build the complex, interactive and highly connected virtual worlds where billions of people will meet, play and find real meaning in the near future."
Herman Narula | Speaker | TED.com