TED2008
Al Gore: New thinking on the climate crisis
Al Gore: Nova razmišljanja o klimatski krizi
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V tej popolnoma novi predstavitvi (premierno na TED.com), Al Gore predstavlja dokaze, da so lahko klimatske spremembe še hitrejše in hujše, kot so znanstveniki nedavno predvideli. Izziva nas k dejanjem.
Al Gore - Climate advocate
Nobel Laureate Al Gore focused the world’s attention on the global climate crisis. Now he’s showing us how we’re moving towards real solutions. Full bio
Nobel Laureate Al Gore focused the world’s attention on the global climate crisis. Now he’s showing us how we’re moving towards real solutions. Full bio
Double-click the English transcript below to play the video.
00:18
I have given the slide show that I gave here two years ago about 2,000 times.
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Ob prosojnicah, predstavljenih tukaj pred dvema letoma, sem predaval približno 2000 krat.
00:25
I'm giving a short slide show this morning
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Danes zjutraj predstavljam krajše predavanje ob prosojnicah,
00:30
that I'm giving for the very first time, so --
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ki jih predstavljam čisto prvič, torej -
00:33
well it's -- I don't want or need to raise the bar,
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dobro je -- nočem in ne rabim zvišati nivoja;
00:38
I'm actually trying to lower the bar.
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pravzaprav poskušam zmanjšati nivo.
00:39
Because I've cobbled this together
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Ker sem spravil to skupaj,
00:44
to try to meet the challenge of this session.
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da bi dosegel izziv te predstavitve.
00:49
And I was reminded by Karen Armstrong's fantastic presentation
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In opomnjen sem bil ob fantastični prestavitivi Karen Armstrong,
00:54
that religion really properly understood
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da je religija res ustrezno dojeta
01:00
is not about belief, but about behavior.
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ni na ravni prepričanja, temveč vedenja.
01:03
Perhaps we should say the same thing about optimism.
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Morda bi morali reči isto za optimizem.
01:07
How dare we be optimistic?
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Kako si drznemo biti optimistični?
01:11
Optimism is sometimes characterized as a belief, an intellectual posture.
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Optimizem je včasih označen kot prepričanje, intelektualno prepričanje.
01:19
As Mahatma Gandhi famously said,
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Kot je Mahatma Gandhi v znanem govoru rekel,
01:22
"You must become the change you wish to see in the world."
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"Vi morate poosebiti spremembe, ki jih želite videti v svetu."
01:25
And the outcome about which
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In izzd o katerem
01:27
we wish to be optimistic is not going to be created
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želimo biti optimistični ne bo ustvarjen
01:32
by the belief alone, except to the extent that the belief
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na podlagi samega prepričanja, razen do mere, ki jo prepričanje
01:37
brings about new behavior. But the word "behavior"
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prinaša glede novega vedenja. Toda beseda "vedenje"
01:43
is also, I think, sometimes misunderstood in this context.
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je tudi, mislim, včasih nerazumljena v tem kontekstu.
01:47
I'm a big advocate of changing
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Sem velik zagovornik sprememb:
01:50
the lightbulbs and buying hybrids,
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menjavi žarnic in nakupu hibridnih vozil,
01:53
and Tipper and I put 33 solar panels on our house,
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in Tipper in jaz sva postavila 33 sončnih panelov na našo hišo,
01:57
and dug the geothermal wells, and did all of that other stuff.
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in vrtala geotermalne vodnjake ter vse ostale stvari.
02:02
But, as important as it is to change the lightbulbs,
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Toda, kot je pomembno menjati žarnice,
02:06
it is more important to change the laws.
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še bolj pomembno je spremeniti zakone.
02:08
And when we change our behavior in our daily lives,
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In ko spremenimo naše vedenje v našem vsakdanjiku,
02:14
we sometimes leave out the citizenship part
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včasih spregledamo državljanski del,
02:17
and the democracy part. In order to be optimistic about this,
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in demokratičen del. Da bi bili optimistični o tem,
02:24
we have to become incredibly active as citizens in our democracy.
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moramo postati neverjetno aktivni, kot državljani v naši demokraciji.
02:30
In order to solve the climate crisis,
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Če želimo rešili klimatsko krizo,
02:32
we have to solve the democracy crisis.
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moramo rešiti krizo demokracije.
02:35
And we have one.
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In prav to imamo.
02:37
I have been trying to tell this story for a long time.
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To zgodbo sem poskušal povedati že večkrat.
02:42
I was reminded of that recently, by a woman
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Na to sem bil opomnjen pred nedavnim, ko je gospa,
02:46
who walked past the table I was sitting at,
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ki se je sprehodila mimo mize ob kateri sem sedel,
02:49
just staring at me as she walked past. She was in her 70s,
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le zijala vame, ko je šla mimo. Bila je v svojih 70.,
02:53
looked like she had a kind face. I thought nothing of it
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videti je bila prijetnega obraza. Nisem dal pozornosti na to,
02:57
until I saw from the corner of my eye
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dokler nisem videl v kotu očesa,
03:00
she was walking from the opposite direction,
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da je hodila iz nasprotne smeri,
03:02
also just staring at me. And so I said, "How do you do?"
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in prav tako zijala vame. Tako sem rekel "Kako ste kaj?"
03:06
And she said, "You know, if you dyed your hair black,
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In rekla je "Veste, če bi si barvali lase črno,
03:09
you would look just like Al Gore." (Laughter)
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bi bili videti kot Al Gore."
03:19
Many years ago, when I was a young congressman,
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Pred mnogimi leti, ko sem bil mlad kongresnik,
03:21
I spent an awful lot of time dealing with the challenge
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sem namenil ogromno časa izzivu
03:25
of nuclear arms control -- the nuclear arms race.
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problema nadzora nukleranega orožja -- jederske tekme.
03:28
And the military historians taught me,
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In vojaški zgodovinarnji so me med tem iskanjem
03:31
during that quest, that military conflicts are typically
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naučili, da so vojaški konflikti tipično,
03:36
put into three categories: local battles,
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razvršeni v tri kategorije: lokalni boji,
03:41
regional or theater wars, and the rare but all-important
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regionalni ali gledališke vojne, in redki, toda najbolj pomembni:
03:46
global, world war -- strategic conflicts.
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globalne, svetovne vojne. Strateški konflikti.
03:51
And each level of conflict requires a different allocation of resources,
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In vsak nivo konflikta zahteva različno dodelitev virov
03:56
a different approach,
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drugačen pristop,
03:58
a different organizational model.
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drugačen organizacijski model.
04:02
Environmental challenges fall into the same three categories,
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Okoljske izzive lahko razdelimo v iste tri kategorije,
04:06
and most of what we think about
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in največ o čemer razmišljamo,
04:07
are local environmental problems: air pollution, water pollution,
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so lokalni okoljski problemi: onesnaženje zraka, onesnaženje vode,
04:10
hazardous waste dumps. But there are also
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odlaganje nevarnih odpadkov. Toda tu so tudi
04:14
regional environmental problems, like acid rain
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regionalni okoljski problemi, kot je kisel dež,
04:17
from the Midwest to the Northeast, and from Western Europe
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od Srednjega zahoda do severovzhoda ZDA in od zahodne Evrope
04:21
to the Arctic, and from the Midwest
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do Arktike, ter od sredjegazahoda ZDA
04:25
out the Mississippi into the dead zone of the Gulf of Mexico.
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iz Missisipija v mrtvo cono Mehiškega zaliva.
04:28
And there are lots of those. But the climate crisis
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In veliko je tega. Toda klimatska kriza
04:30
is the rare but all-important
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je redek toda vse-pomemben
04:32
global, or strategic, conflict.
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globalen ali strateški konflikt.
04:35
Everything is affected. And we have to organize our response
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Vse je prizadeto. In moramo organizirati naš odziv
04:40
appropriately. We need a worldwide, global mobilization
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na ustrezen način. Potrebujemo svetovno, globalno mobilizacijo
04:46
for renewable energy, conservation, efficiency
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za obnovljivo energijo, ohranjevanje, učinkovitost
04:49
and a global transition to a low-carbon economy.
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in globalen prehod na ekonomijo nizkih ogljikovih ravni.
04:52
We have work to do. And we can mobilize resources
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Čaka nas delo. In lahko mobiliziramo vire
04:56
and political will. But the political will
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in politično voljo. Toda politična volja
05:00
has to be mobilized, in order to mobilize the resources.
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mora biti najprej mobilizirana, če želimo mobilizirati vire.
05:03
Let me show you these slides here.
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Naj vam pokažem te prosojnice.
05:08
I thought I would start with the logo. What's missing here,
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Mislil sem začeti začel z logotipom. Kar manjka tukaj,
05:15
of course, is the North Polar ice cap.
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je seveda, severni polarni led.
05:17
Greenland remains. Twenty-eight years ago, this is what the
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Grenlandija ostaja. Tako je zgledal severni polarni led
05:24
polar ice cap -- the North Polar ice cap -- looked like
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28. let nazaj -- severni polarni led
05:28
at the end of the summer, at the fall equinox.
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ob koncu poletja ob jesenskem enakonočju.
05:32
This last fall, I went to the Snow and Ice Data Center
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Prejšnjo jesen, sem obiskal podatkovno središče
05:36
in Boulder, Colorado, and talked to the researchers
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za Sneg in led v Boulder, Koloradu in govoril z raziskovalci
05:39
here in Monterey at the Naval Postgraduate Laboratory.
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tukaj v Montereju v laboratoriju podiplomske plovbe.
05:43
This is what's happened in the last 28 years.
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To je, kar se je zgovilo v zadnjih 28. letih.
05:47
To put it in perspective, 2005 was the previous record.
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Da damo v prespektivo, 2005 je bil predhodnji rekord.
05:52
Here's what happened last fall
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To se je zgodilo lansko jesen,
05:55
that has really unnerved the researchers.
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kar je res razburilo raziskovalce.
05:58
The North Polar ice cap is the same size geographically --
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Severni polarni pokrov je geografsko iste velikosti.
06:10
doesn't look quite the same size --
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Čeprav ni videti enake velikosti,
06:11
but it is exactly the same size as the United States,
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toda je enake velikosti, kot ZDA
06:15
minus an area roughly equal to the state of Arizona.
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brez področja približne velikosti zvezne države Arizona.
06:18
The amount that disappeared in 2005
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Količina, ki je izginila v letu 2005
06:21
was equivalent to everything east of the Mississippi.
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je enakovredna vsemu vzhodno od Missisipija.
06:25
The extra amount that disappeared last fall
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Dodatna količina, ki je izginila prejšnjo jesen,
06:29
was equivalent to this much. It comes back in the winter,
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je ekvivalentna temu. Povrne se pozimi,
06:32
but not as permanent ice, as thin ice --
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toda ne kot trajen led, ampak kot tanek led.
06:36
vulnerable. The amount remaining could be completely gone
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Ranljivo. Količina ki ostaja lahko povsem izgine
06:42
in summer in as little as five years.
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poleti v obdobju kratkem zgolj peti let.
06:43
That puts a lot of pressure on Greenland.
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To pomeni velik pritisk za Grenlandijo.
06:49
Already, around the Arctic Circle --
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Že sedaj, okrog Arktičnega kroga --
06:57
this is a famous village in Alaska. This is a town
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to je znamenita vasica na Aljaski, To je mestece
07:01
in Newfoundland. Antarctica. Latest studies from NASA.
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v Novi Funlandiji. Antarktika. Najnovejše študije agencije NASA.
07:10
The amount of a moderate-to-severe snow melting
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Količina zmernega do hudega taljenja snega
07:13
of an area equivalent to the size of California.
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je ekvivalentna velikosti Kalifornije.
07:17
"They were the best of times,
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"Bili so dobrni časi
07:20
they were the worst of times": the most famous opening sentence
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in bili so hudi časi", najbolj znan začetni stavek
07:23
in English literature. I want to share briefly
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v angleški literaturi. Želim na kratko deliti z vami
07:26
a tale of two planets. Earth and Venus
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"Povest o dveh planetih." Zemlji in Veneri.
07:29
are exactly the same size. Earth's diameter
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Zemlja in venera sta povsem enake velikosti. Zemljin premer
07:32
is about 400 kilometers larger, but essentially the same size.
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je približno 400 kilometrov daljši, toda v bistvu enake velikosti.
07:37
They have exactly the same amount of carbon.
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Imata povsem enako količino ogljika.
07:39
But the difference is, on Earth, most of the carbon
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Toda razlika je, da na Zemlji, večina ogljika
07:44
has been leeched over time out of the atmosphere,
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izpuščena tekom časa v ozračje,
07:47
deposited in the ground as coal, oil,
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je bila v začetku v obliki ogljikovodikov v premogu, nafti.
07:51
natural gas, etc. On Venus, most of it
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plinu, id. Na Veneri je večina le tega
07:54
is in the atmosphere. The difference is that our temperature
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v atmosferi. Razlika je v tem, da je naša temperatura
07:59
is 59 degrees on average. On Venus,
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je povprečno 15 stopinj Celzija, na Veneri
08:02
it's 855. This is relevant to our current strategy
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je ta 457 stopinj Celzija. To je pomembno za našo trenutno strategijo
08:06
of taking as much carbon out of the ground as quickly as possible,
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črpanja čimveč vodika iz tal v čim krajšem času
08:08
and putting it into the atmosphere.
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in vnosu le tega v atmosfero-
08:12
It's not because Venus is slightly closer to the Sun.
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To ni posledica tega, da je Venera nekoliko bližje Soncu.
08:15
It's three times hotter than Mercury,
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Je trikrat bolj vroča od Merkurja,
08:17
which is right next to the Sun. Now, briefly,
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ki je čisto ob soncu. Zdaj na kratko,
08:20
here's an image you've seen, as one of the only old images,
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tu je slika, ki ste jo videli, kot eno izmed starih slik,
08:22
but I show it because I want to briefly give you CSI: Climate.
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toda prikazijem jo, ker vam želim podati CSI: Klima
08:26
The global scientific community says:
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Globalna znanstvena skupnost govori:
08:32
man-made global warming pollution, put into the atmosphere,
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človeško povzročeno svetovno onesnaženje, izpuščeno v ozračje,
08:36
thickening this, is trapping more of the outgoing infrared.
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ga zgoščuje, tako ujame več izhodnega infrardečega sevanja.
08:38
You all know that. At the last
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Vsi vemo to. Na zadnjem
08:39
IPCC summary, the scientists wanted to say,
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srečanju IPCC, znanstveniki so želeli sporočiti:
08:43
"How certain are you?" They wanted to answer that "99 percent."
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"Kako gotovi ste o tem?" želeli so odgovoriti "99 odstotno."
08:46
The Chinese objected, and so the compromise was
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Kitajci so nasprotovali in kompromis je bil
08:48
"more than 90 percent."
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"več kot 90 %".
08:50
Now, the skeptics say, "Oh, wait a minute,
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Zdaj skeptiki pravijo "Hej, počakaj trenutek,
08:53
this could be variations in this energy
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to so lahko varijacije v - v tej energiji,
08:57
coming in from the sun." If that were true,
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ki prihaja iz Sonca." Če bi to bilo res,
09:00
the stratosphere would be heated as well as the
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bi bila segreta stratosfera, kot tudi
09:04
lower atmosphere, if it's more coming in.
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nižje plasti atmosfere, če je večji vnos.
09:07
If it's more being trapped on the way out, then you would
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Če je več ujetega na poti ven, potem lahko
09:10
expect it to be warmer here and cooler here. Here is the lower atmosphere.
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pričakujemo, da je topleje tukaj in hladnjeje tu. To so nižje plasti atmosfere.
09:16
Here's the stratosphere: cooler.
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In to je stratosfera: hladnejša.
09:19
CSI: Climate.
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CSI: Klima.
09:20
Now, here's the good news. Sixty-eight percent of Americans now believe
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Zdaj, tu so dobre novice. 68% američanov zdaj verjame,
09:27
that human activity is responsible
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da so človeške aktivnosti odgovorne
09:30
for global warming. Sixty-nine percent believe that the Earth is heating up
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za globalno segrevanje. 69% verjame, da se Zemlja segreva
09:35
in a significant way. There has been progress,
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in to opazno. Prišlo je do napredka,
09:38
but here is the key: when given a list
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toda tu je ključ: ob danem seznamu
09:45
of challenges to confront, global warming is still listed at near the bottom.
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izzivov je globalno segrevanje še vedno pri dnu.
09:54
What is missing is a sense of urgency.
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Kar manjka je občutek za nujnost.
09:57
If you agree with the factual analysis,
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Če se strinjate z analizo dejstev,
10:02
but you don't feel the sense of urgency,
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toda ne čutite občutka njunosti,
10:05
where does that leave you?
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kaj vam to prepušča?
10:06
Well, the Alliance for Climate Protection, which I head
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No, združenje za zaščito klime, katerega vodim
10:09
in conjunction with Current TV -- who did this pro bono --
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v sodelovanju z CurrentTV - ki to opravlja v dobro,
10:13
did a worldwide contest to do commercials on how to communicate this.
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sta pripravili so svetovni natečaj za oglase, kako to sporočati.
10:17
This is the winner.
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To je zmagovalni oglas.
11:06
NBC -- I'll show all of the networks here -- the top journalists
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NBC - prikazal bom vse TV-postaje, -- najboljši novinarji
11:13
for NBC asked 956 questions in 2007
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za NBC so vprašali 956 vprašanj v 2007
11:17
of the presidential candidates: two of them were about
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predsedniškim kandidatom, le dve vprašanji od teh
11:20
the climate crisis. ABC: 844 questions, two about the climate crisis.
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so bili o klimatski krizi. ABC: 844 vprašanj, dve o klimatski krizi.
11:27
Fox: two. CNN: two. CBS: zero.
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Fox: dve. CNN: dve. CBS: nobeno.
11:37
From laughs to tears -- this is one of the older
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Od smeha do solz. To je en starejših
11:41
tobacco commercials.
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tobačnih oglasov.
11:43
So here's what we're doing.
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To je kar počnemo.
11:45
This is gasoline consumption in all of these countries. And us.
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To je poraba nafte v vseh naštetih državah in v ZDA.
11:55
But it's not just the developed nations.
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Niso le razvite države.
12:01
The developing countries are now following us
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Države v razvoju nam sledijo
12:05
and accelerating their pace. And actually,
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in povečujejo hod. In pravzaprav
12:07
their cumulative emissions this year are the equivalent
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njihove skupne emisijie so v tem letu ekvivalente
12:10
to where we were in 1965. And they're catching up
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našim v letu 1965. In dohitevajo nas
12:13
very dramatically. The total concentrations:
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zelo dramatično. Skupne koncentracije:
12:17
by 2025, they will be essentially where we were in 1985.
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do 2025 bodo v bistvu tam, kjer smo mi bili leta 1985.
12:23
If the wealthy countries were completely missing
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Četudi bi bogate države povsem izginile
12:28
from the picture, we would still have this crisis.
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iz slike, bi vseeno imeli to krizo.
12:31
But we have given to the developing countries
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Toda mi smo dali državam v razvoju
12:35
the technologies and the ways of thinking
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tehnologije in način razmišljanja,
12:37
that are creating the crisis. This is in Bolivia --
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ki sutvarjajo krizo. To je Bolivija.
12:43
over thirty years.
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V preseku 30 leti.
13:05
This is peak fishing in a few seconds. The '60s.
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To je vrhunec v nekaj sekundah. 60.
13:09
'70s. '80s. '90s. We have to stop this. And the good news is that we can.
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70. 80. 90. To moramo ustaviti. In dobra novica je, da lahko.
13:18
We have the technologies.
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Imamo tehnologije.
13:22
We have to have a unified view of how to go about this:
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Moramo imeti poenoten pogled kako pristopiti k temu:
13:27
the struggle against poverty in the world
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boj z revščino v svetu
13:31
and the challenge of cutting wealthy country emissions,
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in izziv zmanjšanja emisij v bogatih državah,
13:35
all has a single, very simple solution.
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vse ima enotno, zelo preprosto rešitev.
13:39
People say, "What's the solution?" Here it is.
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Ljudje sprašujejo "Kakšna je rešitev?" In tukaj je.
13:43
Put a price on carbon. We need a CO2 tax, revenue neutral,
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Dajmo ogljiku ceno. Potrebujemo davek na CO2, prihodkovno-nevtralen,
13:49
to replace taxation on employment, which was invented by Bismarck --
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ki bo zamenjal davke na zaposlovanje, ki so Bismarkov izzum.
13:57
and some things have changed
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In nekatere stvari so se spremenile
13:58
since the 19th century.
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od 19. stoletja.
13:59
In the poor world, we have to integrate the responses
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V obubožanem svetu, moramo integrirati odzive
14:06
to poverty with the solutions to the climate crisis.
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na revščino z rešitvami za klimatsko krizo.
14:10
Plans to fight poverty in Uganda
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Načrti za boj z revšino v Ugandi
14:13
are mooted, if we do not solve the climate crisis.
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so sporni, če ne rešimo klimatske krize.
14:17
But responses can actually make a huge difference
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Toda odzivi lahko dejansko naredijo veliko razliko
14:25
in the poor countries. This is a proposal
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v revnih državah. To je predlog
14:30
that has been talked about a lot in Europe.
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o katerem se je veliko govorilo v Evropi.
14:34
This was from Nature magazine. These are concentrating
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To je iz revije Nature. To so zgoščevalne
14:38
solar, renewable energy plants, linked in a so-called "supergrid"
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sončne obnovljive-elektrarne, povezane v tako imenovano super mrežo
14:45
to supply all of the electrical power
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za nudenje vse električne energije
14:48
to Europe, largely from developing countries -- high-voltage DC currents.
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za Evropo, v glavnem iz držav v razvoju. Visokonapetostni tokovi.
14:56
This is not pie in the sky; this can be done.
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To niso "sanje v oblakih", to je mogoče narediti.
14:59
We need to do it for our own economy.
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To rabimo za našo lastno ekonomijo.
15:02
The latest figures show that the old model
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Zadnje številke kažejo, da je stari modeli
15:05
is not working. There are a lot of great investments
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ne delujejo. Obstaja veliko odličnih investicij,
15:09
that you can make. If you are investing in tar sands
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ki jih lahko izberete. Če investirate v pesek bogat z
15:13
or shale oil, then you have a portfolio
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oljem, potem imate portfolio,
15:19
that is crammed with sub-prime carbon assets.
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ki je obremenjem z ogljikom.
15:23
And it is based on an old model.
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In je osnovan na starem modelu.
15:27
Junkies find veins in their toes when the ones
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Zasvojenci najdejo žile na palcih nog, ko so
15:30
in their arms and their legs collapse. Developing tar sands
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tiste na rokah in nogah pred kolapsom. Razvoj pridobivanja
15:35
and coal shale is the equivalent. Here are just a few of the investments
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nafte ujete v pesku je enakoverden temu. Tu je le nekaj naložb
15:41
that I personally think make sense.
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za ketere osebno menim, da so smiselne.
15:44
I have a stake in these, so I'll have a disclaimer there.
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Sam imam delež v teh, zato moram tole razglasiti.
15:47
But geothermal, concentrating solar,
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Toda geotermična, zbirna sončna,
15:50
advanced photovoltaics, efficiency and conservation.
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napredna fotovoltaika, učinkovitost in ohranjevanje.
15:57
You've seen this slide before, but there's a change.
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To prosojnico ste že videli pred tem, toda tu je sprememba.
16:00
The only two countries that didn't ratify
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Le dve državi nista ratificirali
16:04
-- and now there's only one. Australia had an election.
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-- sedaj le ena. Avstralija je imela volitve.
16:09
And there was a campaign in Australia
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In kampanija v Avstraliji
16:12
that involved television and Internet and radio commercials
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je vključevala televizijske, internetne in radijske oglase,
16:17
to lift the sense of urgency for the people there.
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za dvigovanje občutka njunosti pri prebivalcih.
16:19
And we trained 250 people to give the slide show
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Izurili smo 250 ljudi za predavatelje, ki so predavali
16:23
in every town and village and city in Australia.
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v vsakem mestu in kraju v Avstraliji.
16:28
Lot of other things contributed to it,
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Veliko drugih stvari je prispevalo k temu,
16:30
but the new Prime Minister announced that
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predsednik vlade je napovedal, da
16:33
his very first priority would be to change Australia's position
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je njegova prva prioriteta sprememba pozicije Avstralije
16:37
on Kyoto, and he has. Now, they came to an awareness
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glede Kjotskega sporazuma, in to je tudi storil. Zdaj so ozaveščeni
16:42
partly because of the horrible drought that they have had.
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deloma zaradi hude suše, ki so jo utrpeli.
16:46
This is Lake Lanier. My friend Heidi Cullen
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To je Lake Lanier. Moja prijateljica Heidi Cullins
16:50
said that if we gave droughts names the way we give hurricanes names,
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je rekla, da če suše poimenujemo, kot poimenujemo orkane,
16:54
we'd call the one in the southeast now Katrina,
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bi to sušo na jugovzhodu poimenovali Katrina in
16:57
and we would say it's headed toward Atlanta.
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rekli, da je na poti proti Atlanti.
16:59
We can't wait for the kind of drought
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Ne smemo čakati na sušo, podobno tisti,
17:03
Australia had to change our political culture.
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ki je prizadela Avstralijo, da spremenimo našo politično kulturo.
17:05
Here's more good news. The cities supporting Kyoto in the U.S.
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Tu je več dobrih novic. Število mestv ZDA, ki podpirajo Kjotski sporazum,
17:14
are up to 780 -- and I thought I saw one go by there,
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se je povzpelo na 780 - in mislim, da vidim še eno med njimi,
17:17
just to localize this -- which is good news.
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da postavim to v lokalen kontekst. To je dobra novica.
17:23
Now, to close, we heard a couple of days ago
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Da zaključim, pred nekaj dnevi smo slišali
17:29
about the value of making individual heroism so commonplace
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o vrednosti posameznega junaštva, ki postane tako vsakovnevno,
17:38
that it becomes banal or routine.
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da postane običajno ali rutinsko.
17:41
What we need is another hero generation. Those of us who are alive
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Kar potrebijemo je nova generacija herojev. Med nami, ki živimo
17:50
in the United States of America
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v ZDA danes,
17:52
today especially, but also the rest of the world,
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še posebej, kot tudi v drugih predelih sveta,
17:55
have to somehow understand that history
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moramo nekako razumeti, da nam zgodovina
18:00
has presented us with a choice -- just as Jill [Bolte] Taylor was figuring out
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nudi možnost izbire - tako kot Jill Bolte Taylor je poskušala ugotoviti
18:10
how to save her life while she was distracted
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kako rešiti svoje življenje, medtem ko jo je zmotila
18:15
by the amazing experience that she was going through.
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neverjetna izkušnja pred njo.
18:19
We now have a culture of distraction.
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Sedaj imamo kulturo odvračanja pozornosti.
18:22
But we have a planetary emergency.
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Toda imamo globalno krizo.
18:27
And we have to find a way to create,
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In moramo najti način ustvarjanja,
18:31
in the generation of those alive today, a sense of generational mission.
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med generacijo tistih, ki živimo danes, občtek generacijske misije.
18:37
I wish I could find the words to convey this.
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Želim, da bi našel prave besede, da vam posredujem to.
18:43
This was another hero generation
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To je še ena generacija herojev,
18:45
that brought democracy to the planet.
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ki so prinesli demokracijo našemu planetu.
18:48
Another that ended slavery. And that gave women the right to vote.
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Še eni, ki so končali sužensjtvo. In dali ženskam volilno pravico.
18:55
We can do this. Don't tell me that we don't have the capacity to do it.
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Mi to zmoremo. Ne recite mi, da nimamo sposobnosti izpeljati tega.
19:02
If we had just one week's worth of what we spend on the Iraq War,
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Če imamo le tednesko vrednost tega, kar danes zapravimo za vojno v Iraku,
19:06
we could be well on the way to solving this challenge.
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smo lahko na lepi poti do rešitve izziva.
19:09
We have the capacity to do it.
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Imamo vse sposobnosti, da to naredimo.
19:19
One final point: I'm optimistic, because I believe
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Kot končna točka. Sem oprimist, ker verjamem,
19:32
we have the capacity, at moments of great challenge,
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da imamo sposobnost, v trenutkih velikih izzivov,
19:36
to set aside the causes of distraction and rise to the challenge
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da damo na stran zadeve, ki odvračajo našo pozornost in se posvetimo pravim izzivom,
19:42
that history is presenting to us.
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kot nam jih ponuja zgodovina.
19:47
Sometimes I hear people respond to the disturbing facts of the climate crisis
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Včasih slišim odzive ljudi na moteča dejstva o klimatski krizi,
19:59
by saying, "Oh, this is so terrible.
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ko govorijo "Joj, to je tako strašno.
20:01
What a burden we have." I would like to ask you
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Kako breme nosimo." Rad bi vas vprašal
20:07
to reframe that. How many generations
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da to ponovno uokvirite. Koliko generacij
20:11
in all of human history have had the opportunity
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v celotni zgodovini človeštva je imelo priložnost
20:16
to rise to a challenge that is worthy of our best efforts?
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da se zoperstavi izzivu vrednemu naših najboljših moči?
20:25
A challenge that can pull from us
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Izzivu, ki nas lahko potegne
20:31
more than we knew we could do? I think we ought to approach
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več kot vemo, več lahko naredimo? Mislim, da moramo približati
20:39
this challenge with a sense of profound joy
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ta izziv z smislom in globokim veseljem
20:43
and gratitude that we are the generation
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in hvaležnostjo, da smo mi generacija
20:48
about which, a thousand years from now,
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o kateri, bodo čez tisoče let od danes,
20:52
philharmonic orchestras and poets and singers will celebrate
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orkestri, pesniki in pevci slavili,
21:01
by saying, they were the ones that found it within themselves
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z besedami, da so oni tisti, ki so našli v sebi
21:08
to solve this crisis and lay the basis
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rešitev krize in postavitev osnov
21:13
for a bright and optimistic human future.
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svetle in optimistične prihodnosti človeštva.
21:15
Let's do that. Thank you very much.
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Naredimo to. Najlepša hvala.
21:42
Chris Anderson: For so many people at TED, there is deep pain
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Chris Anderson: Za veliko ljudi pri TED, je velika bolečina,
21:48
that basically a design issue
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da je v osnovi vprašanje oblikovanja - na koncu dneva,
21:50
on a voting form --
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vprašanje oblikovanja na glasovalnem obrazcu.
21:52
one bad design issue meant that your voice wasn't being heard
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slabo oblikovanje lahko pomeni, da vaš glas ni bil slišan,
21:56
like that in the last eight years in a position
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kot v preteklih osmih letih na položaju,
21:57
where you could make these things come true.
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ko bi lahko uresničili te stvari.
21:59
That hurts.
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To bili.
22:01
Al Gore: You have no idea. (Laughter)
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Al Gore: Nimate pojma.
22:11
CA: When you look at what the leading candidates
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CA: Ko gledate na to, kar počnejo vodilni kandidati
22:12
in your own party are doing now -- I mean, there's --
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v vaši lastni stranki - mislim, je -
22:14
are you excited by their plans on global warming?
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ali ste razburjeni nad njihovimi načrti glede globalnega segrevanja?
22:28
AG: The answer to the question is hard for me
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AG: Odgovor na to vprašanje je težek,
22:32
because, on the one hand, I think that
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ker na eni strani, menim, da
22:36
we should feel really great about the fact
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bi se morali počutiti odlično že ob dejstvu,
22:41
that the Republican nominee -- certain nominee --
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da je Republikanski kandidat - določen kandidat-
22:47
John McCain, and both of the finalists
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John McCain, in oba finalista
22:51
for the Democratic nomination -- all three have a very different
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med Demokrati - vsi imajo zalo različne
22:56
and forward-leaning position
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in naprej usmerjene poglede
22:58
on the climate crisis. All three have offered leadership,
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glede klimatske krize. Vsi trije do ponudili vodstvo,
23:03
and all three are very different from the approach taken
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in vsi so povsem drugačni od pristopa
23:07
by the current administration. And I think
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trenutne administracije. In mislim,
23:10
that all three have also been responsible in
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da so vsi trije zelo odgovorno
23:14
putting forward plans and proposals. But the campaign dialogue that --
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postavili plane in predloge. Toda kampanija dialoga, ki
23:25
as illustrated by the questions --
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kot ilustrirano s pomočjo vprašanj,
23:26
that was put together by the
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ki so jih sestavilo pri
23:27
League of Conservation Voters, by the way, the analysis of all the questions --
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volilci pri Ligi za Ohranitev, mimogrede, analiza vseh vprašanj -
23:30
and, by the way, the debates have all been
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in mimogrede, vse debate so bile
23:34
sponsored by something that goes by the Orwellian label,
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sponzorirane iz nečesa, kar presega oznako Orwelliansko,
23:36
"Clean Coal." Has anybody noticed that?
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"Čisti premog" Je kdo opazil to?
23:40
Every single debate has been sponsored by "Clean Coal."
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Vsaka posamezno debato je omogočil "Čisti premog".
23:44
"Now, even lower emissions!"
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"Zdaj, še nižji izpusti"
23:46
The richness and fullness of the dialogue
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Bogastvo in polnost dialoga
23:50
in our democracy has not laid the basis
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v naši demokraciji nima osnov
23:53
for the kind of bold initiative that is really needed.
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za močne pobude, ki jih res potrebujemo.
23:57
So they're saying the right things and they may --
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Torej pravijo, prave stvari, ki jih morda --
24:00
whichever of them is elected -- may do the right thing,
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kdorkoli je že izvoljen -- morda bo naredil pravo stvar.
24:03
but let me tell you: when I came back from Kyoto
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toda naj vam povem: ko sem se vrnil iz Kjota
24:07
in 1997, with a feeling of great happiness
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lata 1997 z občutkom sreče,
24:14
that we'd gotten that breakthrough there,
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da nam uspe preboj,
24:16
and then confronted the United States Senate,
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in se soočil z senatom ZDA,
24:18
only one out of 100 senators was willing to vote
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le en on 100 senatorjev je bil pripralvjan glasovati
24:22
to confirm, to ratify that treaty. Whatever the candidates say
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in potrditi ter ratificirati pogodbo. Karkoli kandidati rečejo
24:29
has to be laid alongside what the people say.
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mora biti postavljeno poleg tega, kar ljudje rečejo.
24:34
This challenge is part of the fabric
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Izziv je del tkiva
24:38
of our whole civilization.
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naše celotne civilizacije.
24:40
CO2 is the exhaling breath of our civilization, literally.
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CO2 je izdih naše civilizacije, dobesedno.
24:44
And now we mechanized that process. Changing that pattern
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In zdaj smo mehanizirali ta proces. Spremenili vzorec,
24:47
requires a scope, a scale, a speed of change
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kar zahteva obseg, doseg in hitrost sprememb,
24:54
that is beyond what we have done in the past.
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ki presega tiste iz preteklosti.
24:57
So that's why I began by saying,
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Zato sem začel, s tem da sem dejal,
24:59
be optimistic in what you do, but be an active citizen.
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bodimo optimistični v tem kar delamo, bodimo aktivni državljani.
25:06
Demand -- change the light bulbs,
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Zahtevajmo. Menjajmo žarnice in
25:08
but change the laws. Change the global treaties.
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spremenimo zakone. Spremenimo globalne pogodbe.
25:11
We have to speak up. We have to solve this democracy -- this --
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Moramo spregovoriti. Moramo rešiti to demokracijo -- to --
25:18
We have sclerosis in our democracy. And we have to change that.
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Naša demokracija je pozabljiva. In to moramo spremeniti.
25:25
Use the Internet. Go on the Internet.
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Uporabimo Internet. Pojdimo na Internet.
25:26
Connect with people. Become very active as citizens.
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Povežimo se z ostalimi. Postanimo zelo aktivni državljani.
25:30
Have a moratorium -- we shouldn't
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Vzpostavimo moratorije -- ne smemo
25:32
have any new coal-fired generating plants
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imeti nobenih novih elektrarn na premog,
25:34
that aren't able to capture and store CO2, which means we have to
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ki niso sposobne zajemanja in shranjevanja CO2. Kar pomeni, da moramo
25:39
quickly build these renewable sources.
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hitro graditi obnovljive vire energije.
25:41
Now, nobody is talking on that scale. But I do believe
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Danes, nihče ne dela tega v takem obsegu. Toda varjamem,
25:45
that between now and November, it is possible.
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da med zdaj in novembrom, je to mogoče.
25:49
This Alliance for Climate Protection
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Naše zavezništvo za zaščito klime
25:51
is going to launch a nationwide campaign --
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bo začelo nacionalno kampanijo --
25:54
grassroots mobilization, television ads, Internet ads,
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mobilizacijo prek televizijskih, internetnih oglasov,
25:57
radio, newspaper -- with partnerships with everybody
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radia, novic -- s pomočjo partnerstva z vsemi
26:00
from the Girl Scouts to the hunters and fishermen.
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od tabornic do lovcev in ribolovcev.
26:03
We need help. We need help.
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Potrebujemo pomoč. Potrebujemo pomoč.
26:07
CA: In terms of your own personal role going forward,
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CA: V okviru vaše osebne vloge vnaprej,
26:11
Al, is there something more than that
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Al, je še kaj več, kar
26:13
you would like to be doing?
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bi radi počeli?
26:14
AG: I have prayed that I would be able to find the answer
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AG: Molil sem, da bi našel odgovor
26:22
to that question. What can I do?
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na to vprašanje. Kaj lahko počnem?
26:27
Buckminster Fuller once wrote, "If the future
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Buckminster Fuller je nekoč zapisal: "Če je prihodnost
26:31
of all human civilization depended on me, what would I do?
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vsega človeštva odvisna od mene, kaj lahko storim?
26:36
How would I be?" It does depend on all of us,
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Kakšen bi bil?" Odvisna je od nas vseh,
26:41
but again, not just with the light bulbs.
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toda spet, ne samo od menjave žarnic.
26:43
We, most of us here, are Americans. We have a democracy.
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Mi, večina nas tukaj, smo Američani. Imamo demokracijo.
26:51
We can change things, but we have to actively change.
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Lahko spremenimo stvari, toda moramo aktivno spreminjati.
26:57
What's needed really is a higher level of consciousness.
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Kar v resnici potrebujemo, je višji nivo zavesti.
27:02
And that's hard to --
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In to je težko -
27:04
that's hard to create -- but it is coming.
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to je težko ustvariti -- toda to je na poti.
27:08
There's an old African proverb that some of you know
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Star afriški pregovor, morda ga nekateri med vami poznajo,
27:11
that says, "If you want to go quickly, go alone;
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govori: "Če želite hitro, pojdite sami.
27:15
if you want to go far, go together." We have to go far, quickly.
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Če želite daleč, pojdite skupaj." Mi moramo daleč in hotro.
27:23
So we have to have a change in consciousness.
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Zato moramo spremeniti zavest.
27:27
A change in commitment. A new sense of urgency.
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Sprememba k zavezi. Nov občutek nujnosti.
27:31
A new appreciation for the privilege
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Novo cenjenje privilegija,
27:34
that we have of undertaking this challenge.
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da se soočamo s tem izzivom.
27:37
CA: Al Gore, thank you so much for coming to TED.
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CA: Al Gore, najlepša hvala, za udeležbo na TED.
27:41
AG: Thank you. Thank you very much.
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AG: Hvala. Najlepša hvala tudi vam.
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Al Gore - Climate advocateNobel Laureate Al Gore focused the world’s attention on the global climate crisis. Now he’s showing us how we’re moving towards real solutions.
Why you should listen
Former Vice President Al Gore is co-founder and chairman of Generation Investment Management. While he’s is a senior partner at Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, and a member of Apple, Inc.’s board of directors, Gore spends the majority of his time as chair of The Climate Reality Project, a nonprofit devoted to solving the climate crisis.
He is the author of the bestsellers Earth in the Balance, An Inconvenient Truth, The Assault on Reason, Our Choice: A Plan to Solve the Climate Crisis, and most recently, The Future: Six Drivers of Global Change. He is the subject of the Oscar-winning documentary An Inconvenient Truth and is the co-recipient, with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, of the Nobel Peace Prize for 2007 for “informing the world of the dangers posed by climate change.”
Gore was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 1976, 1978, 1980 and 1982 and the U.S. Senate in 1984 and 1990. He was inaugurated as the 45th Vice President of the United States on January 20, 1993, and served eight years.
Al Gore | Speaker | TED.com