ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Bill Davenhall - Health and human services expert
Bill Davenhall wants to improve physicians' diagnostic techniques by collecting each patient's geographic and environmental data, and merging it with their medical records.

Why you should listen

Bill Davenhall has spent three decades creating useful intelligence out of what seems ordinary demographic and geographic data. In the '70s he built the first geo-demographic models that helped some of America’s most well-known franchises expand across the nation; in the '80s he founded a start-up market research company that developed the first national database of estimates for the demand of healthcare services.

Davenhall leads the health and human services marketing team at ESRI, the largest geographic information system (GIS) software developer in the world.

More profile about the speaker
Bill Davenhall | Speaker | TED.com
TEDMED 2009

Bill Davenhall: Your health depends on where you live

Bill Davenhall:健康本于环境

Filmed:
940,322 views

住在哪儿如同食物和基因很大程度上影响着你的健康,但是却未成为你医疗记录的一部分.在TEDMED ,Bill Davenhall 将为你展示那些被忽略的官方地理数据,这些数据可以通过手机GPS应用程序帮助建立以供医生了解。我们将其称为地理处方。
- Health and human services expert
Bill Davenhall wants to improve physicians' diagnostic techniques by collecting each patient's geographic and environmental data, and merging it with their medical records. Full bio

Double-click the English transcript below to play the video.

00:15
Can geographic地理 information信息
0
0
3000
地理环境是否
00:18
make you healthy健康?
1
3000
4000
能使你身体更健康?
00:22
In 2001 I got hit击中 by a train培养.
2
7000
4000
2001年我被一列车撞到。
00:26
My train培养 was a heart attack攻击.
3
11000
3000
我的心脏受到了损害。
00:29
I found发现 myself in a hospital醫院
4
14000
2000
醒来时我发现自己在医院
00:31
in an intensive-care重症监护室 ward病房,
5
16000
2000
的一个加护病房里,
00:33
recuperating休养 from emergency surgery手术.
6
18000
3000
正从急救手术中恢复过来。
00:36
And I suddenly突然 realized实现 something:
7
21000
2000
我突然意识到:
00:38
that I was completely全然 in the dark黑暗.
8
23000
3000
自己完全被蒙在鼓里。
00:41
I started开始 asking my questions问题, "Well, why me?"
9
26000
2000
我开始问自己:“为什么是我?”
00:43
"Why now?" "Why here?"
10
28000
2000
为什么是现在?为什么在这儿?
00:45
"Could my doctor医生 have warned警告 me?"
11
30000
3000
“我的医生能否事先告诫我?”
00:48
So, what I want to do here in the few少数 minutes分钟 I have with you
12
33000
3000
所以,在接下来的几分钟,我想与你们分享的是
00:51
is really talk about what is the formula for life and good health健康.
13
36000
5000
一个健康的生命应由什么构成。
00:56
Genetics遗传学, lifestyle生活方式 and environment环境.
14
41000
3000
遗传基因,生活方式和环境。
00:59
That's going to sort分类 of contain包含 our risks风险,
15
44000
2000
也就是说这些是我们将面对的风险因素,
01:01
and if we manage管理 those risks风险
16
46000
2000
如果我们处理好这些风险
01:03
we're going to live生活 a good life and a good healthy健康 life.
17
48000
3000
我们的生活将会更健康更美好。
01:06
Well, I understand理解 the genetics遗传学 and lifestyle生活方式 part部分.
18
51000
4000
当然 ,我了解基因和生活方式这两方面。
01:10
And you know why I understand理解 that?
19
55000
2000
那你们知道我为什么了解吗?
01:12
Because my physicians医师 constantly经常
20
57000
3000
因为我的内科医生不断地
01:15
ask me questions问题 about this.
21
60000
2000
询问这些方面的情况。
01:17
Have you ever had to fill out those long,
22
62000
2000
你是否在医生的办公处填写过,
01:19
legal-sizelegal尺寸 forms形式 in your doctor's医生 office办公室?
23
64000
3000
那些标准大小规格的表格?
01:22
I mean, if you're lucky幸运 enough足够 you get to do it more than once一旦, right?
24
67000
3000
我是说,你们已幸运地做过多次这样的事,对吗?
01:25
(Laughter笑声)
25
70000
1000
(笑声)
01:26
Do it over and over again. And they ask you questions问题
26
71000
2000
一次又一次的重复。然后他们还要询问
01:28
about your lifestyle生活方式 and your family家庭 history历史,
27
73000
3000
你的生活方式,你的家庭史
01:31
your medication药物治疗 history历史, your surgical外科 history历史,
28
76000
4000
你的药物治疗史,你的外科史
01:35
your allergy过敏 history历史 ... did I forget忘记 any history历史?
29
80000
4000
你的过敏史,恩...我还忘了其他的什么历史吗?
01:39
But this part部分 of the equation方程 I didn't really get,
30
84000
4000
但是对于这个部分,我并不是真正的知道。
01:43
and I don't think my physicians医师
31
88000
3000
而且我也不认为我的医生
01:46
really get this part部分 of the equation方程.
32
91000
2000
真正的了解了这部分的信息。
01:48
What does that mean, my environment环境?
33
93000
3000
我的环境意味着什么?
01:51
Well, it can mean a lot of things.
34
96000
2000
实际上,它意味着很多事情。
01:53
This is my life. These are my life places地方.
35
98000
3000
这是我的生活。它们是我生活的地方。
01:56
We all have these.
36
101000
2000
我们每个人都拥有的。
01:58
While I'm talking I'd like you to also be thinking思维 about:
37
103000
3000
我希望在我演讲时,你们都想想
02:01
How many许多 places地方 have you lived生活?
38
106000
3000
你们在多少个地方生活过?
02:04
Just think about that, you know, wander漫步 through通过
39
109000
2000
在你的生活中时不时
02:06
your life thinking思维 about this.
40
111000
2000
想想这个问题。
02:08
And you realize实现 that you spend it in a variety品种 of different不同 places地方.
41
113000
4000
你会意识到,你的生命在很多不同的地方度过。
02:12
You spend it at rest休息 and you spend it at work.
42
117000
2000
你在不同的地方休息和工作。
02:14
And if you're like me, you're in an airplane飞机 a good portion一部分 of your time
43
119000
3000
如果是像我类的人,旅途过程中你将花相当一部分的时间
02:17
traveling旅行 some place地点.
44
122000
2000
在机场这个地方。
02:19
So, it's not really simple简单
45
124000
2000
所以,我们总是很难回答类似的问题
02:21
when somebody asks you, "Where do you live生活, where do you work,
46
126000
2000
你在哪儿生活?你在哪儿工作?
02:23
and where do you spend all your time?
47
128000
2000
你在哪儿度过你的时光?
02:25
And where do you expose暴露 yourselves你自己 to risks风险
48
130000
3000
你在哪儿陷入那些
02:28
that maybe perhaps也许 you don't even see?"
49
133000
4000
你甚至未意识到的危机之中?
02:32
Well, when I have doneDONE this on myself,
50
137000
2000
当我向自己发问时
02:34
I always come to the conclusion结论
51
139000
2000
我总能得出以下结论
02:36
that I spend about 75 percent百分 of my time
52
141000
4000
我生命中大约75%的时间
02:40
relatively相对 in a small number of places地方.
53
145000
3000
都集中在几个地方度过。
02:43
And I don't wander漫步 far from that place地点
54
148000
2000
大部分的时间
02:45
for a majority多数 of my time,
55
150000
2000
我不会远离它们,
02:47
even though虽然 I'm an extensive广泛 global全球 trekker背包.
56
152000
5000
即使我是一位满世界跑的旅行者。
02:52
Now, I'm going to take you on a little journey旅程 here.
57
157000
2000
现在,我将带你们踏上我的几段旅途。
02:54
I started开始 off in Scranton斯克兰顿, Pennsylvania宾夕法尼亚.
58
159000
2000
我从宾夕法尼亚的斯克兰顿出发。
02:56
I don't know if anybody任何人 might威力 hail冰雹 from northeastern东北方 Pennsylvania宾夕法尼亚,
59
161000
3000
我不知道现场是否有人来自宾西法尼亚州东北部。
02:59
but this is where I spent花费 my first 19 years年份
60
164000
3000
但是这是我与我年轻活力的肺
03:02
with my little young年轻 lungs.
61
167000
2000
一起呆了19年的地方。
03:04
You know, breathing呼吸 high concentrations浓度 here
62
169000
3000
在这里,我伴随着高浓度的
03:07
of sulfur dioxide二氧化碳, carbon dioxide二氧化碳
63
172000
2000
二氧化硫,二氧化碳
03:09
and methane甲烷 gas加油站,
64
174000
2000
和甲烷
03:11
in unequal不等 quantities数量 -- 19 years年份 of this.
65
176000
3000
一起度过了我生命中的19年。
03:14
And if you've been in that part部分 of the country国家,
66
179000
2000
如果你也曾在这个地方住过,
03:16
this is what those piles of burning燃烧, smoldering闷烧 coal煤炭 waste浪费 look like.
67
181000
4000
你就会了解它们都是产生于就像这些一堆堆正在燃烧的煤渣。
03:20
So then I decided决定 to leave离开 that part部分 of the world世界,
68
185000
3000
所以,我决定离开那个地方。
03:23
and I was going to go to the mid-west中西部.
69
188000
3000
然后打算迁到中西部。
03:26
OK, so I ended结束 up in Louisville路易斯维尔, Kentucky肯塔基.
70
191000
3000
现在我在肯塔基州的路易斯维尔定居。
03:29
Well, I decided决定 to be neighbors邻居 to a place地点 called RubbertownRubbertown.
71
194000
4000
我打算成为橡胶镇的邻居。
03:33
They manufacture制造 plastics塑料. They use large quantities数量 chloroprene氯丁
72
198000
3000
这个镇生产塑料。生产过程中使用大量的氯丁二烯
03:36
and benzene.
73
201000
2000
和苯。
03:38
Okay, I spent花费 25 years年份, in my middle-age中年 lungs now,
74
203000
5000
就这样,我带着我那步入中年的肺
03:43
breathing呼吸 various各个 concentrations浓度 of that.
75
208000
3000
呼吸着充满氯丁二烯和奔的空气又生活了25年。
03:46
And on a clear明确 day it always looked看着 like this, so you never saw it.
76
211000
4000
在晴朗的天气里它显得那样的干净漂亮,你从不会发现这些毒气存在。
03:50
It was insidious阴险 and it was really happening事件.
77
215000
3000
但它却是真真实实的潜在地发生了。
03:53
Then I decided决定 I had to get really smart聪明,
78
218000
2000
然后我决定了我必须变得聪明,
03:55
I would take this job工作 in the West西 Coast.
79
220000
3000
我要在西海岸从事这个工作。
03:58
And I moved移动 to Redlands雷德兰兹 California加州.
80
223000
3000
然后我又搬到了加利福尼亚州的瑞德兰兹。
04:01
Very nice不错, and there
81
226000
2000
我带着年长的
04:03
my older旧的, senior前辈 lungs, as I like to call them,
82
228000
4000
肺(我喜欢这样称呼它们)生活在那里
04:07
I filled填充 with particulate颗粒 matter, carbon dioxide二氧化碳 and very high doses剂量 of ozone臭氧.
83
232000
6000
之后我又发现了一些小问题,二氧化碳,臭氧的浓度非常高。
04:13
Okay? Almost几乎 like the highest最高 in the nation国家.
84
238000
2000
甚至是整个国家最高点的。
04:15
Alright好的, this is what it looks容貌 like on a good day.
85
240000
2000
这个地方天气好的时候就像这样。
04:17
If you've been there, you know what I'm talking about.
86
242000
3000
如果你住过那里,你就会了解我正在说的。
04:20
So, what's wrong错误 with this picture图片?
87
245000
3000
现在看看,这副图片存在什么问题?
04:23
Well, the picture图片 is, there is a huge巨大 gap间隙 here.
88
248000
2000
是的,在图片的这里,有个巨大的空隙。
04:25
The one thing that never happens发生 in my doctor's医生 office办公室:
89
250000
4000
在我医生的办公室从未发生过的一件事就是:
04:29
They never ask me about my place地点 history历史.
90
254000
3000
他们从未问过我的居住地情况。
04:32
No doctor医生, can I remember记得, ever asking me,
91
257000
3000
我记得从未有过任何一个医生问过我:
04:35
"Where have you lived生活?"
92
260000
2000
你曾经在什么地方居住过?
04:37
They haven't没有 asked me what kind of the quality质量
93
262000
2000
他们没有问过我
04:39
of the drinking water that I put in my mouth
94
264000
2000
我饮用的水质量如何?
04:41
or the food餐饮 that I ingest摄取 into my stomach.
95
266000
4000
或者我食用的食物的质量又如何?
04:45
They really don't do that. It's missing失踪.
96
270000
3000
他们从未那样做过。
04:48
Look at the kind of data数据 that's available可得到.
97
273000
3000
看看这组数据。
04:51
This data's数据的 from all over the world世界 --
98
276000
2000
这组数据是世界各国投入数亿美元
04:53
countries国家 spend billions数十亿 of dollars美元 investing投资 in this kind of research研究.
99
278000
4000
做此类研究所得出的。
04:57
Now, I've circled盘旋 the places地方 where I've been.
100
282000
3000
现在,我圈出了我们研究过的地方。
05:00
Well, by design设计, if I wanted to have a heart attack攻击
101
285000
3000
现在,我必须在一些地方呆过
05:03
I'd been in the right places地方. Right?
102
288000
5000
我才能得心脏病,对吗?
05:08
So, how many许多 people are in the white白色?
103
293000
2000
所以,有多少人住在白色的这些地方?
05:10
How many许多 people in the room房间 have spent花费 the majority多数 of their life
104
295000
2000
在坐的有多少人在这些白色地方
05:12
in the white白色 space空间?
105
297000
3000
度过了你生命中的大部分时间?
05:15
Anybody任何人? Boy男孩 you're lucky幸运.
106
300000
2000
有吗?这个先生你很幸运。
05:17
How many许多 have spent花费 it in the red places地方?
107
302000
3000
又有多少人居住在这些红色区域?
05:20
Oh, not so lucky幸运.
108
305000
2000
看来不是很幸运。
05:22
There are thousands数千 of these kinds of maps地图
109
307000
3000
有成千上万副类似的图片,
05:25
that are displayed显示 in atlases地图集
110
310000
2000
在世界各地的
05:27
all over the world世界.
111
312000
2000
地图册中展示出来。
05:29
They give us some sense of what's going
112
314000
2000
他们提醒我们
05:31
to be our train培养 wreck破坏.
113
316000
3000
发生火车碰撞后将会发生什么。
05:34
But none没有 of that's in my medical record记录.
114
319000
2000
但是在我的医疗记录中没有任何相关的记录。
05:36
And it's not in yours你的 either.
115
321000
2000
相信你们的也没有。
05:38
So, here's这里的 my friend朋友 Paul保罗.
116
323000
2000
这是我的一位朋友Paul,
05:40
He's a colleague同事. He allowed允许 his cell细胞 phone电话 to be tracked追踪
117
325000
4000
是我同事,在过去的两年里,他将其移动电话设置为可以被追踪的
05:44
every一切 two hours小时, 24/7,
118
329000
3000
365天,每天
05:47
365 days out of the year
119
332000
2000
两个小时,
05:49
for the last two years年份, everywhere到处 he went.
120
334000
3000
不管他到哪个地方。
05:52
And you can see he's been to a few少数 places地方 around the United联合的 States状态.
121
337000
4000
你可以看到他到过了美国的几个地方,
05:56
And this is where he has spent花费 most of his time.
122
341000
4000
在这里他度过了大部分的时间。
06:00
If you really studied研究 that you might威力 have some clues线索
123
345000
3000
如果你认真的观察这些地方,你可能从中猜出
06:03
as to what Paul保罗 likes喜欢 to do.
124
348000
3000
Paul的爱好是什么。
06:06
Anybody任何人 got any clues线索? Ski滑雪. Right.
125
351000
3000
有人知道吗?是的,就是滑雪。
06:09
We can zoom放大 in here, and we suddenly突然 see
126
354000
3000
我们聚焦这儿,我们马上会发现
06:12
that now we see where Paul保罗 has really spent花费 a majority多数 of his time.
127
357000
4000
在这些地方Paul度过了相当一部分的时光。
06:16
And all of those black黑色 dots are all of the
128
361000
4000
所有这些黑点
06:20
toxic有毒的 release发布 inventories库存
129
365000
2000
都是由EPA监测出的有毒气排放
06:22
that are monitored监控 by the EPAEPA.
130
367000
2000
记录的地方。
06:24
Did you know that data数据 existed存在?
131
369000
3000
你们知道有这类数据存在吗?
06:27
For every一切 community社区 in the United联合的 States状态,
132
372000
2000
在美国的各个社区,
06:29
you could have your own拥有 personalized个性化 map地图 of that.
133
374000
4000
你们都可以领取属于你们自己的地图册。
06:33
So, our cell细胞 phones手机 can now build建立 a place地点 history历史.
134
378000
3000
所以,我们的手机现在帮助建立我们的居住史。
06:36
This is how Paul保罗 did it. He did it with his iPhone苹果手机.
135
381000
3000
这就是Paul用他的iPhone 所做的.
06:39
This might威力 be what we end结束 up with.
136
384000
2000
这可能即使我们最终想要达到的效果。
06:41
This is what the physician医师 would have
137
386000
3000
当我们进入到治疗室时,
06:44
in front面前 of him and her when we enter输入 that exam考试 room房间
138
389000
3000
这个将呈现给我们的医生
06:47
instead代替 of just the pink slip that said I paid支付 at the counter计数器. Right?
139
392000
4000
而不是在柜台领取的那张表,对吗?
06:51
This could be my little assessment评定.
140
396000
2000
这个是我自己一个小猜测
06:53
And he looks容貌 at that and he says,
141
398000
2000
他可能看着那个然后说
06:55
"Whoa Bill法案,
142
400000
2000
“喔~Bill,
06:57
I suggest建议 that maybe you not decide决定,
143
402000
3000
你居住,
07:00
just because you're out here in beautiful美丽 California加州,
144
405000
2000
你居住在美丽的加利福尼亚
07:02
and it's warm every一切 day,
145
407000
2000
每天都那么的温暖,
07:04
that you get out and run at six o'clock at night.
146
409000
3000
可能你决定每天晚上6点出去跑步,
07:07
I'd suggest建议 that that's a bad idea理念 Bill法案,
147
412000
3000
但是从这组数据中看出
07:10
because of this report报告."
148
415000
3000
这将不会是个好主意。”
07:13
What I'd like to leave离开 you for are two prescriptions处方.
149
418000
4000
今天我将留给你们是这样的两个处方:
07:17
Okay, number one is, we must必须 teach physicians医师
150
422000
2000
第一个:我们必须让我们的医生
07:19
about the value of geographical地理 information信息.
151
424000
4000
了解到地理信息的价值所在。
07:23
It's called geomedicinegeomedicine. There are about a half a dozen programs程式 in the world世界 right now
152
428000
4000
全世界正在做的研究
07:27
that are focused重点 on this.
153
432000
2000
其中一半项目都在关注。
07:29
And they're in the early stages阶段 of development发展.
154
434000
3000
这些研究都处于起步阶段,
07:32
These programs程式 need to be supported支持的,
155
437000
3000
都需要得到支持。
07:35
and we need to teach our future未来
156
440000
2000
然后我们需要告诉我们未来全世界范围内的
07:37
doctors医生 of the world世界
157
442000
2000
医生们,
07:39
the importance重要性 of some of the information信息
158
444000
2000
今天我与你们
07:41
I've shared共享 here with you today今天.
159
446000
2000
一起分享的这些信息的重要性。
07:43
The second第二 thing we need to do
160
448000
2000
第二件事我们需要做的是:
07:45
is while we're spending开支 billions数十亿 and billions数十亿
161
450000
2000
当世界各地投入
07:47
of dollars美元 all over the world世界
162
452000
3000
亿万美元
07:50
building建造 an electronic电子 health健康 record记录,
163
455000
2000
去建立一个电子化的健康记录时,
07:52
we make sure we put a place地点 history历史
164
457000
2000
我们必须确定将居住史
07:54
inside that medical record记录.
165
459000
3000
记录在内。
07:57
It not only will be important重要 for the physician医师;
166
462000
3000
它不仅对医生显得很重要,
08:00
it will be important重要 for the researchers研究人员
167
465000
2000
为研究者也同样重要。
08:02
that now will have huge巨大 samples样本 to draw upon.
168
467000
4000
对此,我们可以举出大量的例子。
08:06
But it will also be useful有用 for us.
169
471000
2000
同样对于我们自己也非常有用。
08:08
I could have made制作 the decision决定, if I had this information信息,
170
473000
4000
如果我们拥有了这些信息,
08:12
not to move移动 to the ozone臭氧 capital首都
171
477000
3000
无需到美国的臭氧中心就可以得出结论。
08:15
of the United联合的 States状态, couldn't不能 I? I could make that decision决定.
172
480000
3000
我可以吗?是的,我可以。
08:18
Or I could negotiate谈判 with my employer雇主
173
483000
2000
基于我自己和我公司的最大利益,
08:20
to make that decision决定
174
485000
2000
或者我可以与我的雇主谈判
08:22
in the best最好 interest利益 of myself and my company公司.
175
487000
6000
做出决定。
08:28
With that, I would like to just say that Jack插口 Lord said
176
493000
3000
有了那些,我可以说出Jack Lord
08:31
this almost几乎 10 years年份 ago.
177
496000
3000
差不多十年前说过的话。
08:34
Just look at that for a minute分钟.
178
499000
2000
花一分钟的时间看这,
08:36
That was what the conclusion结论
179
501000
2000
这是Dartmouth保健地图册
08:38
of the Dartmouth达特茅斯 Atlas舆图 of Healthcare卫生保健 was about,
180
503000
3000
所得到的结论。
08:41
was saying that we can explain说明 the geographic地理 variations变化
181
506000
3000
从中我们可以解释
08:44
that occur发生 in disease疾病, in illness疾病, in wellness健康,
182
509000
4000
在身体处于生病抑或是健康时地理区域的变化。
08:48
and how our healthcare卫生保健 system系统 actually其实 operates操作.
183
513000
3000
还有我们的保健系统又是怎么实际运行的。
08:51
That was what he was talking about
184
516000
2000
这就是他在引用此数据时
08:53
on that quote引用.
185
518000
2000
所要阐述的。
08:55
And I would say he got it right almost几乎 a decade ago.
186
520000
4000
我要说在10年前他就正确的认识到了。
08:59
So, I'd very much like to see us begin开始 to
187
524000
2000
所以,我将非常欣喜的看到
09:01
really seize抢占 this as an opportunity机会 to get this into our medical records记录.
188
526000
4000
我们能真正的抓住这个机会将居住史也涵盖在医疗记录中。
09:05
So with that, I'll leave离开 you that
189
530000
2000
所以我将带给你们
09:07
in my particular特定 view视图 of view视图 of health健康:
190
532000
4000
我个人对健康的看法:
09:11
Geography地理 always matters事项.
191
536000
2000
就是地理总是问题所在。
09:13
And I believe that geographic地理 information信息
192
538000
2000
而且我坚信了解地理信息
09:15
can make both you and me very healthy健康. Thank you.
193
540000
2000
将会使你和我更加健康。谢谢!
09:17
(Applause掌声)
194
542000
3000
(鼓掌)
Translated by melody lam
Reviewed by Chaoran Yu

▲Back to top

ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Bill Davenhall - Health and human services expert
Bill Davenhall wants to improve physicians' diagnostic techniques by collecting each patient's geographic and environmental data, and merging it with their medical records.

Why you should listen

Bill Davenhall has spent three decades creating useful intelligence out of what seems ordinary demographic and geographic data. In the '70s he built the first geo-demographic models that helped some of America’s most well-known franchises expand across the nation; in the '80s he founded a start-up market research company that developed the first national database of estimates for the demand of healthcare services.

Davenhall leads the health and human services marketing team at ESRI, the largest geographic information system (GIS) software developer in the world.

More profile about the speaker
Bill Davenhall | Speaker | TED.com

Data provided by TED.

This site was created in May 2015 and the last update was on January 12, 2020. It will no longer be updated.

We are currently creating a new site called "eng.lish.video" and would be grateful if you could access it.

If you have any questions or suggestions, please feel free to write comments in your language on the contact form.

Privacy Policy

Developer's Blog

Buy Me A Coffee