TED2017
Ted Halstead: A climate solution where all sides can win
Ted Halstead: Rješenje za klimatske probleme gdje sve strane pobjeđuju
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Zašto smo tako zapeli s klimom, i što nam je potrebno da prevladamo gotovo nepremostive prepreke da bismo napredovali? Poduzetnik Ted Halstead predlaže transformativno rješenje bazirano na sustavu konzervativnih principa slobodnih tržišta i ograničavanja vlada. Saznajte kako bi njegov plan za ugljične dividende mogao pokrenuti međunarodni domino efekt prema rješenju za klimatske probleme.
Ted Halstead - Policy entrepreneur, climate expert, author
Ted Halstead is breathing new life into US and global climate policy by mobilizing conservative leaders and CEOs around a breakthrough carbon dividends solution. Full bio
Ted Halstead is breathing new life into US and global climate policy by mobilizing conservative leaders and CEOs around a breakthrough carbon dividends solution. Full bio
Double-click the English transcript below to play the video.
00:13
I have a two-year-old daughter named Naya
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Imam dvogodišnju kćer imena Naya
00:15
who is under the mistaken impression
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koja je pod krivim dojmom
00:17
that this conference
is named in honor of her father.
is named in honor of her father.
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da je ova konferencija nazvana
u čast njenom ocu.
u čast njenom ocu.
00:21
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
00:22
Who am I to contradict my baby girl?
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Tko sam ja da se protivim svojoj curici?
00:25
As many of you know, there's something
about becoming a parent
about becoming a parent
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Kao što svi znate, ima nešto u tome
kada postanete roditelj
kada postanete roditelj
00:29
that concentrates the mind
on long-term problems like climate change.
on long-term problems like climate change.
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što koncentrira um na dugoročne
probleme kao što su klimatske promjene.
probleme kao što su klimatske promjene.
00:34
It was the birth of my daughter
that inspired me
that inspired me
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Rođenje moje kćeri inspiriralo me
00:37
to launch this climate organization,
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da lansiram ovu klimatsku organizaciju,
00:39
in order to counteract the excessive
polarization of this issue
polarization of this issue
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kako bih se borio protiv
pretjerane polarizacije ovog problema
pretjerane polarizacije ovog problema
00:43
in the United States,
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u Sjedinjenim državama,
00:44
and to find a conservative
pathway forward.
pathway forward.
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i kako bih našao
konzervativni put naprijed.
konzervativni put naprijed.
00:50
Yes, folks, a Republican
climate solution is possible,
climate solution is possible,
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Da, ljudi, republikansko
klimatsko rješenje je moguće,
klimatsko rješenje je moguće,
00:54
and you know what?
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i znate što?
00:56
It may even be better.
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Možda je čak i bolje.
00:58
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
01:00
Let me try to prove that to you.
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Dajte da vam pokušam dokazati to.
01:03
What we really need
is a killer app to climate policy.
is a killer app to climate policy.
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Ono što zaista trebamo
je super aplikacija za klimatsku politiku.
je super aplikacija za klimatsku politiku.
01:07
In the technology world, a killer app
is an application so transformative
is an application so transformative
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U tehnološkom svijetu super aplikacija
je aplikacija toliko transformativna
je aplikacija toliko transformativna
01:12
that it creates its own market,
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da stvara vlastito tržište,
01:13
like Uber.
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kao Uber.
01:15
In the climate world,
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U klimatskom svijetu,
01:17
a killer app is a new
solution so promising
solution so promising
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super aplikacija je novo
rješenje koje toliko obećava
rješenje koje toliko obećava
01:22
that it can break through
the seemingly insurmountable
the seemingly insurmountable
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da može svladati
naizgled nesavladive
naizgled nesavladive
01:25
barriers to progress.
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prepreke da bi napredovala.
01:27
These include the psychological barrier.
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Ovo uključuje i psihološku barijeru.
01:31
Climate advocates have long
been encouraging their fellow citizens
been encouraging their fellow citizens
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Klimatski zagovornici dugo
potiču svoje sugrađane
potiču svoje sugrađane
01:34
to make short-term sacrifices now
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da rade kratkoročne žrtve sada
01:36
for benefits that accrue to other people
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za dobrobit koja će nastati za druge
ljude
ljude
01:38
in other countries 30 or 40
years in the future.
years in the future.
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u drugim zemljama 30 ili 40
godina u budućnosti.
godina u budućnosti.
01:41
It just doesn't fly because it runs
contrary to basic human nature.
contrary to basic human nature.
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To jednostavno ne prolazi,
jer je suprotno od ljudske prirode.
jer je suprotno od ljudske prirode.
01:46
Next is the geopolitical barrier.
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Sljedeća je geopolitička barijera.
01:50
Under the current rules of global trade,
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Pod trenutnim pravilima globalne razmjene,
01:52
countries have a strong incentive
to free ride off the emissions reductions
to free ride off the emissions reductions
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zemlje imaju snažan poticaj
da se švercaju na smanjenje zagađenja
da se švercaju na smanjenje zagađenja
01:56
of other nations,
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drugih nacija,
01:57
instead of strengthening
their own programs.
their own programs.
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umjesto da jačaju vlastite programe.
02:00
This has been the curse
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Ovo je bilo prokletstvo
02:01
of every international
climate negotiations, including Paris.
climate negotiations, including Paris.
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svakih međunarodnih klimatskih
pregovora, uključujući i Pariz.
pregovora, uključujući i Pariz.
02:06
Finally, we have the partisan barrier.
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Napokon, imamo stranačku prepreku.
02:09
Even the most committed countries --
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Čak i najposvećenije zemlje --
02:11
Germany, the United Kingdom, Canada --
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Njemačka, Velika Britanija, Kanada --
02:14
are nowhere near reducing emissions
at the required scale and speed.
at the required scale and speed.
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nisu ni blizu smanjivanju zagađenja
na potrebnoj razini i brzini.
na potrebnoj razini i brzini.
02:19
Not even close.
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Nisu ni blizu.
02:21
And the partisan climate divide
is far more acute
is far more acute
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I stranačka klimatska podjela
je još akutnija
je još akutnija
02:25
here in the United States.
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ovdje u SAD-u.
02:27
We are fundamentally stuck,
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Doslovno smo zaglavili,
02:29
and that is why we need
a killer app of climate policy
a killer app of climate policy
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i zato trebamo super aplikaciju
za klimatsku politiku
za klimatsku politiku
02:33
to break through each of these barriers.
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kako bismo probili sve ove barijere.
02:36
I'm convinced that the road
to climate progress in the United States
to climate progress in the United States
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Uvjeren sam da put napretka
po pitanju klime u SAD-u
po pitanju klime u SAD-u
02:42
runs through the Republican Party
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leži u Republikancima
02:45
and the business community.
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i poslovnoj zajednici.
02:48
So in launching
the Climate Leadership Council,
the Climate Leadership Council,
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U lansiranju
Klimatskog vijeća za vodstvo,
Klimatskog vijeća za vodstvo,
02:51
I started by reaching out to a who's who
of Republican elder statesmen
of Republican elder statesmen
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počeo sam se javljati
bitnjini republikanskim političarima,
bitnjini republikanskim političarima,
02:54
and business leaders,
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i poslovnim vođama,
02:56
including James Baker and George Schultz,
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uključujući Jamesa Bakera
i Georgea Schultza,
i Georgea Schultza,
02:59
the two most respected Republican
elder statesmen in America;
elder statesmen in America;
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dva najpoštovanija starija
republikanska političara u Americi;
republikanska političara u Americi;
03:03
Martin Feldstein and Greg Mankiw,
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Martina Feldsteina i Grega Mankiwa,
03:05
the two most respected
conservative economists in the country;
conservative economists in the country;
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dva najpoštovanija konzervativna
ekonomista u zemlji;
ekonomista u zemlji;
03:09
and Henry Paulson and Rob Walton,
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i Henry Paulsona i Roba Waltona,
03:11
two of the most successful
and admired business leaders.
and admired business leaders.
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dva najuspješnija i najpoznatija
poslovna vođe.
poslovna vođe.
03:14
Together, we co-authored
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Zajedno, stvorili smo
03:16
"The Conservative Case
For Carbon Dividends."
For Carbon Dividends."
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"Konzervativni slučaj
za ugljične dividende."
za ugljične dividende."
03:19
This represents the first time
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Ovo predstavlja prvi put
03:22
that Republican leaders put forth
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da su republikanski vođe predstavili
03:25
a concrete market-based climate solution.
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konkretan plan za klimatske promjene
namijenjen tržištu.
namijenjen tržištu.
03:28
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
03:29
Thank you.
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Hvala vam.
03:31
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
03:33
We presented our plan at the White House
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Predstavili smo svoj plan u Bijeloj Kući
03:35
two weeks after President Trump moved in.
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dva tjedna nakon što se uselio
predsjednik Trump.
predsjednik Trump.
03:39
Almost every leading
editorial board in the country
editorial board in the country
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Gotovo svaki nadzorni
odbor u zemlji
odbor u zemlji
03:43
has since endorsed our plan,
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je od onda podržao naš plan,
03:45
and Fortune 100 companies
from a wide range of industries
from a wide range of industries
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i tvrtke sa Fortune 100 liste
iz širokog raspona industrija
iz širokog raspona industrija
03:50
are now getting behind it.
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sada staju iza njega.
03:52
So by now you're probably wondering,
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Sad se već sigurno pitate,
03:54
what exactly is this plan?
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kakav je to plan?
03:57
Well, our carbon dividends solution
is based on four pillars.
is based on four pillars.
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Pa, naše riješenje za ugljične
dividende stoji na četiri stupca.
dividende stoji na četiri stupca.
04:01
The first is a gradually
rising carbon tax.
rising carbon tax.
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Prvi je polako podizati
porez na emisije ugljika.
porez na emisije ugljika.
04:05
Although capitalism is a wonderful system,
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Iako je kapitalizam divan sustav,
04:08
like many operating systems,
it's prone to bugs,
it's prone to bugs,
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kao i mnogi operativni sustav,
sklon je greškama,
sklon je greškama,
04:11
which, in this case, are called
"market failures."
"market failures."
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koji se, u ovom slučaju,
zovu "tržišni promašaji."
zovu "tržišni promašaji."
04:14
By far the largest is that
market prices fail to take
market prices fail to take
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Najveći je taj da tržišne cijene
ne uzimaju u obzir
ne uzimaju u obzir
04:18
social and environmental
costs into account.
costs into account.
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društveni i okolišni trošak.
04:21
That means every market transaction
is based on incorrect information.
is based on incorrect information.
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To znači da je svaka tržišna transakcija
zasnovana na krivim informacijama.
zasnovana na krivim informacijama.
04:27
This fundamental bug of capitalism,
more than any other single factor,
more than any other single factor,
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Ova temeljna greška kapitalizma,
više nego bilo koji drugi faktor,
više nego bilo koji drugi faktor,
04:31
is to blame for our climate predicament.
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kriva je za naše probleme s klimom.
04:34
Now in theory, this should be
an easy problem to fix.
an easy problem to fix.
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U teoriji, ovo bi trebalo biti
lako riješiti.
lako riješiti.
04:38
Economists agree
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Ekonomisti se slažu
04:39
that the best solution is to put a price
on the carbon content of fossil fuels,
on the carbon content of fossil fuels,
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da je najbolje rješenje da se stavi
cijena na ugljik u fosilnim gorivima,
cijena na ugljik u fosilnim gorivima,
04:44
otherwise known as a carbon tax.
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inače znan kao porez na ugljik.
04:46
This would discourage carbon emissions
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To bi obeshrabrilo emisije ugljika
04:50
in every single economic transaction,
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u svakoj ekonomskoj transakciji
04:52
every day of the year.
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svakog dana u godini.
04:54
However, a carbon tax by itself
has proven to be unpopular
has proven to be unpopular
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No ipak, porez na ugljik
nije popularan
nije popularan
04:59
and a political dead end.
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i politička je slijepa ulica.
05:01
The answer is to return
all the money raised
all the money raised
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Odgovor je vratiti
sav prikupljeni novac
sav prikupljeni novac
05:05
directly to citizens,
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direktno građanima,
05:07
in the form of equal monthly dividends.
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u obliku jednakih mjesečnih
naknada.
naknada.
05:11
This would transform
an unpopular carbon tax
an unpopular carbon tax
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To bi transformiralo
nepopularni porez
nepopularni porez
05:15
into a popular and populist solution,
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u popularno i populističko
rješenje,
rješenje,
05:18
and it would also solve
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i također bi riješilo
05:20
the underlying psychological barrier
that we discussed,
that we discussed,
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psihološku barijeru
o kojoj smo pričali,
o kojoj smo pričali,
05:23
by giving everyone a concrete benefit
in the here and now.
in the here and now.
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dajući svima konkretnu
dobrobit sada i ovdje.
dobrobit sada i ovdje.
05:29
And these benefits would be significant.
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I te blagodati bile bi značajne.
05:31
Assuming a carbon tax rate
that starts at 40 dollars per ton,
that starts at 40 dollars per ton,
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Pretpostavimo da porez
kreće od 40 dolara po toni,
kreće od 40 dolara po toni,
05:35
a family of four would receive
2,000 dollars per year
2,000 dollars per year
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obitelj od četvoro bi dobila 2.000
dolara godišnje
dolara godišnje
05:38
from the get-go.
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u startu.
05:40
According to the US Treasury Department,
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Prema Američkoj riznici
05:43
the bottom 70 percent of Americans
would receive more in dividends
would receive more in dividends
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donjih 70 posto Amerikanaca
dobilo bi više u dividendama
dobilo bi više u dividendama
05:48
than they would pay
in increased energy prices.
in increased energy prices.
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nego bi platili u povećanim
cijenama energenata.
cijenama energenata.
05:52
That means 223 million Americans
would win economically
would win economically
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To znači da bi 223 milijuna Amerikanaca
bilo na ekonomskom dobitku
bilo na ekonomskom dobitku
05:59
from solving climate change.
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od rješavanja klimatskih promjena.
06:01
And that --
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I to --
06:02
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
06:04
is revolutionary,
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je revolucionarno,
06:05
and could fundamentally
alter climate politics.
alter climate politics.
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i moglo bi iz korijena promijeniti
klimatsku politiku.
klimatsku politiku.
06:10
But there's another
revolutionary element here.
revolutionary element here.
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Ali postoji tu još jedan revolucionarni
element.
element.
06:13
The amount of the dividend would grow
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Količina dividendi rasla bi
06:17
as the carbon tax rate increases.
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kako bi rastao porez na ugljik.
06:19
The more we protect our climate,
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Što više štitimo klimu,
06:21
the more our citizens benefit.
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više građana ima dobrobiti.
06:23
This creates a positive feedback loop,
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To stvara pozitivne povratne informacije,
06:25
which is crucial,
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što je ključno,
06:27
because the only way we will reach
our long-term emission-reduction goals
our long-term emission-reduction goals
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jer jedini način da dođemo do naših
dugoročnih ciljeva za smanjenje emisije
dugoročnih ciljeva za smanjenje emisije
06:31
is if the carbon tax rate
goes up every year.
goes up every year.
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je ako visina poreza
raste svake godine.
raste svake godine.
06:34
The third pillar of our program
is eliminating regulations
is eliminating regulations
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Treći stup našeg programa
je eliminiranje propisa
je eliminiranje propisa
06:38
that are no longer needed
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koji više nisu potrebni
06:40
once a carbon dividends plan is enacted.
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kada plan sa ugljičnim dividendama počne
djelovati.
djelovati.
06:43
This is a key selling point
to Republicans and business leaders.
to Republicans and business leaders.
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To je ključna točka u kojoj
pridobivamo Republikance i poslovne vođe.
pridobivamo Republikance i poslovne vođe.
06:51
So why should we trade
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Zašto bismo mijenjali
06:53
climate regulations for a price on carbon?
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klimatske odrednice za cijenu na ugljiku?
06:55
Well, let me show you.
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Pa, dozvolite da vam pokažem.
06:58
Our plan would achieve nearly twice
the emissions reductions
the emissions reductions
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Cilj nam je postići gotovo dvostruko
smanjenje emisija
smanjenje emisija
07:02
of all Obama-era climate
regulations combined,
regulations combined,
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u odnosu na sve Obamine odredbe
zajedno,
zajedno,
07:06
and nearly three times the new baseline
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i tri puta više od nove osnove
07:10
after President Trump repeals
all of those regulations.
all of those regulations.
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nakon što predsjednik Trump
povuče sve te odredbe.
povuče sve te odredbe.
07:14
That assumes a carbon tax
starting at 40 dollars per ton,
starting at 40 dollars per ton,
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To podrazumijeva porez na ugljik
od 40 dolara po toni,
od 40 dolara po toni,
07:18
which translates into roughly
an extra 36 cents per gallon of gas.
an extra 36 cents per gallon of gas.
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odnosno 36 centa po galonu goriva.
07:24
Our plan by itself
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Naš plan sam po sebi
07:26
would meet the high end
of America's commitment
of America's commitment
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bi dosegao američke obveze
07:30
under the Paris Climate Agreement,
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po Pariškom klimatskom ugovoru,
07:32
and as you can see,
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i kao što možete vidjeti
07:34
the emissions reductions
would continue over time.
would continue over time.
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smanjenje emisija nastavilo bi se
kroz vrijeme.
kroz vrijeme.
07:37
This illustrates the power
of a conservative climate solution
of a conservative climate solution
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Ovo ilustrira moć konzervativnog
rješenja za klimatske probleme
rješenja za klimatske probleme
07:43
based on free markets
and limited government.
and limited government.
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temeljene na slobodnom tržištu
i limitiranom upravljanju.
i limitiranom upravljanju.
07:46
We would end up with less regulation
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Završili bi sa manje propisa
07:49
and far less pollution at the same time,
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i puno manje zagađenja u isto vrijeme,
07:52
while helping working-class
Americans get ahead.
Americans get ahead.
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dok bi pomagali američkoj
radničkoj klasi da napreduje.
radničkoj klasi da napreduje.
07:56
Doesn't that sound like something
we could all support?
we could all support?
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Ne zvuči li ovo kao nešto
što bi svi mogli poduprijeti?
što bi svi mogli poduprijeti?
07:59
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
08:05
The fourth and final pillar of our program
is a new climate domino effect,
is a new climate domino effect,
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Četvrti i posljednji stup
našeg programa je domino efekt nove klime
našeg programa je domino efekt nove klime
08:10
based on border carbon adjustments.
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temeljen na graničnom prilagođavanju ugljika.
08:13
Now that may sound complicated,
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Sad, to možda zvuči komplicirano,
08:15
but it, too, is revolutionary,
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ali i to je revolucionarno,
08:17
because it provides us
a whole new strategy
a whole new strategy
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jer nam daje čitavu novu strategiju
08:20
to reach a global price on carbon,
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da dosegnemo globalnu cijenu ugljika,
08:22
which is ultimately what we need.
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što je ono što nam na kraju treba.
08:24
Let me show you an example.
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Dopustite da vam pokažem primjer.
08:26
Suppose Country A adopts
a carbon dividends plan,
a carbon dividends plan,
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Pretpostavimo da zemlja A
prihvati plan ugljičnih dividendi,
prihvati plan ugljičnih dividendi,
08:29
and Country B does not.
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i zemlja B to ne učini.
08:31
Well, to level the playing field
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Da bismo izjednačili teren
08:33
and protect the competitiveness
of its industries,
of its industries,
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i zaštitili konkurentnost svoje industrije
08:37
Country A would tax imports from Country B
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zemlja A oporezuje uvoz zemlje B
08:41
based on their carbon content.
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ovisno o sastavu ugljika.
08:42
Fair enough.
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Pošteno.
08:44
But here's where it gets
really interesting,
really interesting,
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Ali sada stvari postaju
zanimljive,
zanimljive,
08:46
because the money raised at the border
would increase the dividends
would increase the dividends
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jer novac skupljen na granici
povećava dividende
povećava dividende
08:50
going to the citizens of Country A.
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koje idu građanima zemlje A.
08:52
Well, how long do you think it would take
the public in Country B to realize
the public in Country B to realize
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Pa, koliko bi vremena trebalo
javnosti u zemlji B da shvati
javnosti u zemlji B da shvati
08:56
that that money should be going to them,
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da taj novac treba ići njima,
08:58
and to push for a carbon
dividends plan in their own land?
dividends plan in their own land?
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i da bi trebali podržati
ugljične dividende u svojoj zemlji?
ugljične dividende u svojoj zemlji?
09:01
Add a few more countries,
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Dodajte još par zemalja,
09:03
and we get a new climate domino effect.
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i imamo klimatski domino efekt.
09:07
Once one major country or region
adopts carbon dividends
adopts carbon dividends
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Kada jedna velika zemlja ili regija
prihvati ugljične dividende
prihvati ugljične dividende
09:11
with border carbon adjustments,
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sa prilagodbama na granici,
09:13
other countries are compelled
to follow suit.
to follow suit.
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sve ostale zemlje moraju slijediti.
09:15
One by one the dominoes fall.
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Jedna po jedna, domine padaju.
09:18
And this domino effect
could start anywhere.
could start anywhere.
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I ovaj domino efekt može početi
bilo gdje.
bilo gdje.
09:21
My preference, strongly,
is the United States,
is the United States,
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Moja preferencija
su Sjedinjene Američke Države
su Sjedinjene Američke Države
09:24
but it could also start
in the United Kingdom,
in the United Kingdom,
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ali može početi
i u Ujedinjenom Kraljevstvu,
i u Ujedinjenom Kraljevstvu,
09:27
in Germany or another European country,
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Njemačkoj ili bilo kojoj
Europskoj zemlji,
Europskoj zemlji,
09:29
or even in China.
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ili čak u Kini.
09:32
Let's take China as an example.
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Uzmimo Kinu kao primjer.
09:34
China is committed to reducing
greenhouse gas emissions,
greenhouse gas emissions,
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Kina je posvećena smanjenju
emisije stakleničkih plinova,
emisije stakleničkih plinova,
09:38
but what its leaders care even more about
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ali ono za što se njeni vođe
još više brinu
još više brinu
09:40
is transitioning their economy
to consumer-led economic development.
to consumer-led economic development.
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je tranzicija ekonomije
u ekonomski razvoj vođen kupcima.
u ekonomski razvoj vođen kupcima.
09:45
Well, nothing could do more
to hasten that transition
to hasten that transition
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Pa, ništa ne bi moglo ubrzati
tu tranziciju
tu tranziciju
09:48
than giving every Chinese citizen
a monthly dividend.
a monthly dividend.
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nego davanje svakom građaninu Kine
mjesečnu dividendu.
mjesečnu dividendu.
09:52
In fact, this is the only policy solution
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Zapravo, ovo je jedino rješenje
09:55
that would enable China to meet
its environmental and economic goals
its environmental and economic goals
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koje bi omogućilo da Kina dosegne
svoj okolišni i ekonomski cilj
svoj okolišni i ekonomski cilj
09:59
at the same time.
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u isto vrijeme.
10:00
That's why this is the killer app
of climate policy,
of climate policy,
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Zato je ovo super aplikacija
za klimatsku politiku,
za klimatsku politiku,
10:04
because it would enable us to overcome
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jer bi omogućilo da savladamo
10:07
each of the barriers we discussed earlier:
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sve barijere o kojima smo pričali prije,
10:09
the psychological barrier,
the partisan barrier,
the partisan barrier,
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psihološku, stranačku
10:12
and, as we've just seen,
the geopolitical barrier.
the geopolitical barrier.
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i kako smo vidjeli geopolitičku barijeru.
10:16
All we need is a country to lead the way.
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Sve što trebamo
je zemlja koja će nas povesti.
je zemlja koja će nas povesti.
10:20
And one method of finding
what you're looking for
what you're looking for
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I jedna metoda pronalaska
onoga što tražite
onoga što tražite
10:22
is to take out an ad.
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je da date oglas.
10:24
So let's read this one together.
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Pročitajmo ovaj skupa.
10:26
Wanted: country to pioneer
carbon dividends plan.
carbon dividends plan.
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Traži se: zemlja da predvodi
plan za ugljične dividende.
plan za ugljične dividende.
10:30
Cost to country: zero.
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Trošak za zemlju: nula.
10:32
Starting date: as soon as possible.
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Početni datum: što prije.
10:35
Advantages: most effective
climate solution,
climate solution,
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Prednosti: najučinkovitije rješenje
za klimatske promjene,
za klimatske promjene,
10:38
popular and populist,
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popularno i populističko,
10:40
pro-growth and pro-business,
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za rad i razvoj poslovanja,
10:42
shrinks government
and helps the working class.
and helps the working class.
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smanjuje vladu i pomaže
radničkoj klasi.
radničkoj klasi.
10:47
Additional compensation: gratitude
of current and future generations,
of current and future generations,
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Dodatna kompenzacija:
zahvalnost trenutnih i budućih generacija,
zahvalnost trenutnih i budućih generacija,
10:53
including my daughter.
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uključujući moju kćer.
10:56
Thank you.
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Hvala vam.
10:57
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
Chris Anderson: Samo jedno
pitanje za tebe, Ted.
pitanje za tebe, Ted.
Nisam siguran
da sam do sada vidio konzervativca
koji je dobio ovacije na TED-u.
koji je dobio ovacije na TED-u.
To je prilično cool.
Logika se čini snažna,
ali ljudi s kojima pričaš u politici
kažu da je teško zamisliti
da će ovo proći Kongres.
da će ovo proći Kongres.
Kako se osjećaš u vezi zamaha
iza ovoga?
iza ovoga?
Ted Halstead: Razumijem da su
mnogi pesimistični
mnogi pesimistični
vezano uz to što se događa
u SAD-u sa predsjednikom Trumpom.
u SAD-u sa predsjednikom Trumpom.
Ja sam manje pesimističan, evo zašto.
Potezi koje Bijela Kuća vuče,
rani potezi vezani uz klimu,
rani potezi vezani uz klimu,
samo su prvi potez u igri
klimatskog šaha.
klimatskog šaha.
Za sada je to bila samo strategija
opoziva:
opoziva:
pritisak će rasti za zamjenski program,
gdje mi dolazimo na red.
I tu su tri razloga zašto,
kroz koje ću brzo proći.
kroz koje ću brzo proći.
Prvo, poslovnjaci
se razdvajaju od Bijele Kuće
se razdvajaju od Bijele Kuće
po pitanju klimatskih promjena.
Zapravo, utvrdili smo
da puno Fortune 100 tvrtki
podržava naš program.
podržava naš program.
Unutar dva mjeseca,
najavit ćemo
najavit ćemo
zaista iznenađujuća imena
koja podržavaju ovaj program.
koja podržavaju ovaj program.
Dva, ne postoji problem
u Američkoj politici
u Američkoj politici
gdje postoji veći razdor između
Republikanske baze
Republikanske baze
i Republikanskog vodstva
od klimatske promjene.
od klimatske promjene.
I treće, razmišljajući
o ovoj analogiji šaha,
o ovoj analogiji šaha,
velika odluka ispred nas je:
Da li administracija ostaje u Parizu?
Da li administracija ostaje u Parizu?
Pa sagledajmo to s obje strane.
Ako ostane u Parizu,
za što mnogi lobiraju u administraciji,
za što mnogi lobiraju u administraciji,
onda to postavlja pitanje:
Koji je plan?
Koji je plan?
Imamo plan.
Ali ako ne ostanu u Parizu,
međunarodni pritisak postaje prevelik.
Naš Državni tajnik pitat će
druge zemlje za doprinose NATO-u,
druge zemlje za doprinose NATO-u,
i oni će reći,
"Ne, dajte nam našu obvezu iz Pariza.
"Ne, dajte nam našu obvezu iz Pariza.
Ispunite svoje obveze i mi ćemo ispuniti
svoje."
svoje."
Dakle, internacionala, poslovnjaci,
pa čak i Republikanska baza
pa čak i Republikanska baza
tražit će zamjenski plan
za Republikance.
za Republikance.
I nadam se da smo pružili taj plan.
CA: Hvala puno, Ted.
TH: Hvala ti, Chris.
(Pljesak)
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Ted Halstead - Policy entrepreneur, climate expert, authorTed Halstead is breathing new life into US and global climate policy by mobilizing conservative leaders and CEOs around a breakthrough carbon dividends solution.
Why you should listen
Ted Halstead is the founder and CEO of the Climate Leadership Council, whose mission is to convene global opinion leaders around the most cost-effective, popular and equitable climate solutions. With offices in Washington and London, the Council will expand to Berlin, Beijing and New Delhi next.
Previously, Halstead founded and led two other successful think tanks. His first, which he launched at 25, introduced new measures of progress and coordinated the Economists’ Statement on Climate Change, signed by 18 Nobel laureate economists. His second, New America, has become one of the most influential think tanks in Washington.
Halstead has published numerous articles in the New York Times, Washington Post, Financial Times, Fortune, The Atlantic, National Review, Bloomberg, Los Angeles Times and Harvard Business Review. He also published two books, including The Radical Center: The Future of American Politics (co-authored with Michael Lind).
From 2008 to 2012, he and his wife sailed around the world on a catamaran, with only their dog as crew. Halstead graduated Phi Beta Kappa from Dartmouth College, and received his Master's degree from Harvard's Kennedy School of Government, where he was a Montgomery Fellow. He was selected as a Young Global Leader by the World Economic Forum.
Ted Halstead | Speaker | TED.com