Kevin Kelly: How AI can bring on a second Industrial Revolution
เควิน เคลลี่: ปัญญาประดิษฐ์จะทำให้เกิดการปฏิวัติอุตสาหกรรมครั้งที่สองอย่างไร
There may be no one better to contemplate the meaning of cultural change than Kevin Kelly, whose life story reads like a treatise on the value and impacts of technology. Full bio
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about where technology's going.
a large aspect of technology
of all sorts have leanings,
from the very nature of the physics,
and switches and electrons,
patterns again and again.
these tendencies, these leanings.
as sort of like gravity.
as it goes down the valley
is very inevitable:
tendencies and urgencies
are going at the large form.
ในภาพใหญ่
were inevitable,
tendencies right now,
smarter and smarter.
intelligence, or AI.
of the most influential developments
in our society in the next 20 years.
better than a human doctor.
through legal evidence
that you came here with.
seven to eight minutes,
making those recommendations.
in a more front-facing aspect of it,
ที่อยู่เบื้องหน้ามากขึ้น
the world's greatest Go champion.
you're playing against an AI.
was already done,
a video game is another step.
this artificial smartness
to this general trend
AI a lot better
help us embrace AI,
ให้เรายอมรับ AI
that we actually can steer it.
ที่จะสามารถควบคุมทิศทางมันได้
โดยยอมรับเทรนด์ภาพใหญ่
by embracing the larger trend.
those three different aspects.
ยังเข้าใจน้อยมาก
has a very poor understanding
as a single dimension,
that gets louder and louder.
low IQ in a rat or mouse,
in a stupid person,
person like myself,
is getting greater and greater.
not what human intelligence is, anyway.
of different notes,
on a different instrument of cognition.
ของการรับรู้สารที่ต่างกัน
of intelligences in our own minds.
that are all grouped together,
with different people.
they also have another basket --
kinds of intelligences,
are the same that we have.
but they may have a different arrangement,
แต่มีการจัดเรียงที่แตกต่างออกไป
in some cases than humans,
is actually phenomenal,
where it buried its nuts.
them in the same way,
of smartness much greater than ours,
anywhere near ours,
ไม่ใกล้เคียงมนุษย์เลย
of artificial cognition to our AIs.
very, very specific.
than you are in arithmetic already;
than you are in spatial navigation;
than you are in long-term memory.
these kinds of different types of thinking
in a car so the car drives,
it left the stove on,
majored in finance.
come to advertise these
types of thinking as we can.
ให้มากที่สุดเท่าที่ทำได้
or species, of thinking.
in business and science
may not be able to solve them alone.
these really large problems,
is making alien intelligences.
as, sort of, artificial aliens
us think different,
is the engine of creation
เครื่องจักรของการสร้างสรรค์
is that we are going to use AI
Industrial Revolution.
was based on the fact
I would call artificial power.
had to be made with human muscle
to get anything done.
the Industrial Revolution was,
that we could use
commanding 250 horses --
to build cities, to build roads,
lines of chairs or refrigerators
be distributed on wires on a grid
บนระบบไฟฟ้า
that artificial power,
of innovation as well,
a manual hand pump,
power, this electricity,
or tens of thousands of times,
the Industrial Revolution.
การปฏิวัติอุตสาหกรรม
all this progress that we now enjoy,
ทุกความก้าวหน้าที่เราเพลิดเพลินกับมัน
that we've done that.
เราทำมันขึ้นมา
the same thing now with AI.
Industrial Revolution.
but in addition, it's 250 minds.
แต่นอกจากนั้น จะต้องใช้ 250 ความคิด
across the grid -- the cloud --
for the next 10,000 start-ups
that's what we're going to be doing.
นั่นคือสิ่งที่เรากำลังจะทำ
in which we're going to make
ที่เรากำลังจะทำให้เกิด
AI for six cents, 100 hits.
and embody it,
of the tasks that we have already done.
some of those tasks.
whole new categories,
งานประเภทใหม่นี้
we wanted to do before.
engender new kinds of jobs,
a whole bunch of new things
สิ่งใหม่ทั้งกระบิมาแล้ว
even more jobs than they take away,
that we're going to give them
in terms of efficiency or productivity.
ประสิทธิภาพและผลิตภาพได้
of efficiency or productivity,
is basically wasting time.
that are inefficient.
one failure after another.
ครั้งแล้วครั้งเล่า
and experiments that don't work,
และการทดลองต่างๆที่ใช้ไม่ได้
a lot of efficiency in it.
that doesn't work.
we're going to gravitate to,
ทำงานร่วมกับ AI เหล่านี้
that we're going to work with these AIs
the world's best chess champion,
the best chess champion in the world
is not a doctor, it's not an AI,
is that they're different,
we work with rather than against.
แทนที่จะต่อต้าน
rather than against them.
they'll look back
เมื่อพวกมันมองย้อนมา
of AI and say,
และพูดว่า
you didn't even have the Internet yet,
ที่จริง คุณยังไม่มี Internet ด้วยซ้ำ
to have 25 years from now."
being spent on it;
to what we'll know 20 years from now.
เมื่อเทียบกับสิ่งที่จะมีในอีก 20 ปีข้างหน้า
of the beginning,
ของจุดเริ่มต้น
in 20 years from now,
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Kevin Kelly - Digital visionaryThere may be no one better to contemplate the meaning of cultural change than Kevin Kelly, whose life story reads like a treatise on the value and impacts of technology.
Why you should listen
Kelly has been publisher of the Whole Earth Review, executive editor at Wired magazine (which he co-founded, and where he now holds the title of Senior Maverick), founder of visionary nonprofits and writer on biology, business and “cool tools.” He’s renounced all material things save his bicycle (which he then rode 3,000 miles), founded an organization (the All-Species Foundation) to catalog all life on Earth, championed projects that look 10,000 years into the future (at the Long Now Foundation), and more. He’s admired for his acute perspectives on technology and its relevance to history, biology and society. His new book, The Inevitable, just published, explores 12 technological forces that will shape our future.
Kevin Kelly | Speaker | TED.com