Ian Bremmer: How the US should use its superpower status
Ian Bremmer - Political theorist
Ian Bremmer is the president and founder of Eurasia Group, a political risk research and consulting firm. Full bio
you always think about technology,
becoming more innovative.
about driverless cars these days,
of a driverless car,
and the brake, just in case.
but I am not ready for a driverless bus.
for the last several generations
the World Trade Organization
our money, our standards.
if you want to look at how the US looks,
it feels pretty comfortable.
saw the China trip last week
of the world's leaders in China.
was actually spewing expletives
and everybody else.
about to get into a cage match, right?
and they talked about Syria.
are telling him what to do.
are getting together?
are pulling their weight.
Turkish president Erdogan what to do,
what's going on over there?
it's not a G20,
no single country or alliance
of global leadership.
and capital are moving across borders
with the rest of this talk.
about the implications of that
Why are we here?
on wars in Iraq and Afghanistan
of middle and working classes
from promises of globalization,
or the Middle East the way we used to.
in the United States.
to be the global sheriff for security
the cheerleader of global values.
alliance in the world
at any point since World War II,
the Brexit conversations,
between the French and the Russians,
or the Brits and the Chinese.
has had stability such as it is. Right?
a willingness to provide
by the US and allies.
a lot of cheap money out of the ground
the populations were relatively quiescent.
and many didn't have the will
are increasingly not true,
and Iraq, Israel, Iran over time.
it's not a good look.
he's hitting above his weight.
expanding NATO right up to their borders
put hundreds of billions of dollars
they thought they had influence in.
The Russians are picking up the crumbs.
a very tense 10 years for Mr. Putin.
about to get a third term written in
who is consolidating enormous power,
most important economies in Asia.
over the South China Sea.
just in the last couple of days,
do not feel the need
and cross-border tensions.
economic stability and growth.
in this environment.
in the Middle East
onto European shores.
the concerns of populism
will be seen to have gone too far.
went right down to the Middle East,
more flat and more Americanized,
those countries nearest Russia
and systems than core Europe.
Europe will get smaller.
and France and others
stable, wealthy, integrated.
and Turkey and others,
to the United States for decades.
when Maduro falls.
after the impeachment
a new legitimate president elected there.
that is moving in another direction
of Mexican president Peña Nieto.
a slip away from the United States
on that one, too.
it's going to be Africa's decade, finally.
it is absolutely an amazing time
with a lot of urbanization,
women really getting into the workforce,
and also Christianity,
lots of forced migration.
an extreme segregation going on
and the losers across Africa.
we should be upset.
because they say, "Washington's broken,
we hate the media."
are taking it on the chin.
chased by the bear,
you need not outrun the bear,
your fellow campers.
Let's go New York real estate.
to American universities."
and two big bodies of water.
would love to have neighbors like that?
in the United States.
in Europe than the US.
in the Middle East
and we're complaining bitterly about it.
Because they can't swim here.
to have only 10,000 Syrian refugees.
the Germans, the Brits. Right?
the global cop anymore,
the architect of global trade,
the cheerleader of global values,
the way we used to,
be so compelling
are going to still say,
this is a good place to be.
is not proving a good option
it's going to be like the '90s.
that cheerleader on values.
the architect of global trade.
to bring us back to the '30s.
You don't like it, lump it." Right?
a fundamental truth of the G-Zero,
the US is not in decline,
another crisis that forces us to respond.
crisis could do this.
the inequality, the challenges
in the United States,
to compel them to change.
neither of those things,
About the speaker:Ian Bremmer - Political theorist
Ian Bremmer is the president and founder of Eurasia Group, a political risk research and consulting firm.
Why you should listen
Dubbed a "rising guru" in the field of political risk by The Economist, Ian Bremmer teaches classes on the discipline as global research professor at New York University and is a foreign affairs columnist and editor at large for Time magazine. His latest book, Superpower: Three Choices for America’s Role in the World, was published in May 2015.
Bremmer is credited with bringing the craft of political risk to financial markets. He created Wall Street's first global political risk index (GPRI), and he established political risk as an academic discipline. His definition of emerging markets -- "those countries where politics matter at least as much as economics for market outcomes" -- has become an industry standard. "G-Zero," his term for a global power vacuum in which no country is willing and able to set the international agenda, is widely accepted by policymakers and thought leaders.
Bremmer has published nine books including the national bestsellers Every Nation for Itself: Winners and Losers in a G-Zero World and The End of the Free Market: Who Wins the War Between States and Corporations? He is a regular columnist for the Financial Times and has written hundreds of articles for many leading publications. He appears regularly on CNBC, Fox, Bloomberg, CNN, the BBC and other networks.
Bremmer earned a PhD in political science from Stanford University in 1994 and was the youngest-ever national fellow at the Hoover Institution. In 2007, Bremmer was named a Young Global Leader of the World Economic Forum, where he is the founding chairman of the Global Agenda Council on Geopolitical Risk. He is the Harold J. Newman Distinguished Fellow in Geopolitics at the Asia Society Policy Institute and serves on the President's Council of the Near East Foundation, the Leadership Council for Concordia and the Board of Trustees of Intelligence Squared.
Bremmer grew up in Boston and currently lives in New York and Washington.
Ian Bremmer | Speaker | TED.com