Tom Griffiths: 3 ways to make better decisions -- by thinking like a computer
汤姆 · 格里菲斯: 帮助你优化决策的3个方法——像电脑一样思考
Tom Griffiths uses ideas from computer science to understand how human minds work. Full bio
Double-click the English transcript below to play the video.
a place to buy or rent,
to find a home here recently,
about what's out there
of the very best place passing you by.
to switch from looking
that it has a simple solution.
that you find the very best place,
of what's on the market,
on the next place you see,
that you've seen so far.
take 37 percent of that time --
寻找,拿出37%的时间——
trying to find a place to live
stopping problem.
studied extensively
to our dismal failures.
the computational structure
that arise in everyday life,
solutions to those problems
a little bit of computer science
as an overly cerebral kid ...
that I thought was rational,
the very best action to take.
that doesn't scale up
the sorts of problems
to break up with my girlfriend
她的喜好和我的喜好中
her preferences as well as my own
the wrong approach
what restaurant to go to
who to spend the rest of your life with,
with computational problems
by applying sheer effort.
the first people you think to talk to.
exhaustive and exact --
of human decisions
we've got this backwards.
of difficult problems
actually solve those problems
that people really act.
what restaurant to go to.
a particular computational structure.
one of those options,
exactly the same decision tomorrow.
what computer scientists call
to try something new --
to use in the future --
地方之间做出选择——
that you already know is pretty good --
that you've already gathered so far.
shows up any time you have to choose
that you already know is pretty good,
who you're going to spend time with.
that technology companies face
网页上展示什么广告时。
like decide what ad to show on a web page.
and learn something about it,
chance you're going to click on?
a lot of progress understanding
一些让人惊讶的洞察。
some surprising insights.
what restaurant to go to,
you're going to be in town.
for a short time,
you already know is good.
那就花点时间“探索”。
for a longer time, explore.
because the information you get
your choices in the future.
you're going to have to use it.
of a human life as well.
for being particularly rational.
in their mouths.
what they should be doing.
phase of their lives,
could turn out to be delicious.
to the same restaurant
that he's earned
the explore/exploit trade-off
to sort of relax and go easier on yourself
to the best restaurant every night.
than one pretty good dinner.
to make it easier on us
在家和工作场所的其他地方
to tidy up your wardrobe,
agonizing decision:
you're going to keep
to have thought very hard about this --
非常认真地思考过这个问题——
of something that I already own?
I wore it or used it?"
even harder about this problem,
比其他问题更重要。
is more important than the others.
the memory systems of computers.
two kinds of memory systems:
that has limited capacity,
which is much larger.
as efficiently as possible,
you want to access
a piece of information,
需要从那个存储中移除,
it has to remove from that memory,
a few different strategies
from the fast memory.
something at random
the "first-in, first-out principle,"
for the longest.
which have been least recently used.
to remove something from memory,
last accessed the furthest in the past.
kind of logic to this.
是在很久以前了,
accessed that piece of information,
to access it again.
the computer's memory.
the things that you're most likely to need
as quickly as possible.
the least recently used principle
to Martha's four questions,
would say that of these,
likely to need are most accessible
that has exactly this property.
from the left-hand side.
to the left-hand side of the box.
a document, he'd take it out,
on the left-hand side.
ordered from left to right
what he was looking for
side of the box
and implement this filing system --
that you probably already have.
as messy and disorganized,
已经经过了完美的整理——
perfectly organized --
to be ordered from top to bottom
what you're looking for
problems in your life.
are simply very, very hard.
what makes the most sense
into simpler problems --
or by allowing approximations.
into the harder problems,
pretty good solutions in their own right.
to relax when I have to make decisions.
我们在做决定时倍感轻松。
for finding a home as an example.
consider all of the options,
the optimal strategy,
the very best place is --
can help to make us more forgiving
just processes.
the best process,
involve taking a chance --
for a pretty good solution.
that we make when we can't be rational --
理性思考时做的让步——
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Tom Griffiths - Psychologist, cognitive scientistTom Griffiths uses ideas from computer science to understand how human minds work.
Why you should listen
Tom Griffiths's research explores connections between natural and artificial intelligence to discover how people solve the challenging computational problems they encounter in everyday life. Currently the Henry R. Luce Professor of Information Technology, Consciousness, and Culture at Princeton University, his work has received awards from organizations ranging from the American Psychological Association to the Sloan Foundation.
In 2016, Griffiths and his friend and collaborator Brian Christian published Algorithms to Live By, a book that illustrates how understanding the algorithms used by computers can inform human decision-making (and vice versa). The book was named one of the Amazon.com "Best Science Books of 2016" and appeared on Forbes's "Must-read brain books of 2016" list as well as the MIT Technology Review's "Best books of 2016" list.
Tom Griffiths | Speaker | TED.com