Hannah Fry: The mathematics of love
Hannah Fry: Matematika Cinta
Hannah Fry researches the trends in our civilization and ways we can forecast its future. Full bio
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about the mathematics of love.
matematika cinta.
are famously excellent at finding love.
pintar menemukan cinta.
because of our dashing personalities,
kepribadian yang mengagumkan,
and excellent pencil cases.
dan kotak pensil yang bagus.
an awful lot of work into the maths
kerjakan banyak perihal matematika
menemukan pasangan yang tepat.
on the subject, which is entitled,
masalah itu, yang berjudul,
(Laughter) --
his chances of finding love.
kemungkinan dirinya mendapatkan cinta.
yang ada di Inggris,
is somebody who lives near him,
yang tinggal dekat dengannya,
to find him attractive.
tertarik kepadanya.
26 perempuan di seluruh Inggris.
of 26 women in the whole of the UK.
is it Peter?
than the best estimates
dibandingkan perkiraan terbaik
extraterrestrial life forms there are.
kehidupan yang ada di luar angkasa.
1 dari 285.000 kesempatan
a 1 in 285,000 chance
of these special ladies
salah satu perempuan itu
that's why mathematicians
ahli matematika
bergaul lagi.
going on nights out anymore.
to such a pessimistic view.
yang begitu pesimis.
just as well as all of you do,
sama seperti anda ,
and rational and easily predictable.
dan mudah ditebak.
that it can offer us
yang dapat ditawarkan,
penuh dengan pola
is full of patterns
all about the study of patterns.
sebuah ilmu pengkajian pola.
to the fluctuations in the stock market,
sampai fluktuasi pasar saham,
or the growth of cities.
atau pertumbuhan kota
none of those things
dari semua hal tersebut
atau mudah diprediksi.
and easily predictable, either.
begitu kuat hingga memiliki potensi
is so powerful that it has the potential
at almost anything.
atas hampir semua hal
yang rahasia
and relevant mathematics is,
dan relevannya matematika,
mathematically verifiable tips for love.
cinta yang terbukti secara matematis.
pada kencan daring.
adalah OkCupid,
website is OkCupid,
by a group of mathematicians.
sekelompok ahli matematika.
for almost a decade.
situs mereka selama 10 tahun
to search for patterns
mencari serangkaian pola
menceritakan diri sendiri
interact with each other
yang sangat menarik.
seriously interesting findings.
that on an online dating website,
pada situs kencan daring,
does not dictate how popular you are,
tidak menentukan popularitas anda,
bahwa anda tidak menarik
think that you're ugly
section of OkCupid,
situs OkCupid, untungnya,
how attractive you think people are
orang menurut anda
the average score,
skor rata-rata,
yang diterima sejumlah pilihan orang,
selection of people receive,
popularitas di situs kencan daring.
on an online dating website.
have come up with.
oleh tim OkCupid.
is that it's not totally true
yaitu tidaklah benar
the more messages you get.
semakin banyak pesan yang diterima.
of what is it about people up here
mengapa orang-orang di atas ini
than people down here,
orang-orang dibawah ini,
same score of attractiveness?
skor daya tarik yang sama?
straightforward looks that are important.
penampilan luar yang penting.
findings with an example.
dengan sebuah contoh.
Portia de Rossi, for example,
seperti Portia de Rossi,
is a very beautiful woman.
Portia de Rossi adalah wanita cantik.
but she's not a supermodel, either.
seorang supermodel.
to someone like Sarah Jessica Parker,
dengan Sarah Jessica Parker,
myself included, I should say,
is seriously fabulous
betul-betul menakjubkan
most beautiful creatures
makhluk paling cantik
on the face of the Earth.
di muka bumi ini.
i.e., most of the Internet,
kebanyakan dari internet,
a bit like a horse. (Laughter)
dia terlihat sedikit seperti kuda.
how attractive they thought
orang-orang seberapa menariknya
or Portia de Rossi were,
atau Portia de Rossi,
them a score between 1 and 5,
memberi nilai dari 1 sampai 5,
to have roughly the same score.
hasil rata-ratanya hampir sama.
would be very different.
akan sangat berbeda.
all be clustered around the 4
akan berkisar antara 4
bahwa dia sangat cantik,
that she's very beautiful,
completely divides opinion.
menuai opini yang berbeda.
yang diperhitungkan.
that makes you more popular
membuat anda lebih populer
think that you're attractive,
menganggap anda menarik,
think that you're a massive minger.
yang menganggap anda buruk rupa.
than everybody just thinking
semua orang berpikir
anak tetangga.
makes a bit more sense
sedikit masuk akal
orang-orang yang mengirimkan pesan.
who are sending these messages.
seseorang menarik,
somebody's attractive,
won't necessarily be that interested.
mungkin tidak beranggapan sama.
less competition for you
akan lebih sedikit
for you to get in touch.
peluang saling mengenal.
to if you think somebody is attractive
berpikir seseorang menarik
is going to think they're attractive.
semua orang beranggapan yang sama.
mempermalukan diri-sendiri, ayo jujur?
humiliating yourself, let's be honest?
interesting part comes.
sangat menarik.
that they use on an online dating website,
yang akan mereka pasang di situs tersebut,
untuk meminimalisir sesuatu
will find unattractive.
membuat orang lain tidak tertarik.
who are, perhaps, a little bit overweight
orang yang, mungkin, sedikit gemuk
dengan bagian tertentu yang dipotong,
a very cropped photo,
where they're wearing hats.
dimana mereka memakai topi.
of what you should do
yang harus anda lakukan
whatever it is that makes you different,
sesuatu yang membuat anda berbeda,
will find it unattractive.
menganggap hal itu tidak menarik.
are just going to fancy you anyway,
akan menyukai anda apa adanya,
well, they only play up to your advantage.
mereka malah menguntungkan anda
Memilih pasangan sempurna.
How to pick the perfect partner.
that you're a roaring success
anda benar-benar berhasil
of how do you then convert that success
adalah bagaimana mengubah keberhasilan
and in particular,
berjangka panjang dan khususnya,
when is the right time to settle down?
waktu yang tepat untuk berumah tangga?
it's not advisable to just cash in
untuk mengambil keputusan
who comes along
yang anda kenal
ketertarikannya pada anda.
want to leave it too long
tidak ingin menunggu terlalu lama
chance of long-term happiness.
peluang kebahagiaan jangka panjang.
Jane Austen, puts it,
penulis favorit saya, Jane Austen,
tujuh dan dua puluh
inspire affection again."
untuk merasakan dan mengobarkan
What do you know about love?
Apa yang kau tahu tentang cinta?
is the right time to settle down
yang tepat untuk berumah tangga
that you can date in your lifetime?
yang anda dapat kencani semasa hidup?
of mathematics that we can use
yang dapat kita gunakan
optimal stopping theory.
"Optimal Stopping Theory"
pada umur 15 tahun
by the time that you're 35.
menikah ketika berusia 35 tahun.
date across your lifetime,
anda kencani semasa hidup,
yang berbeda pula.
levels of goodness.
ketika anda putuskan untuk menikah,
you cash in and get married,
what you could have had,
apa yang bisa didapatkan
and change your mind.
dan berubah pikiran.
much like being recalled
diingat-ingat kembali
for somebody else, or that's just me.
bersama orang lain, atau itu saya saja.
that what you should do
yang harus anda lakukan
of your dating window,
dalam periode kencan anda,
as serious marriage potential.
sebagai calon pasangan menikah.
next person that comes along
orang berikutnya
that you've seen before.
yang pernah anda temui.
mathematically proven, in fact,
ini dapat dibuktikan secara matematis,
of finding the perfect partner.
mendapatkan pasangan yang tepat.
this method does come with some risks.
bahwa metode ini memiliki resiko.
your perfect partner appeared
pasangan sempurna anda muncul
you'd have to reject them.
anda mungkin harus menolaknya.
you've seen before,
yang anda pernah temui,
rejecting everyone and die alone.
orang-orang dan mati kesepian.
yang mengerikiti tubuh anda.
nibbling at your remains.
let's imagine, instead,
mari coba bayangkan,
in your first 37 percent
pada 37 persen pertama, sebaliknya
boring, terrible people.
membosankan dan mengerikan.
you're in your rejection phase,
berada pada tahap penolakan,
you can reject them.
anda dapat menolaknya.
person to come along
orang berikutnya yang datang
dull and terrible
yang anda pernah temui.
I'm afraid you have to marry them
ada harus menikahi mereka
which is, frankly, suboptimal.
yang, sejujurnya, kurang optimal.
an opportunity here
ada kesempatan disini
and really cater for this market.
keuntungan dan melayani pasaran ini.
(Laughter)
are marginally less terrible
tidak lebih buruk
of people I dated."
orang-orang yang aku kencani."
than I normally manage.
lebih romantis dari yang biasa saya buat.
you a 100 percent success rate,
jaminan sukses 100 persen,
strategy that can do any better.
yang jauh lebih baik dari ini.
there are certain types
ada beberapa jenis ikan
employ this exact strategy.
strategi yang sama.
suitor that turns up
setiap pelamar yang datang
of the mating season,
dari musim kawin,
selanjutnya yang datang setelah itu
that comes along after that window
that they've seen before.
datang sebelumnya.
humans, we do sort of do this anyway.
manusia melakukan ini
to play the field,
sedikit waktu untuk bermain-main,
or whatever when we're young.
atau apapun saat masih muda.
at potential marriage candidates
kandidat potensial untuk menikah
20an hingga akhir
if ever it were needed,
jika memang diperlukan,
to be just a little bit mathematical.
untuk sedikit bermatematika.
Bagaimana mencegah perceraian.
that you picked your perfect partner
telah memilih pasangan yang tepat
a lifelong relationship with them.
hubungan seumur hidup dengannya.
would ideally like to avoid divorce,
ingin menghindari perceraian,
Piers Morgan's wife, maybe?
istri dari Piers Morgan mungkin?
kehidupan modern
States ends in divorce,
di AS berujung pada perceraian,
not being far behind.
yang tidak jauh berbeda
dapat dimaafkan
that precede a marital breakup
yang mengawali perpisahan perkawinan
for mathematical investigation.
untuk dijadikan penelitian matematika.
or what you should be quantifying.
John Gottman, who did exactly that.
psikologis, John Gottman
having a conversation
ratusan pasangan
everything you can think of.
apapun yang dapat dibayangkan
in the conversation,
seluruh perbincangan tersebut
tekanan darah mereka,
or not the wife was actually always right,
apakah istri selalu benar atau tidak,
most important predictors
is going to get divorced
partner was being in the conversation.
setiap pasangan di perbincangan itu
on Gottman's scale than negative.
dari negatif pada skala Gottman.
going to get divorced,
akan bercerai,
into a spiral of negativity.
ide yang sederhana ini,
was going to get divorced
akan bercerai
with a mathematician, James Murray,
and how they occur.
dan bagaimana terjadinya
dan menarik.
impressively simple and interesting.
the wife or husband is going to respond
bagaimana istri dan suami memberi respon
they're going to be.
jawaban mereka.
when they're on their own,
bersama pasangannya,
they're with their partner,
hal ini bergantung pada
saling berpengaruh.
influence one another.
menunjukkan di tahap ini,
to point out at this stage,
dengan sempurna
have also been shown
countries in an arms race.
dalam perlombaan senjata.
berkutat pada hal negatif
spiraling into negativity
pada jurang perceraian
the beginning of a nuclear war.
setara dengan awal mula perang nuklir.
in this equation
dalam rumus ini adalah
have on one another,
ambang batas negatif.
the negativity threshold.
menjengkelkannya seorang suami
how annoying the husband can be
really pissed off, and vice versa.
were about compromise and understanding
pernikahan yang bahagia
untuk menjadi diri sendiri.
have the space to be themselves.
mungkin hubungan yang sukses
the most successful relationships
ambang batas negatif sangat tinggi.
a really high negativity threshold.
masalah besar.
they really were a big deal.
penemuan berikut dari para tim
and subsequent findings by the team
yang sebaliknya.
pasangan paling sukses
or the most successful couples,
negativity threshold.
yang sangat rendah.
permasalahan kecil luput dari mata
let anything go unnoticed
saling menyampaikan keluhan.
some room to complain.
mencoba memperbaiki hubungan,
trying to repair their own relationship,
outlook on their marriage.
dalam pernikahan mereka.
membiarkan begitu saja masalah
end up being a really big deal.
soal sepele menjadi besar.
just a low negativity threshold
sekedar rendahnya ambang batas negatif
memperjuangkan hubungan yang sukses.
have a successful relationship.
bukti matematis
mathematical evidence
kemarahan sampai matahari tebenam.
let the sun go down on your anger.
with love and relationships.
membantu cinta dan hubungan anda.
that aside from their use as tips,
selain kegunaannya sebagai tips,
kekuatan matematika.
into the power of mathematics.
dan simbol bukanlah hal sepele.
and symbols aren't just a thing.
about the incredible richness of nature
mewakilkan kekayaan alam yang luar biasa
yang menakjubkan
and warp and evolve all around us,
melengkung dan berkembang disekitar kita,
sampai bagaimana kita berprilaku.
for just a couple of you,
beberapa dari anda,
mengenai matematika cinta
the mathematics of love
a little bit more love for mathematics.
untuk sedikit menyukai matematika.
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Hannah Fry - Complexity theoristHannah Fry researches the trends in our civilization and ways we can forecast its future.
Why you should listen
Hannah Fry completed her PhD in fluid dynamics in early 2011 with an emphasis on how liquid droplets move. Then, after working as an aerodynamicist in the motorsport industry, she began work on an interdisciplinary project in complexity sciences at University College London. Hannah’s current research focusses on discovering new connections between mathematically described systems and human interaction at the largest scale.
Hannah Fry | Speaker | TED.com