Bill Gates: The next outbreak? We're not ready
Bill Gates: Kitas protrūkis? Mes nepasiruošę
A passionate techie and a shrewd businessman, Bill Gates changed the world while leading Microsoft to dizzying success. Now he's doing it again with his own style of philanthropy and passion for innovation. Full bio
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was a nuclear war.
down in our basement,
savo rūsyje,
hunker down, and eat out of that barrel.
ir maitintis iš tos statinės.
of global catastrophe
katastrofos rizika
in the next few decades,
žmonių artimiausiais dešimtmečiais,
a highly infectious virus
užkrečiamas virusas,
in nuclear deterrents.
branduolinio karo atgrasymo linijas.
in a system to stop an epidemic.
sistemai sustabdyti epidemiją.
in the newspaper,
laikraščiuose,
through the case analysis tools
atvejo analizės įrankiais,
poliomielito panaikinimą.
that didn't work well enough,
kuri nepakankamai gerai veikė,
didn't have a system at all.
jokios sistemos.
key missing pieces.
dalykų.
ready to go, who would have gone,
pasiruošusios vykti, kuri nuvyktų,
seen how far it had spread.
kaip plačiai ji paplito.
before they were put online
atsidūrė internete
did a great job orchestrating volunteers.
pasidarbavo vadovaudami savanoriams.
than we should have been
nei turėjome
into these countries.
į šias šalis.
to have hundreds of thousands of workers.
šimtų tūkstančių darbuotojų.
to look at treatment approaches.
gydymo metodų.
what tools should be used.
kokie įrankiai turi būti panaudoti.
taken the blood of survivors,
paimti išgyvenusiųjų kraujo,
back in people to protect them.
žmonėms, kad juos apsaugotume.
are really a global failure.
visuotinė nesėkmė.
but not to do these things I talked about.
bet ne dalykus, apie kuriuos kalbėjau.
epidemiologists ready to go,
gražių epidemiologų,
but that's just pure Hollywood.
bet tai tik grynas Holivudas.
could allow the next epidemic
leisti kitai epidemijai
more devastating than Ebola
sukrečiančia, nei Ebola.
of Ebola over this year.
progresiją per šiuos metus.
West African countries.
Vakarų Afrikos šalių.
it didn't spread more.
toliau neplito.
of heroic work by the health workers.
herojiško darbo.
prevented more infections.
tolimesniam užkratui.
that they're bedridden.
prikaustyti prie lovos.
into many urban areas.
miestų vietovių.
more urban areas,
would have been much larger.
gerokai didesni.
feel well enough while they're infectious
jaučiasi pakankamai gerai, kol jie
or they go to a market.
į lėktuvą ar eina į parduotuves.
a natural epidemic like Ebola,
natūraliai epideminis, kaip Ebolos,
make things a thousand times worse.
tūkstančius kartų blogesni.
of a virus spread through the air,
plitimo oru modelį,
very, very quickly.
labai, labai greitai.
died from that epidemic.
mirusių nuo šios epidemijos.
a really good response system.
sukurti gerą reagavimo sistemą.
and technology that we talk about here.
privalumus, apie kuriuos čia kalbame.
and get information out to them.
ir platintume informaciją jai.
where people are and where they're moving.
matome žmonių buvimo ir judėjimo vietą.
the turnaround time to look at a pathogen
apsisukimo laiką patogeno nustatymui
that fit for that pathogen.
tinkamas tam patogenui.
into an overall global health system.
bendrą globalią sveikatos sistemą.
on how to get prepared
kaip būti pasiruošusiems
waiting to go.
pasiruošusius kareivius.
us up to large numbers.
didinti iki didelių skaičių.
that can deploy very rapidly.
kuris gali greitai veikti.
to check, are people well trained?
kad patikrintų žmonių pasiruošimą.
about fuel and logistics
kurą ir logistiką
we need to deal with an epidemic.
epidemijos.
in poor countries.
sveikatos sistemos neturtingose šalyse.
can give birth safely,
the outbreak very early on.
proveržį kuo anksčiau.
the training and background
žinias ir treniruotes,
medical people with the military.
medicinos žmones su kariuomene.
to move fast, do logistics
judėti, valdyti logistiką
so that we see where the holes are.
kad matytume, kur yra spragos.
was done in the United States
buvo Jungtinėse Valstijose
and it didn't go so well.
žmonės – 0.
in areas of vaccines and diagnostics.
plėtros vakcinavime bei diagnostikoje.
like the Adeno-associated virus,
kaip Adenovirusas,
for what this would cost,
kiek tai galėtų kainuoti,
compared to the potential harm.
nedidelis palyginus su potencialia žala.
if we have a worldwide flu epidemic,
turėtume pasaulinę gripo epidemiją,
by over three trillion dollars
daugiau nei 3 trilijonais dolerių,
and millions of deaths.
offer significant benefits
ženklią naudą
pasiruošę epidemijai.
tyrimai ir plėtra –
global health equity
sveikatos nešališkumą
as well as more safe.
ir saugesnį.
be a priority.
visiškas prioritetas.
or go down into the basement.
ar leistis į rūsį.
because time is not on our side.
nes laikas nėra mūsų pusėje.
that can come out of the Ebola epidemic,
turėti vieną pozityvų dalyką,
warning, a wake-up call, to get ready.
įspėjimas, raginimas pasiruošti.
for the next epidemic.
pasiruošę kitai epidemijai.
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Bill Gates - PhilanthropistA passionate techie and a shrewd businessman, Bill Gates changed the world while leading Microsoft to dizzying success. Now he's doing it again with his own style of philanthropy and passion for innovation.
Why you should listen
Bill Gates is the founder and former CEO of Microsoft. A geek icon, tech visionary and business trailblazer, Gates' leadership -- fueled by his long-held dream that millions might realize their potential through great software -- made Microsoft a personal computing powerhouse and a trendsetter in the Internet dawn. Whether you're a suit, chef, quant, artist, media maven, nurse or gamer, you've probably used a Microsoft product today.
In summer of 2008, Gates left his day-to-day role with Microsoft to focus on philanthropy. Holding that all lives have equal value (no matter where they're being lived), the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation has now donated staggering sums to HIV/AIDS programs, libraries, agriculture research and disaster relief -- and offered vital guidance and creative funding to programs in global health and education. Gates believes his tech-centric strategy for giving will prove the killer app of planet Earth's next big upgrade.
Read a collection of Bill and Melinda Gates' annual letters, where they take stock of the Gates Foundation and the world. And follow his ongoing thinking on his personal website, The Gates Notes. His new paper, "The Next Epidemic," is published by the New England Journal of Medicine.
Bill Gates | Speaker | TED.com