TED2008
Al Gore: New thinking on the climate crisis
Al Gore: Nova razmišljanja o klimatskoj krizi
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U ovoj novoj prezentaciji (koja na TED.com ima premijeru), Al Gore dokazuje kako je brzina klimatskih promjena i veća nego što su znanstvenici nedavno predviđali. Poziva nas na djelovanje.
Al Gore - Climate advocate
Nobel Laureate Al Gore focused the world’s attention on the global climate crisis. Now he’s showing us how we’re moving towards real solutions. Full bio
Nobel Laureate Al Gore focused the world’s attention on the global climate crisis. Now he’s showing us how we’re moving towards real solutions. Full bio
Double-click the English transcript below to play the video.
00:18
I have given the slide show that I gave here two years ago about 2,000 times.
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Prezentaciju koju sam ovdje održao prije dvije godine prikazao sam oko 2.000 puta.
00:25
I'm giving a short slide show this morning
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Jutros ću vam pokazati kratku prezentaciju
00:30
that I'm giving for the very first time, so --
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koji prikazujem po prvi puta... naime...
00:33
well it's -- I don't want or need to raise the bar,
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ja ne želim i ne trebam podignuti pokazatelje,
00:38
I'm actually trying to lower the bar.
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ja zapravo pokušavam sniziti pokazatelje.
00:39
Because I've cobbled this together
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Ovo sam posložio kako bih
00:44
to try to meet the challenge of this session.
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pokušao udovoljiti izazovu ove teme.
00:49
And I was reminded by Karen Armstrong's fantastic presentation
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A sjajna prezentacija Karen Armstrong podsjetila me
00:54
that religion really properly understood
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da se kod ispravnog razumijevanja religije
01:00
is not about belief, but about behavior.
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ne radi o vjerovanju, već o ponašanju.
01:03
Perhaps we should say the same thing about optimism.
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Možda bi to isto trebalo reći za optimizam.
01:07
How dare we be optimistic?
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Kako se usuđujemo biti optimistični?
01:11
Optimism is sometimes characterized as a belief, an intellectual posture.
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Za optimizam ponekad kažemo da je vjerovanje, intelektualni stav.
01:19
As Mahatma Gandhi famously said,
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No Mahatma Gandhi izrekao je slavne riječi:
01:22
"You must become the change you wish to see in the world."
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"Ti moraš postati promjena koju želiš vidjeti u svijetu."
01:25
And the outcome about which
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A ishod u vezi s kojim želimo
01:27
we wish to be optimistic is not going to be created
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biti optimistični neće nastati jedino
01:32
by the belief alone, except to the extent that the belief
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na temelju vjerovanja, osim do mjere u kojoj to vjerovanje
01:37
brings about new behavior. But the word "behavior"
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dovede do novog ponašanja. Ali i riječ "ponašanje" je
01:43
is also, I think, sometimes misunderstood in this context.
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po mom mišljenju ponekad krivo shvaćena u ovom kontekstu.
01:47
I'm a big advocate of changing
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Ja sam veliki zagovornik zamjene žarulja
01:50
the lightbulbs and buying hybrids,
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i kupnje hibridnih vozila,
01:53
and Tipper and I put 33 solar panels on our house,
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Tipper i ja smo stavili 33 solarna panela na našu kuću,
01:57
and dug the geothermal wells, and did all of that other stuff.
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iskopali geotermalne bunare i napravili još štošta drugo.
02:02
But, as important as it is to change the lightbulbs,
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No, koliko god bilo važno zamijeniti žarulje,
02:06
it is more important to change the laws.
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još je važnije promijeniti zakone.
02:08
And when we change our behavior in our daily lives,
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Kada mijenjamo naše svakodnevno ponašanje
02:14
we sometimes leave out the citizenship part
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ponekad izostavljamo građanske dužnosti
02:17
and the democracy part. In order to be optimistic about this,
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i demokraciju. Kako bismo po ovome pitanju postali optimistični
02:24
we have to become incredibly active as citizens in our democracy.
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mi moramo postati izuzetno aktivni kao građani u našoj demokraciji.
02:30
In order to solve the climate crisis,
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Kako bismo riješili klimatsku krizu,
02:32
we have to solve the democracy crisis.
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mi moramo riješiti krizu demokracije.
02:35
And we have one.
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A krizu i imamo.
02:37
I have been trying to tell this story for a long time.
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Ja već jako dugo pokušavam ispričati ovu priču.
02:42
I was reminded of that recently, by a woman
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Nedavno me na to podsjetila jedna žena
02:46
who walked past the table I was sitting at,
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koja prošla pored stola za kojim sam sjedio
02:49
just staring at me as she walked past. She was in her 70s,
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i zurila u mene dok je prolazila. Bila je u svojim sedamdesetima,
02:53
looked like she had a kind face. I thought nothing of it
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izgledala je kao fina gospođa. Nisam o njoj razmišljao
02:57
until I saw from the corner of my eye
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sve dok krajičkom oka nisam spazio
03:00
she was walking from the opposite direction,
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da se vraća iz suprotnog smjera,
03:02
also just staring at me. And so I said, "How do you do?"
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opet zureći u mene. Pa sam joj rekao, "Kako ste?"
03:06
And she said, "You know, if you dyed your hair black,
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A ona je rekla, "Znate, da obojite kosu u crno,
03:09
you would look just like Al Gore." (Laughter)
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izgledali biste baš kao Al Gore."
03:19
Many years ago, when I was a young congressman,
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Prije mnogo godina, dok sam bio mlad kongresnik,
03:21
I spent an awful lot of time dealing with the challenge
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jako sam puno vremena provodio baveći se izazovom
03:25
of nuclear arms control -- the nuclear arms race.
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kontrole nuklearnog oružja - utrke u nuklearnom naoružavanju.
03:28
And the military historians taught me,
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A vojni povjesničari su me naučili
03:31
during that quest, that military conflicts are typically
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tijekom tog razdoblja da se vojni sukobi obično
03:36
put into three categories: local battles,
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dijele u tri kategorije: lokalne bitke,
03:41
regional or theater wars, and the rare but all-important
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regionalne ili ograničene ratove, te rijetke no sveobuhvatne
03:46
global, world war -- strategic conflicts.
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globalne, svjetske ratove. Strateške sukobe.
03:51
And each level of conflict requires a different allocation of resources,
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A svaka razina sukoba zahtijeva drugačije raspoređivanje resursa,
03:56
a different approach,
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drugačiji pristup,
03:58
a different organizational model.
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drugačiji organizacijski model.
04:02
Environmental challenges fall into the same three categories,
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Izazovi očuvanja okoliša mogu se svrstati u iste tri kategorije
04:06
and most of what we think about
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i većina onih o kojima razmišljamo
04:07
are local environmental problems: air pollution, water pollution,
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su lokalni problemi okoliša: zagađenje zraka, zagađenje voda,
04:10
hazardous waste dumps. But there are also
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odlaganje opasnog otpada. No postoje i
04:14
regional environmental problems, like acid rain
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postoje regionalni problemi očuvanja okoliša, poput kiselih kiša
04:17
from the Midwest to the Northeast, and from Western Europe
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od Srednjeg zapada do Sjeveroistoka, te od Zapadne Europe
04:21
to the Arctic, and from the Midwest
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do Arktika i od Srednjeg zapada
04:25
out the Mississippi into the dead zone of the Gulf of Mexico.
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niz Mississippi do mrtve zone Meksičkog zaljeva.
04:28
And there are lots of those. But the climate crisis
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I takvih ima puno. Ali klimatska kriza
04:30
is the rare but all-important
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je onaj rijetki, ali sveobuhvatni
04:32
global, or strategic, conflict.
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globalni, odnosno strateški sukob.
04:35
Everything is affected. And we have to organize our response
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Utječe na sve. I našu reakciju moramo organizirati
04:40
appropriately. We need a worldwide, global mobilization
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na odgovarajući način. Trebamo svjetsku, globalnu mobilizaciju
04:46
for renewable energy, conservation, efficiency
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za obnovljivu energiju, očuvanje, efikasnost
04:49
and a global transition to a low-carbon economy.
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i svjetsku tranziciju na nisko ugljičnu ekonomiju.
04:52
We have work to do. And we can mobilize resources
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To treba odraditi. I možemo mobilizirati resurse
04:56
and political will. But the political will
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i političku volju. No politička volja
05:00
has to be mobilized, in order to mobilize the resources.
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mora biti mobilizirana da bi mobilizirala resurse.
05:03
Let me show you these slides here.
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Pokazat ću vam ove slajdove.
05:08
I thought I would start with the logo. What's missing here,
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Mislio sam početi s logom. Ono što ovdje nedostaje je
05:15
of course, is the North Polar ice cap.
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naravno, ledeni prekrivač Sjevernoga pola.
05:17
Greenland remains. Twenty-eight years ago, this is what the
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Grenland je ostao. Prije 28 godina ovako je izgledao
05:24
polar ice cap -- the North Polar ice cap -- looked like
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polarni ledeni prekrivač - ledeni prekrivač Sjevernoga pola -
05:28
at the end of the summer, at the fall equinox.
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na kraju ljeta za jesenskoga ekvinocija.
05:32
This last fall, I went to the Snow and Ice Data Center
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Prošle jeseni sam otišao Centar za obradu podataka o snijegu i ledu
05:36
in Boulder, Colorado, and talked to the researchers
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u Boulderu u Coloradu te razgovarao sa znanstvenicima
05:39
here in Monterey at the Naval Postgraduate Laboratory.
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ovdje u Montereyu u Poslijediplomskom pomorskom laboratoriju.
05:43
This is what's happened in the last 28 years.
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Ovo se dogodilo u posljednjih 28 godina.
05:47
To put it in perspective, 2005 was the previous record.
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Da to stavimo u perspektivu, prethodni rekord je iz 2005.
05:52
Here's what happened last fall
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Evo što se dogodilo prošle jeseni
05:55
that has really unnerved the researchers.
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i stvarno uznemirilo znanstvenike.
05:58
The North Polar ice cap is the same size geographically --
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Ledeni prekrivač Sjevernoga pola je iste površine - zemljopisno -
06:10
doesn't look quite the same size --
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ne čini se tako ali jest -
06:11
but it is exactly the same size as the United States,
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točno iste veličine kao Sjedinjene države,
06:15
minus an area roughly equal to the state of Arizona.
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umanjene za površinu otprilike jednaku veličini Arizone.
06:18
The amount that disappeared in 2005
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Površina koja je nestala 2005.
06:21
was equivalent to everything east of the Mississippi.
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bila je jednaka svemu istočno od Mississippija.
06:25
The extra amount that disappeared last fall
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Dodatna površina koja je nestala prošle jeseni
06:29
was equivalent to this much. It comes back in the winter,
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je jednaka ovome. Površina se vraća zimi
06:32
but not as permanent ice, as thin ice --
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ali ne kao trajan led već kao tanak led.
06:36
vulnerable. The amount remaining could be completely gone
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Krhak. Preostala površina bi mogla potpuno nestati
06:42
in summer in as little as five years.
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za vrijeme ljeta već u idućih pet godina.
06:43
That puts a lot of pressure on Greenland.
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To stvara veliki pritisak na Greenland.
06:49
Already, around the Arctic Circle --
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Već sada, oko Arktičkog kruga...
06:57
this is a famous village in Alaska. This is a town
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Ovo je slavno selo na Aljasci. Ovo je grad u Newfounlandu.
07:01
in Newfoundland. Antarctica. Latest studies from NASA.
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Antarktika. Najnovija istraživanja NASA-e.
07:10
The amount of a moderate-to-severe snow melting
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Područje umjerenog do izrazitog topljenja snijega
07:13
of an area equivalent to the size of California.
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je površine jednake veličini Kalifornije.
07:17
"They were the best of times,
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"Bila su to najbolja vremena,
07:20
they were the worst of times": the most famous opening sentence
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bila su to najgora vremena": najpoznatija početna rečenica
07:23
in English literature. I want to share briefly
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engleske književnosti. Htio bih ukratko ispričati
07:26
a tale of two planets. Earth and Venus
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"Priču o dva planeta." Zemlja i Venera
07:29
are exactly the same size. Earth's diameter
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su točno iste veličine. Zemljin promjer
07:32
is about 400 kilometers larger, but essentially the same size.
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je oko 400 kilometara veći, no u biti su jednake veličine.
07:37
They have exactly the same amount of carbon.
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Oba planeta imaju jednaku količinu ugljika.
07:39
But the difference is, on Earth, most of the carbon
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No razlika je u tome što je na Zemlji većina ugljika
07:44
has been leeched over time out of the atmosphere,
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s vremenom izvučena iz atmosfere
07:47
deposited in the ground as coal, oil,
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i nataložena u tlu kao ugljen, nafta,
07:51
natural gas, etc. On Venus, most of it
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prirodni plin, itd. Na Veneri je većina
07:54
is in the atmosphere. The difference is that our temperature
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u atmosferi. Razlika je u tome da je naša prosječna
07:59
is 59 degrees on average. On Venus,
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temperatura 15 stupnjeva C. Na Veneri je
08:02
it's 855. This is relevant to our current strategy
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457. To je ima veze s našom trenutnom strategijom
08:06
of taking as much carbon out of the ground as quickly as possible,
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izvlačenja što više ugljika iz tla što je moguće brže
08:08
and putting it into the atmosphere.
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i njegovog ispuštanja u atmosferu.
08:12
It's not because Venus is slightly closer to the Sun.
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Venera nije toplija jer je nešto bliža Suncu.
08:15
It's three times hotter than Mercury,
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Ona je tri puta toplija od Merkura
08:17
which is right next to the Sun. Now, briefly,
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koji je odmah pored Sunca. Sada, kratko,
08:20
here's an image you've seen, as one of the only old images,
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ovo je slika koju ste vidjeli kao jednu od rijetkih starih slika,
08:22
but I show it because I want to briefly give you CSI: Climate.
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no ja je pokazujem jer vam želim na brzinu prikazati CSI: Klima.
08:26
The global scientific community says:
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Globalna znanstvena zajednica kaže,
08:32
man-made global warming pollution, put into the atmosphere,
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od ljudi stvoreno globalno toplinsko zagađenje, ispušteno u atmosferu,
08:36
thickening this, is trapping more of the outgoing infrared.
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zgušnjavajući ovo, zarobljava više odlaznog infracrvenog zračenja.
08:38
You all know that. At the last
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Svi to znate.
08:39
IPCC summary, the scientists wanted to say,
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U zadnjem IPCC sažetku, znanstvenici su na
08:43
"How certain are you?" They wanted to answer that "99 percent."
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"Koliko ste sigurni?" htjeli reći "99 posto."
08:46
The Chinese objected, and so the compromise was
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Kinezi su se pobunili pa je kompromis bio
08:48
"more than 90 percent."
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"više od 90 posto."
08:50
Now, the skeptics say, "Oh, wait a minute,
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Sada skeptici govore: "Pa čekajte malo,
08:53
this could be variations in this energy
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moguće da su to varijacije u... u toj energiji
08:57
coming in from the sun." If that were true,
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koja dolazi od Sunca." Da je to istina
09:00
the stratosphere would be heated as well as the
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stratosfera bi bila zagrijana kao i
09:04
lower atmosphere, if it's more coming in.
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niža atmosfera, da nam dolazi više energije.
09:07
If it's more being trapped on the way out, then you would
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Ako je više zarobljeno na odlasku, onda biste
09:10
expect it to be warmer here and cooler here. Here is the lower atmosphere.
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očekivali da je toplije ovdje, a hladnije ovdje. Ovdje je niža atmosfera.
09:16
Here's the stratosphere: cooler.
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Ovdje je stratosfera: hladnije.
09:19
CSI: Climate.
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CSI: Klima.
09:20
Now, here's the good news. Sixty-eight percent of Americans now believe
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A sada evo dobrih vijesti. Trenutno 68% amerikanaca vjeruje
09:27
that human activity is responsible
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da je ljudska aktivnost odgovorna
09:30
for global warming. Sixty-nine percent believe that the Earth is heating up
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za globalno zagrijavanje. 69% vjeruje da se Zemlja
09:35
in a significant way. There has been progress,
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znatnije zagrijava. Postoji napredak,
09:38
but here is the key: when given a list
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no ključno je ovo: kada pogledate popis
09:45
of challenges to confront, global warming is still listed at near the bottom.
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izazova s kojima se suočavamo, globalno zagrijavanje se još uvijek nalazi pri dnu.
09:54
What is missing is a sense of urgency.
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Ono što nedostaje je osjećaj hitnosti.
09:57
If you agree with the factual analysis,
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Ako se slažete s analizom činjenica,
10:02
but you don't feel the sense of urgency,
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no ne osjećate hitnost,
10:05
where does that leave you?
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kamo vas to vodi?
10:06
Well, the Alliance for Climate Protection, which I head
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Savez za zaštitu klime, kojeg vodim,
10:09
in conjunction with Current TV -- who did this pro bono --
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u suradnji s CurrentTV - koja je to radila bez naknade,
10:13
did a worldwide contest to do commercials on how to communicate this.
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raspisao je svjetski natječaj za izradu reklama na temu kako ovo komunicirati.
10:17
This is the winner.
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Ovo je pobjednik.
11:06
NBC -- I'll show all of the networks here -- the top journalists
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NBC - pokazat ću sve mreže ovdje - vrhunski novinari
11:13
for NBC asked 956 questions in 2007
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NBC-a postavili su 956 pitanja
11:17
of the presidential candidates: two of them were about
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predsjedničkim kandidatima 2007. - od toga su dva bila
11:20
the climate crisis. ABC: 844 questions, two about the climate crisis.
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o klimatskoj krizi. ABC 844 pitanja, dva o klimatskoj krizi.
11:27
Fox: two. CNN: two. CBS: zero.
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Fox: dva. CNN: dva. CBS: nula.
11:37
From laughs to tears -- this is one of the older
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Od smijeha do suza. Ovo je jedna od starijih
11:41
tobacco commercials.
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reklama za duhanske proizvode.
11:43
So here's what we're doing.
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To je ono što radimo.
11:45
This is gasoline consumption in all of these countries. And us.
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Ovo je potrošnja benzina u svim ovim zemljama. I kod nas.
11:55
But it's not just the developed nations.
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Ali nisu u pitanju samo razvijene države.
12:01
The developing countries are now following us
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Zemlje u razvoju nas sada slijede
12:05
and accelerating their pace. And actually,
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i ubrzavaju svoj tempo. I zapravo,
12:07
their cumulative emissions this year are the equivalent
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zbroj njihovih emisija ove godine jednak je
12:10
to where we were in 1965. And they're catching up
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onome gdje smo mi bili 1965. I sustižu nas
12:13
very dramatically. The total concentrations:
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vrlo dramatično. Ukupnim koncentracijama
12:17
by 2025, they will be essentially where we were in 1985.
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do 2025. zapravo će biti tamo gdje smo mi bili 1985.
12:23
If the wealthy countries were completely missing
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Kada bogatih zemalja uopće ne bi bilo
12:28
from the picture, we would still have this crisis.
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na slici, još uvijek bismo imali ovu krizu.
12:31
But we have given to the developing countries
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Ali mi smo zemljama u razvoju dali
12:35
the technologies and the ways of thinking
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tehnologije i načine razmišljanja
12:37
that are creating the crisis. This is in Bolivia --
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koji stvaraju ovu krizu. Ovo je u Boliviji.
12:43
over thirty years.
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Tijekom trideset godina.
13:05
This is peak fishing in a few seconds. The '60s.
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Ovo je prekomjerni izlov riba u nekoliko sekundi. Šezdesete.
13:09
'70s. '80s. '90s. We have to stop this. And the good news is that we can.
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Sedamdesete. Osamdesete. Devedesete. Moramo ovo zaustaviti. I dobra vijest je da možemo.
13:18
We have the technologies.
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Imamo tehnologije.
13:22
We have to have a unified view of how to go about this:
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Moramo imati jedinstveni pogled na to kako pristupiti ovome.
13:27
the struggle against poverty in the world
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Borba protiv siromaštva u svijetu
13:31
and the challenge of cutting wealthy country emissions,
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i izazov smanjenja onečišćenja iz bogatih zemalja,
13:35
all has a single, very simple solution.
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sve ima jedinstveno, vrlo jednostavno rješenje.
13:39
People say, "What's the solution?" Here it is.
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Ljudi pitaju "Što je rješenje?" Evo ga.
13:43
Put a price on carbon. We need a CO2 tax, revenue neutral,
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Staviti cijenu na ugljik. Trebamo CO2 porez, neovisan o prihodima,
13:49
to replace taxation on employment, which was invented by Bismarck --
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kao zamjenu za porez na zaposlenost, koji je izmislio Bismark -
13:57
and some things have changed
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a neke stvari su se promijenile
13:58
since the 19th century.
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od 19. stoljeća.
13:59
In the poor world, we have to integrate the responses
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U siromašnom svijetu, moramo povezati rješavanje
14:06
to poverty with the solutions to the climate crisis.
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siromaštva s rješavanjem klimatske krize.
14:10
Plans to fight poverty in Uganda
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Planovi za borbu protiv siromaštva u Ugandi
14:13
are mooted, if we do not solve the climate crisis.
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su sporni ako ne riješimo klimatsku krizu.
14:17
But responses can actually make a huge difference
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No reakcije mogu doista puno promijeniti
14:25
in the poor countries. This is a proposal
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u siromašnim zemljama. Evo prijedloga
14:30
that has been talked about a lot in Europe.
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o kojem se puno govorilo u Europi.
14:34
This was from Nature magazine. These are concentrating
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Ovo je iz časopisa Nature. Ovo su koncentrirane
14:38
solar, renewable energy plants, linked in a so-called "supergrid"
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solarne elektrane obnovljive energije, povezane u tzv. supermrežu
14:45
to supply all of the electrical power
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koja opskrbljuje Europu svom potrebnom električnom energijom,
14:48
to Europe, largely from developing countries -- high-voltage DC currents.
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većinom iz zemalja u razvoju. Visokonaponska istosmjerna mreža.
14:56
This is not pie in the sky; this can be done.
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Ovo nisu "kule u oblacima", ovo je moguće.
14:59
We need to do it for our own economy.
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To moramo učiniti za naše vlastito gospodarstvo.
15:02
The latest figures show that the old model
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Zadnji podaci pokazuju da stari model
15:05
is not working. There are a lot of great investments
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ne funkcionira. Postoji mnogo sjajnih investicija.
15:09
that you can make. If you are investing in tar sands
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Ako investirate u ležišta bitumenskog pijeska
15:13
or shale oil, then you have a portfolio
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ili naftnog škriljavca, tada imate portfelj
15:19
that is crammed with sub-prime carbon assets.
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koji je pretrpan trećerazrednim CO2 investicijama.
15:23
And it is based on an old model.
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I temelji se na starom modelu.
15:27
Junkies find veins in their toes when the ones
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Narkomani traže vene u nožnim prstima
15:30
in their arms and their legs collapse. Developing tar sands
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kad su im u rukama i nogama uništene. Eksploatacija bitumenskog pijeska
15:35
and coal shale is the equivalent. Here are just a few of the investments
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i naftnih škriljavaca je to isto. Evo samo nekoliko investicija
15:41
that I personally think make sense.
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za koje osobno smatram da imaju smisla.
15:44
I have a stake in these, so I'll have a disclaimer there.
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Imam udjele u ovima, zato je ovdje odricanje od odgovornosti.
15:47
But geothermal, concentrating solar,
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Geotermalna, koncentrirana solarna energija,
15:50
advanced photovoltaics, efficiency and conservation.
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napredni fotonaposnski uređaji, efikasnost i pohrana.
15:57
You've seen this slide before, but there's a change.
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Ovaj popis ste vidjeli i prije, no postoji promjena.
16:00
The only two countries that didn't ratify
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Jedine dvije zemlje koje nisu ratificirale [Kyoto]
16:04
-- and now there's only one. Australia had an election.
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- sada je ostala samo jedna. Australija je imala izbore.
16:09
And there was a campaign in Australia
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I imali su kampanju
16:12
that involved television and Internet and radio commercials
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koja je obuhvaćala televiziju, internet i radio reklame
16:17
to lift the sense of urgency for the people there.
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da povećaju osjećaj hitnosti među ljudima.
16:19
And we trained 250 people to give the slide show
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Obučili smo 250 ljudi da drže predavanja
16:23
in every town and village and city in Australia.
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u svakom mjestu i selu i gradu u Australiji.
16:28
Lot of other things contributed to it,
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Još mnogo čega je pridonijelo tome,
16:30
but the new Prime Minister announced that
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ali novi premijer je objavio da će
16:33
his very first priority would be to change Australia's position
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njegov prvi prioritet biti promijeniti službeni stav Australije
16:37
on Kyoto, and he has. Now, they came to an awareness
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o Kyotu, a to je i učinio. Istina, do osvješćivanja je došlo
16:42
partly because of the horrible drought that they have had.
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dijelom i zbog užasne suše koju su imali.
16:46
This is Lake Lanier. My friend Heidi Cullen
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Ovo je jezero Lanier. Moja prijateljica Heidi Cullins
16:50
said that if we gave droughts names the way we give hurricanes names,
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rekla je da kada bi sušama davali imena kao što ih dajemo uraganima,
16:54
we'd call the one in the southeast now Katrina,
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sadašnja suša na jugoistoku zvala bi se Katrina
16:57
and we would say it's headed toward Atlanta.
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i rekli bismo da ide smjeru Atlante.
16:59
We can't wait for the kind of drought
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Ne možemo čekati sušu poput one
17:03
Australia had to change our political culture.
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u Australiji da bismo promijenili našu političku kulturu.
17:05
Here's more good news. The cities supporting Kyoto in the U.S.
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Evo još dobrih vijesti. Broj gradova koji podržavaju Kyoto u SAD,
17:14
are up to 780 -- and I thought I saw one go by there,
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popeo se na 780 - čini mi se da sam vidio kako je prošao...
17:17
just to localize this -- which is good news.
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da malo lokaliziram ovo... Što je dobra vijest.
17:23
Now, to close, we heard a couple of days ago
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Za zaključak, čuli smo prije nekoliko dana
17:29
about the value of making individual heroism so commonplace
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o značaju pretvaranja individualnog junaštva u nešto toliko uobičajeno
17:38
that it becomes banal or routine.
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da postane banalno ili navika.
17:41
What we need is another hero generation. Those of us who are alive
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Ono što trebamo je još jedna generacija junaka. Mi koji živimo u
17:50
in the United States of America
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Sjedinjenim Američkim Državama
17:52
today especially, but also the rest of the world,
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posebno danas, ali i ostatak svijeta,
17:55
have to somehow understand that history
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moramo nekako razumjeti da nam je povijest
18:00
has presented us with a choice -- just as Jill [Bolte] Taylor was figuring out
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dala izbor - baš kako je Jill Taylor razmišljala
18:10
how to save her life while she was distracted
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kako da spasi svoj život dok je bila ometana
18:15
by the amazing experience that she was going through.
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zadivljujućim iskustvom kroz koje je prolazila.
18:19
We now have a culture of distraction.
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Mi sada imamo kulturu koja nas ometa.
18:22
But we have a planetary emergency.
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No imamo planetarnu hitnu krizu.
18:27
And we have to find a way to create,
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I moramo naći način da stvorimo,
18:31
in the generation of those alive today, a sense of generational mission.
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u ovoj generaciji koja živi danas, osjećaj generacijske misije.
18:37
I wish I could find the words to convey this.
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Kada bih barem mogao naći riječi da prenesem ovo.
18:43
This was another hero generation
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Ovo je bila još jedna generacija junaka
18:45
that brought democracy to the planet.
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koja je planetu donijela demokraciju.
18:48
Another that ended slavery. And that gave women the right to vote.
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Još jedna koja je okončala ropstvo. I koja je dala ženama pravo glasa.
18:55
We can do this. Don't tell me that we don't have the capacity to do it.
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Mi to možemo. Nemojte mi reći da nemamo sposobnosti za to.
19:02
If we had just one week's worth of what we spend on the Iraq War,
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Da smo imali vrijednost samo jednotjedne potrošnje na rat u Iraku,
19:06
we could be well on the way to solving this challenge.
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bili bismo na dobrom putu rješavanja ovog izazova.
19:09
We have the capacity to do it.
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Imamo sposobnost da to učinimo.
19:19
One final point: I'm optimistic, because I believe
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I zaključna poanta. Optimističan sam jer vjerujem
19:32
we have the capacity, at moments of great challenge,
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da imamo sposobnosti, u trenucima velikog izazova,
19:36
to set aside the causes of distraction and rise to the challenge
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staviti u stranu uzroke ometanja i prihvatiti izazov
19:42
that history is presenting to us.
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koji povijest stavlja pred nas.
19:47
Sometimes I hear people respond to the disturbing facts of the climate crisis
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Ponekad čujem kako ljudi na uznemirujuće činjenice klimatske krize
19:59
by saying, "Oh, this is so terrible.
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reagiraju govoreći "Oh, to je tako grozno,
20:01
What a burden we have." I would like to ask you
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kakav mi teret imamo." Htio bih vas zamoliti
20:07
to reframe that. How many generations
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da preoblikujemo to. Koliko je generacija
20:11
in all of human history have had the opportunity
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u cjelokupnoj ljudskoj povijesti imalo priliku
20:16
to rise to a challenge that is worthy of our best efforts?
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prihvatiti izazov koji je vrijedan naših najvećih napora?
20:25
A challenge that can pull from us
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Izazov koji iz nas može izvući
20:31
more than we knew we could do? I think we ought to approach
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više nego smo znali da možemo? Mislim da bismo trebali pristupiti
20:39
this challenge with a sense of profound joy
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ovom izazovu s osjećajem duboke radosti
20:43
and gratitude that we are the generation
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i zahvalnosti što smo mi generacija
20:48
about which, a thousand years from now,
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koju će, tisuću godina od danas,
20:52
philharmonic orchestras and poets and singers will celebrate
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filharmonijski orkestri, pjesnici i pjevači slaviti
21:01
by saying, they were the ones that found it within themselves
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govoreći, oni su bili ti koji su u sebi našli ono što je trebalo
21:08
to solve this crisis and lay the basis
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da se kriza riješi i postavili temelje
21:13
for a bright and optimistic human future.
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za svijetlu i optimističnu budućnost čovječanstva.
21:15
Let's do that. Thank you very much.
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Učinimo to. Hvala.
21:42
Chris Anderson: For so many people at TED, there is deep pain
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- Za mnoge ljude na TED-u, postoji duboka bol
21:48
that basically a design issue
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da je u biti pitanje dizajna - na kraju krajeva,
21:50
on a voting form --
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problematičan dizajn glasačkog listića -
21:52
one bad design issue meant that your voice wasn't being heard
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jedan loš dizajn je značio da se vaš nije
21:56
like that in the last eight years in a position
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na ovaj način čuo u zadnjih osam godina
21:57
where you could make these things come true.
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na poziciji gdje ste to mogli i ostvariti.
21:59
That hurts.
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To boli.
22:01
Al Gore: You have no idea. (Laughter)
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- Nemate pojma koliko.
22:11
CA: When you look at what the leading candidates
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- Kada pogledate što vodeći kandidati
22:12
in your own party are doing now -- I mean, there's --
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u vašoj stranci trenutno čine - hoću reći -
22:14
are you excited by their plans on global warming?
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jeste li uzbuđeni njihovim planovima oko globalnog zagrijavanja?
22:28
AG: The answer to the question is hard for me
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- Odgovor na to pitanje je težak za mene
22:32
because, on the one hand, I think that
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jer, s jedne strane, mislim da bi nam trebalo
22:36
we should feel really great about the fact
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biti stvarno drago zbog činjenice
22:41
that the Republican nominee -- certain nominee --
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da republikanski kandidat, konkretan kandidat,
22:47
John McCain, and both of the finalists
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John McCain i oba finalista
22:51
for the Democratic nomination -- all three have a very different
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za demokratsku nominaciju - svi troje imaju bitno drugačiju
22:56
and forward-leaning position
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i naprednu poziciju
22:58
on the climate crisis. All three have offered leadership,
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o klimatskoj krizi. Svi troje su ponudili vodstvo
23:03
and all three are very different from the approach taken
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i svi troje imaju vrlo drugačiji pristup od
23:07
by the current administration. And I think
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pristupa koji ima trenutna vlada. I mislim
23:10
that all three have also been responsible in
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da su svi troje bili odgovorni u
23:14
putting forward plans and proposals. But the campaign dialogue that --
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predlaganju planova i davanju prijedloga. Ali... dijalog u kampanji -
23:25
as illustrated by the questions --
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kako su ona pitanja ilustrirala -
23:26
that was put together by the
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pitanja koja je prikupila
23:27
League of Conservation Voters, by the way, the analysis of all the questions --
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Liga glasača za očuvanje okoliša, usput, analiza svih pitanja -
23:30
and, by the way, the debates have all been
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i usput, sve debate je sponzoriralo
23:34
sponsored by something that goes by the Orwellian label,
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nešto Orwellovskog naziva:
23:36
"Clean Coal." Has anybody noticed that?
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"Čisti ugljen". Je li to netko primijetio?
23:40
Every single debate has been sponsored by "Clean Coal."
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Svaku pojedinu debatu je sponzorirao "Čisti ugljen."
23:44
"Now, even lower emissions!"
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"Sada još manje onečišćenje!"
23:46
The richness and fullness of the dialogue
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Bogatstvo i potpunost dijaloga
23:50
in our democracy has not laid the basis
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u našoj demokraciji nije postavilo temelje
23:53
for the kind of bold initiative that is really needed.
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za hrabru inicijativu kakvu trebamo.
23:57
So they're saying the right things and they may --
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Dakle oni govore prave stvari i moguće da će
24:00
whichever of them is elected -- may do the right thing,
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učiniti pravu stvar bez obzira tko od njih bio izabran,
24:03
but let me tell you: when I came back from Kyoto
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no dopustite mi da vam kažem: kad sam se vratio iz Kyota
24:07
in 1997, with a feeling of great happiness
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1997. s osjećajem velike sreće
24:14
that we'd gotten that breakthrough there,
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da smo tamo napravili prekretnicu,
24:16
and then confronted the United States Senate,
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i nakon toga se suočio sa Senatom SAD.
24:18
only one out of 100 senators was willing to vote
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Samo jedan od 100 senatora bio je voljan glasati
24:22
to confirm, to ratify that treaty. Whatever the candidates say
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za ratifikaciju sporazuma. Što god kandidati rekli
24:29
has to be laid alongside what the people say.
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to mora biti u skladu s onime što ljudi govore.
24:34
This challenge is part of the fabric
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Ovaj izazov je utkan u
24:38
of our whole civilization.
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cijelu našu civilizaciju.
24:40
CO2 is the exhaling breath of our civilization, literally.
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CO2 je ono što naša civilizacija izdiše, doslovno.
24:44
And now we mechanized that process. Changing that pattern
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I sad smo mehanizirali taj proces. Promjena tog uzorka
24:47
requires a scope, a scale, a speed of change
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traži opseg, veličinu i brzinu promjena
24:54
that is beyond what we have done in the past.
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veću od bilo čega što smo činili u prošlosti.
24:57
So that's why I began by saying,
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Zato sam započeo rekavši,
24:59
be optimistic in what you do, but be an active citizen.
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budite optimistični u onome što radite, no budite aktivni građani.
25:06
Demand -- change the light bulbs,
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Zahtijevajte... zamijenite žarulje,
25:08
but change the laws. Change the global treaties.
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no mijenjajte i zakone. Promijenite globalne sporazume.
25:11
We have to speak up. We have to solve this democracy -- this --
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Moramo biti glasniji. Moramo riješiti ovu demokratsku... ovu...
25:18
We have sclerosis in our democracy. And we have to change that.
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Imamo sklerozu u našoj demokraciji i to moramo promijeniti.
25:25
Use the Internet. Go on the Internet.
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Koristite internet. Idite na internet.
25:26
Connect with people. Become very active as citizens.
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Povežite se s ljudima. Postanite vrlo aktivni kao građani.
25:30
Have a moratorium -- we shouldn't
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Napravimo moratorij - ne bismo trebali
25:32
have any new coal-fired generating plants
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imati nikakvih novih elektrana na ugljen
25:34
that aren't able to capture and store CO2, which means we have to
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koje nisu sposobne skupiti i pohraniti CO2. Što znači da
25:39
quickly build these renewable sources.
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moramo brzo graditi obnovljive izvore.
25:41
Now, nobody is talking on that scale. But I do believe
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Nitko u ovome trenutku ne govori na toj razini. No vjerujem
25:45
that between now and November, it is possible.
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da je između danas i studenog to moguće.
25:49
This Alliance for Climate Protection
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Spomenuti Savez za klimatsku zaštitu
25:51
is going to launch a nationwide campaign --
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će pokrenuti nacionalnu kampanju
25:54
grassroots mobilization, television ads, Internet ads,
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široku mobilizaciju, televizijske oglase, internet oglase,
25:57
radio, newspaper -- with partnerships with everybody
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radio, tisak - uz partnerstvo sa svima
26:00
from the Girl Scouts to the hunters and fishermen.
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od izviđača do lovaca i ribolovaca.
26:03
We need help. We need help.
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Trebamo pomoć. Trebamo pomoć.
26:07
CA: In terms of your own personal role going forward,
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- U smislu vaše osobne uloge u budućnosti,
26:11
Al, is there something more than that
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Al, postoji li još nešto
26:13
you would like to be doing?
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što bi ste voljeli činiti?
26:14
AG: I have prayed that I would be able to find the answer
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- Molio sam se da budem u stanju pronaći odgovor
26:22
to that question. What can I do?
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na to pitanje. Što mogu učiniti?
26:27
Buckminster Fuller once wrote, "If the future
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Buckminster Fuller je jednom napisao: "Da budućnost
26:31
of all human civilization depended on me, what would I do?
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cjelokupne ljudske civilizacije ovisi o meni, što bih učinio?
26:36
How would I be?" It does depend on all of us,
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Kakav bih bio?" To ovisi o svima nama,
26:41
but again, not just with the light bulbs.
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no opet, ne samo o žaruljama.
26:43
We, most of us here, are Americans. We have a democracy.
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Većina nas ovdje smo Amerikanci. Imamo demokraciju.
26:51
We can change things, but we have to actively change.
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Možemo promijeniti stvari, no moramo aktivno mijenjati.
26:57
What's needed really is a higher level of consciousness.
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Ono što je stvarno potrebno je viša razina svijesti.
27:02
And that's hard to --
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A to je teško -
27:04
that's hard to create -- but it is coming.
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to je teško napraviti - ali dolazi.
27:08
There's an old African proverb that some of you know
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Postoji stara Afrička poslovica koju neki od vas znaju
27:11
that says, "If you want to go quickly, go alone;
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ona kaže: "Ako želiš ići brzo, idi sam;
27:15
if you want to go far, go together." We have to go far, quickly.
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ako želiš ići daleko, idi u društvu." Mi moramo ići daleko brzo.
27:23
So we have to have a change in consciousness.
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Dakle moramo imati promjenu svijesti.
27:27
A change in commitment. A new sense of urgency.
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Promjenu onoga što nam je važno. Novi osjećaj hitnosti.
27:31
A new appreciation for the privilege
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Novi osjećaj zahvalnosti za privilegiju
27:34
that we have of undertaking this challenge.
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koju imamo u suočavanju s ovim izazovom.
27:37
CA: Al Gore, thank you so much for coming to TED.
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- Al Gore, puno vam hvala za dolazak na TED.
27:41
AG: Thank you. Thank you very much.
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- Hvala vam. Puno hvala.
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Al Gore - Climate advocateNobel Laureate Al Gore focused the world’s attention on the global climate crisis. Now he’s showing us how we’re moving towards real solutions.
Why you should listen
Former Vice President Al Gore is co-founder and chairman of Generation Investment Management. While he’s is a senior partner at Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, and a member of Apple, Inc.’s board of directors, Gore spends the majority of his time as chair of The Climate Reality Project, a nonprofit devoted to solving the climate crisis.
He is the author of the bestsellers Earth in the Balance, An Inconvenient Truth, The Assault on Reason, Our Choice: A Plan to Solve the Climate Crisis, and most recently, The Future: Six Drivers of Global Change. He is the subject of the Oscar-winning documentary An Inconvenient Truth and is the co-recipient, with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, of the Nobel Peace Prize for 2007 for “informing the world of the dangers posed by climate change.”
Gore was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 1976, 1978, 1980 and 1982 and the U.S. Senate in 1984 and 1990. He was inaugurated as the 45th Vice President of the United States on January 20, 1993, and served eight years.
Al Gore | Speaker | TED.com