TED2011
Sebastian Thrun: Google's driverless car
Sebastian Thrun: Googleov automobil bez vozača
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Sebastian Thrun pomogao je izgraditi Googleov automobil bez vozača, napajan vrlo osobnim traganjem za spašavanjem života i smanjivanjem prometnih nezgoda. Video koji ostavlja bez daha pokazuje pobjednički automobil DARPA Challenge utrke računalom upravljanih auta, kako se probija kroz gusti gradski promet bez ikoga za volanom, kao i dramatičnu probnu vožnju tijekom skupa TED2011, koja demonstrira koliko brzo ova stvar zaista može ići.
Sebastian Thrun - Educator, entrepreneur
Sebastian Thrun is a passionate technologist who is constantly looking for new opportunities to make the world better for all of us. Full bio
Sebastian Thrun is a passionate technologist who is constantly looking for new opportunities to make the world better for all of us. Full bio
Double-click the English transcript below to play the video.
00:15
As a boy,
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Kao dječak,
00:17
I loved cars.
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volio sam automobile.
00:19
When I turned 18,
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Kad sam napunio 18 godina,
00:21
I lost my best friend to a car accident.
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izgubio sam najboljeg prijatelja u prometnoj nesreći.
00:25
Like this.
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Samo tako.
00:27
And then I decided I'd dedicate my life
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I tada sam odlučio posvetiti svoj život
00:30
to saving one million people
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spašavanju milijun ljudi
00:32
every year.
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svake godine.
00:34
Now I haven't succeeded, so this is just a progress report,
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Ipak, nisam uspio u tome, tako da je ovo samo izvješće o napretku,
00:37
but I'm here to tell you a little bit about self-driving cars.
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ali sam ovdje kako bih vam rekao ponešto o samovozećim automobilima.
00:40
I saw the concept first
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Koncept sam prvo vidio
00:42
in the DARPA Grand Challenges
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u DARPA Challenge utrkama
00:44
where the U.S. government issued a prize
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za koje je Vlada SAD-a osigurala nagrade
00:46
to build a self-driving car that could navigate a desert.
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kako bi se izgradio samovozeći automobil koji bi se mogao kretati pustinjom.
00:49
And even though a hundred teams were there,
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I mada je stotinu timova bilo tamo,
00:52
these cars went nowhere.
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ovi auti nisu nigdje stizali.
00:55
So we decided at Stanford to build a different self-driving car.
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Tako smo na Stanfordu odlučili izgraditi drugačiji samovozeći automobil.
00:58
We built the hardware and the software.
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Izgradili smo hardver i softver.
01:01
We made it learn from us,
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Napravili smo ga sposobnim učiti od nas,
01:03
and we set it free in the desert.
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te smo ga pustili samoga u pustinji.
01:06
And the unimaginable happened:
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I dogodilo se nepojmljivo:
01:08
it became the first car
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postao je prvim automobilom
01:10
to ever return from a DARPA Grand Challenge,
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koji se ikad vratio s DARPA Grand Challengea --
01:12
winning Stanford 2 million dollars.
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osvojivši za Stanford 2 milijuna dolara.
01:17
Yet I still hadn't saved a single life.
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Ipak, još nisam spasio nijedan život.
01:20
Since, our work has focused
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Od tada se naš rad usredotočio
01:23
on building driving cars
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na izgradnju automobila
01:25
that can drive anywhere by themselves --
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koji se mogu samostalno bilo kuda voziti --
01:28
any street in California.
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bilo kojom ulicom u Kaliforniji.
01:30
We've driven 140,000 miles.
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Odvozili smo 225 tisuća kilometara.
01:33
Our cars have sensors
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Naši automobili imaju senzore
01:36
by which they magically can see
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putem kojih magično mogu vidjeti
01:39
everything around them
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sve oko njih
01:41
and make decisions
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i donositi odluke
01:43
about every aspect of driving.
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o svakom aspektu vožnje.
01:46
It's the perfect driving mechanism.
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To je savršeni vozeći mehanizam.
01:49
We've driven in cities,
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Vozili smo u gradovima,
01:51
like in San Francisco here.
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kao i ovdje u San Franciscu.
01:53
We've driven from San Francisco to Los Angeles on Highway 1.
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Vozili smo od San Francisca do Los Angelesa autocestom 1.
01:57
We've encountered joggers,
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Susretali smo se s joggerima,
01:59
busy highways, toll booths,
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s prenapućenim autocestama, naplatnim kućicama,
02:02
and this is without a person in the loop;
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i to bez osobe u njima;
02:04
the car just drives itself.
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automobil jednostavno sam sebe vozi.
02:06
In fact, while we drove 140,000 miles,
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Štoviše, dok smo vozili 225 tisuća kilometara,
02:09
people didn't even notice.
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ljudi to nisu niti primijećivali.
02:12
Mountain roads,
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Planinskim cestama,
02:14
day and night,
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danju i noću,
02:17
and even crooked Lombard Street
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čak i iskrivljenom ulicom Lombard
02:20
in San Francisco.
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u San Franciscu.
02:22
(Laughter)
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(Smijeh)
02:25
Sometimes our cars get so crazy,
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Ponekad naši automobili toliko polude
02:28
they even do little stunts.
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da čak izvode i male podvige.
02:32
(Video) Man: Oh, my God.
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(Video) Čovjek: O Bože.
02:36
What?
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Što?
02:38
Second Man: It's driving itself.
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Drugi čovjek: Vozi se samo.
02:42
Sebastian Thrun: Now I can't get my friend Harold back to life,
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Sebastian Thrun: I sad, ne mogu vratiti u život svog prijatelja Harolda,
02:45
but I can do something for all the people who died.
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ali mogu učiniti nešto za sve ljudi koji su umrli.
02:47
Do you know that driving accidents
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Znate li da su prometne nesreće
02:50
are the number one cause of death for young people?
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najčešći uzrok smrti mladih ljudi?
02:53
And do you realize that almost all of those
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I shvaćate li da su skoro sve one
02:56
are due to human error
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rezultat ljudske pogreške,
02:59
and not machine error,
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a ne pogreške stroja,
03:01
and can therefore be prevented by machines?
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i stoga mogu biti spriječene od strane stroja?
03:05
Do you realize
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Shvaćate li
03:07
that we could change the capacity of highways
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da bismo mogli povećati kapacitet autocesta
03:10
by a factor of two or three
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dva ili tri puta
03:13
if we didn't rely on human precision
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kad se ne bi oslanjali na ljudsku preciznost
03:15
on staying in the lane --
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ostajanja u traci --
03:17
improve body position
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unaprijediti položaj tijela
03:19
and therefore drive a little bit closer together
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i stoga voziti ponešto bliže jadan drugome
03:21
on a little bit narrower lanes,
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na ponešto užim trakama,
03:23
and do away with all traffic jams on highways?
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te se riješiti prometnih zastoja na autocestama?
03:28
Do you realize that you, TED users,
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Shvaćate li da vi, korisnici TED-a,
03:31
spend an average
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provodite u prosjeku
03:33
of 52 minutes per day
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52 minute po danu
03:35
in traffic,
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u prometu,
03:37
wasting your time
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gubeći svoje vrijeme
03:39
on your daily commute?
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na svakodnevne vožnje?
03:42
You could regain this time.
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Mogli biste povratiti to vrijeme.
03:44
This is four billion hours
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To je četiri milijarde sati,
03:46
wasted in this country alone.
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izgubljenih samo u ovoj zemlji.
03:49
And it's 2.4 billion gallons of gasoline wasted.
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A to je 9,1 milijardu litara potrošenog goriva.
03:53
Now I think there's a vision here, a new technology,
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I sad, mislim da ovdje postoji vizija, nova tehnologija,
03:56
and I'm really looking forward to a time
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i zaista se radujem vremenu
03:58
when generations after us look back at us
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kad će se generacije iza nas osvrtati na nas
04:00
and say how ridiculous it was that humans were driving cars.
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i govoriti kako je apsurdno bilo da su ljudi vozili automobile.
04:03
Thank you.
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Hvala vam.
04:05
(Applause)
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(Pljesak)
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Sebastian Thrun - Educator, entrepreneurSebastian Thrun is a passionate technologist who is constantly looking for new opportunities to make the world better for all of us.
Why you should listen
Sebastian Thrun is an educator, entrepreneur and troublemaker. After a long life as a professor at Stanford University, Thrun resigned from tenure to join Google. At Google, he founded Google X, home to self-driving cars and many other moonshot technologies. Thrun also founded Udacity, an online university with worldwide reach, and Kitty Hawk, a "flying car" company. He has authored 11 books, 400 papers, holds 3 doctorates and has won numerous awards.
Sebastian Thrun | Speaker | TED.com