TED2011
Sebastian Thrun: Google's driverless car
Sebastijan Trun: Guglov bezvozački automobil
Filmed:
Readability: 3.8
3,196,365 views
Sebastijan Trun je pomogao izgradnji Guglovog neverovatnog bezvozačkog automobila, pokretan veoma ličnom namerom da spase živote i smanji saobraćajne nesreće. Neverovatan video pokazuje ovaj automobil, koji je pobedio DARPA Challenge, kako se snalazi po velikoj gradskoj gužvi bez ikog iza volana, a dramatčcni snimak sa probne vožnje sa TED2011 demonstrira koliko brzo to stvarno može da ide.
Sebastian Thrun - Educator, entrepreneur
Sebastian Thrun is a passionate technologist who is constantly looking for new opportunities to make the world better for all of us. Full bio
Sebastian Thrun is a passionate technologist who is constantly looking for new opportunities to make the world better for all of us. Full bio
Double-click the English transcript below to play the video.
00:15
As a boy,
0
0
2000
Kao dečko
00:17
I loved cars.
1
2000
2000
obožavao sam automobile.
00:19
When I turned 18,
2
4000
2000
Kad sam napunio osamnaest godina,
00:21
I lost my best friend to a car accident.
3
6000
3000
izgubio sam najboljeg druga u automobilskoj nesreći.
00:25
Like this.
4
10000
2000
Ovako.
00:27
And then I decided I'd dedicate my life
5
12000
3000
I onda sam odlučio da posvetim zivot
00:30
to saving one million people
6
15000
2000
spašavanju milion ljudi
00:32
every year.
7
17000
2000
svake godine.
00:34
Now I haven't succeeded, so this is just a progress report,
8
19000
3000
Nisam još uspeo, ovo je samo izveštaj o napretku,
00:37
but I'm here to tell you a little bit about self-driving cars.
9
22000
3000
ali sam ovde da Vam ispričam malo o samovozećim automobilima.
00:40
I saw the concept first
10
25000
2000
Prvi put sam video koncept
00:42
in the DARPA Grand Challenges
11
27000
2000
u DARPA Grand Challenges
00:44
where the U.S. government issued a prize
12
29000
2000
gde je američka država izdala nagradu
00:46
to build a self-driving car that could navigate a desert.
13
31000
3000
za izgradnju samovozećeg automobila koji može voziti kroz pustinju.
00:49
And even though a hundred teams were there,
14
34000
3000
I iako je tu bilo sto ekipa,
00:52
these cars went nowhere.
15
37000
3000
ti automobili nisu nigde išli.
00:55
So we decided at Stanford to build a different self-driving car.
16
40000
3000
Pa smo odlučili na Stenfordu da izgradimo drugačiji samovozeći automobil.
00:58
We built the hardware and the software.
17
43000
3000
Izgradili smo hardver i softver.
01:01
We made it learn from us,
18
46000
2000
On je naučio od nas
01:03
and we set it free in the desert.
19
48000
3000
i mi smo ga pustili u pustinju.
01:06
And the unimaginable happened:
20
51000
2000
I nezamislivo se desilo:
01:08
it became the first car
21
53000
2000
postao je prvi automobil
01:10
to ever return from a DARPA Grand Challenge,
22
55000
2000
koji se ikad vratio sa DARPA Grand Challenge-a --
01:12
winning Stanford 2 million dollars.
23
57000
3000
osvajajući Stenfordu 2 miliona dolara.
01:17
Yet I still hadn't saved a single life.
24
62000
3000
Ali ja još uvek nisam spasio ni jedan život.
01:20
Since, our work has focused
25
65000
3000
Zato što je naš rad bio posvećen
01:23
on building driving cars
26
68000
2000
izgradnji vozećih automobila
01:25
that can drive anywhere by themselves --
27
70000
3000
koji mogu da voze bilo gde sami --
01:28
any street in California.
28
73000
2000
bilo kojom ulicom u Kaliforniji.
01:30
We've driven 140,000 miles.
29
75000
3000
Vozili smo 238.000 kilometara.
01:33
Our cars have sensors
30
78000
3000
Naša vozila imaju senzore
01:36
by which they magically can see
31
81000
3000
kroz koje magično mogu da vide
01:39
everything around them
32
84000
2000
sve oko njih
01:41
and make decisions
33
86000
2000
i donesu odluke
01:43
about every aspect of driving.
34
88000
3000
o svakom aspektu vožnje.
01:46
It's the perfect driving mechanism.
35
91000
3000
To je savršen mehanizam za vožnju.
01:49
We've driven in cities,
36
94000
2000
Vozili smo u gradovima,
01:51
like in San Francisco here.
37
96000
2000
kao ovde u San Francisku.
01:53
We've driven from San Francisco to Los Angeles on Highway 1.
38
98000
4000
Vozili smo od San Franciska do Los Anđelesa autoputem.
01:57
We've encountered joggers,
39
102000
2000
Sreli smo trkače,
01:59
busy highways, toll booths,
40
104000
3000
prepune autoputeve, putarine,
02:02
and this is without a person in the loop;
41
107000
2000
i sve to bez osobe iza volana;
02:04
the car just drives itself.
42
109000
2000
kola jednostavno voze sebe.
02:06
In fact, while we drove 140,000 miles,
43
111000
3000
Pritom, dok smo vozili 238.000 km,
02:09
people didn't even notice.
44
114000
3000
ljudi nisu ni primetili.
02:12
Mountain roads,
45
117000
2000
Planinski putevi,
02:14
day and night,
46
119000
3000
dan i noć,
02:17
and even crooked Lombard Street
47
122000
3000
pa čak i iskrivljena Lombard ulica
02:20
in San Francisco.
48
125000
2000
u San Francisku.
02:22
(Laughter)
49
127000
2000
(Smeh)
02:25
Sometimes our cars get so crazy,
50
130000
3000
Ponekad naši automobili postanu toliko ludi
02:28
they even do little stunts.
51
133000
3000
da čak rade male podvige.
02:32
(Video) Man: Oh, my God.
52
137000
2000
(Video) Čovek: O, moj bože.
02:36
What?
53
141000
2000
Šta?
02:38
Second Man: It's driving itself.
54
143000
3000
Drugi čovek: Vozi sam sebe.
02:42
Sebastian Thrun: Now I can't get my friend Harold back to life,
55
147000
3000
Sebastijan Trun: Ne mogu da povratim mog druga Harolda u život,
02:45
but I can do something for all the people who died.
56
150000
2000
ali mogu da uradim nešto za sve ljude koji su poginuli.
02:47
Do you know that driving accidents
57
152000
3000
Da li znate da su saobraćajne nesreće
02:50
are the number one cause of death for young people?
58
155000
3000
najveći uzrok smrti među mladim ljudima?
02:53
And do you realize that almost all of those
59
158000
3000
I da li shvatate da se skoro sve one
02:56
are due to human error
60
161000
3000
dešavaju zbog ljudske greške
02:59
and not machine error,
61
164000
2000
a ne mašinske greške
03:01
and can therefore be prevented by machines?
62
166000
3000
i mogu dakle biti sprečene mašinama?
03:05
Do you realize
63
170000
2000
Da li shvatate
03:07
that we could change the capacity of highways
64
172000
3000
da bismo mogli da promenimo kapacitet autoputeva
03:10
by a factor of two or three
65
175000
3000
za faktor od dva ili tri
03:13
if we didn't rely on human precision
66
178000
2000
da se ne oslanjamo na ljudsku preciznost
03:15
on staying in the lane --
67
180000
2000
o ostajanju u traci --
03:17
improve body position
68
182000
2000
poboljšamo poziciju
03:19
and therefore drive a little bit closer together
69
184000
2000
i dakle vozimo malo bliže jednim drugima
03:21
on a little bit narrower lanes,
70
186000
2000
u malo užim trakama,
03:23
and do away with all traffic jams on highways?
71
188000
3000
i da zaboravimo sve zastoje na autoputu?
03:28
Do you realize that you, TED users,
72
193000
3000
Da li Vi shvatate da Vi, TED korisnici,
03:31
spend an average
73
196000
2000
potrošite u proseku
03:33
of 52 minutes per day
74
198000
2000
52 minuta dnevno
03:35
in traffic,
75
200000
2000
u saobraćaju
03:37
wasting your time
76
202000
2000
gubeći vreme
03:39
on your daily commute?
77
204000
3000
tokom vaše dnevne vožnje?
03:42
You could regain this time.
78
207000
2000
Mogli biste da vratite ovo vreme.
03:44
This is four billion hours
79
209000
2000
To je četiri milijarde sati
03:46
wasted in this country alone.
80
211000
3000
potrošenih samo u ovoj zemlji.
03:49
And it's 2.4 billion gallons of gasoline wasted.
81
214000
4000
I to je 8.8 milijardi litara benzina potrošeno.
03:53
Now I think there's a vision here, a new technology,
82
218000
3000
Mislim da ovde postoji vizija, nova tehnologija,
03:56
and I'm really looking forward to a time
83
221000
2000
i stvarno se radujem vremenu
03:58
when generations after us look back at us
84
223000
2000
kada će generacije posle nas gledati nazad na nas
04:00
and say how ridiculous it was that humans were driving cars.
85
225000
3000
i reći kako je suludo bilo da su ljudi vozili automobile.
04:03
Thank you.
86
228000
2000
Hvala Vam.
04:05
(Applause)
87
230000
2000
(Aplauz)
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Sebastian Thrun - Educator, entrepreneurSebastian Thrun is a passionate technologist who is constantly looking for new opportunities to make the world better for all of us.
Why you should listen
Sebastian Thrun is an educator, entrepreneur and troublemaker. After a long life as a professor at Stanford University, Thrun resigned from tenure to join Google. At Google, he founded Google X, home to self-driving cars and many other moonshot technologies. Thrun also founded Udacity, an online university with worldwide reach, and Kitty Hawk, a "flying car" company. He has authored 11 books, 400 papers, holds 3 doctorates and has won numerous awards.
Sebastian Thrun | Speaker | TED.com