Bill Gates: The next outbreak? We're not ready
بيل غيتس: الوباء القادم؟ لسنا على إستعداد له
A passionate techie and a shrewd businessman, Bill Gates changed the world while leading Microsoft to dizzying success. Now he's doing it again with his own style of philanthropy and passion for innovation. Full bio
Double-click the English transcript below to play the video.
was a nuclear war.
هي الحرب النووية.
في الطابق السفلي،
down in our basement,
hunker down, and eat out of that barrel.
والأكل من محتويات البرميل.
of global catastrophe
in the next few decades,
ملايين شخص في العقود القليلة القادمة،
a highly infectious virus
in nuclear deterrents.
من أجل الردع النووي
in a system to stop an epidemic.
القليل جداً في أيقاف الأوبئة.
in the newspaper,
عليه في الصحف،
through the case analysis tools
القضاء على شلل الأطفال.
that didn't work well enough,
لا يعمل بشكل جيد بما فيه الكفاية،
didn't have a system at all.
key missing pieces.
الرئيسية المفقودة.
ready to go, who would have gone,
مستعدين للذهاب
seen how far it had spread.
مدى سرعة انتشاره.
before they were put online
على الانترنت
استعداد للذهاب.
did a great job orchestrating volunteers.
بعمل عظيم في تنظيم المتطوعين.
than we should have been
كثيراً عما كان ينبغي
into these countries.
العمال في هذه البلدان.
to have hundreds of thousands of workers.
لدينا مئات الآلاف من العمال.
to look at treatment approaches.
عن أساليب علاجية.
what tools should be used.
taken the blood of survivors,
أخذ الدم من الناجين،
back in people to protect them.
أخرى في الناس لحمايتهم.
من الأشياء الناقصة.
are really a global failure.
but not to do these things I talked about.
و ليس للقيام بهذه الأشياء التي تحدثت عنها.
epidemiologists ready to go,
الوسيمين مستعدين للذهاب،
but that's just pure Hollywood.
ولكن هذا مجرد تمثيل.
could allow the next epidemic
more devastating than Ebola
of Ebola over this year.
West African countries.
الواقعة في غرب افريقيا.
it didn't spread more.
الوباء أكثر من ذلك.
of heroic work by the health workers.
الذي قام به العاملين في مجال الصحة.
prevented more infections.
من حالات الإصابة.
that they're bedridden.
into many urban areas.
من المناطق الحضرية.
more urban areas,
would have been much larger.
قد لن نكون محظوظين جدا.
feel well enough while they're infectious
لكنه يشعر بحالة جيدة تمكنه
or they go to a market.
من الأوبئة الطبيعية مثل الإيبولا،
a natural epidemic like Ebola,
make things a thousand times worse.
جعل الوضع أسوأ من ذلك بكثير.
of a virus spread through the air,
لإنتشار فيروس عن طريق الهواء،
التي ظهرت في عام 1918.
very, very quickly.
بسرعة كبيرة جداً.
died from that epidemic.
30 مليون هلك من هذا الوباء.
a really good response system.
بناء نظام استجابة جيد للغاية.
and technology that we talk about here.
التي تحدثنا عنها.
and get information out to them.
من العامة ولإيصالها إليهم.
where people are and where they're moving.
من رؤية مكان تواجد الناس وكذك وجهتهم.
the turnaround time to look at a pathogen
المدة اللازمة للتعامل مع الفيروس
that fit for that pathogen.
واللقاحات المناسبة لهذا الفيروس.
into an overall global health system.
في النظام الصحي العالمي.
on how to get prepared
waiting to go.
us up to large numbers.
لأعدادا كبيرة من الناس.
that can deploy very rapidly.
يمكن نشرها بسرعة كبيرة.
to check, are people well trained?
للتحقق ما إذا كان جنودهم مدربين جيداً؟
about fuel and logistics
والخدمات اللوجستية
we need to deal with an epidemic.
للتعامل مع الأوبئة.
in poor countries.
في البلدان الفقيرة.
can give birth safely,
على جميع اللقاحات.
the outbreak very early on.
إنتشار الوباء في وقت مبكر.
the training and background
medical people with the military.
الطاقم الطبي بـالجيش.
to move fast, do logistics
على التحرك بسرعة والعمل
so that we see where the holes are.
حتى يتسنى لنا رؤية مكامن الضعف.
was done in the United States
في الولايات المتحدة
and it didn't go so well.
الجراثيم: 1، والناس: 0.
in areas of vaccines and diagnostics.
في مجالات اللقاحات ووسائل التشخيص.
like the Adeno-associated virus,
مثل فيروس الغدة المرتبطة،
for what this would cost,
من ميزانية تحديداً،
compared to the potential harm.
بالمقارنة مع الأضرار المحتملة.
if we have a worldwide flu epidemic,
وباء إنفلونزا في جميع أنحاء العالم،
by over three trillion dollars
من ثلاثة تريليونات دولار
and millions of deaths.
من الوفيات.
offer significant benefits
global health equity
في مجال الصحة العالمي
as well as more safe.
وكذلك أكثر أماناً.
be a priority.
or go down into the basement.
أو الاحتماء في الطابق السفلي.
because time is not on our side.
لأن الوقت ليس في صالحنا.
that can come out of the Ebola epidemic,
يمكن أن يستخلص من وباء إيبولا،
warning, a wake-up call, to get ready.
أو دعوة للاستيقاظ، للإستعداد.
for the next epidemic.
على أهبة الإستعداد للوباء القادم.
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Bill Gates - PhilanthropistA passionate techie and a shrewd businessman, Bill Gates changed the world while leading Microsoft to dizzying success. Now he's doing it again with his own style of philanthropy and passion for innovation.
Why you should listen
Bill Gates is the founder and former CEO of Microsoft. A geek icon, tech visionary and business trailblazer, Gates' leadership -- fueled by his long-held dream that millions might realize their potential through great software -- made Microsoft a personal computing powerhouse and a trendsetter in the Internet dawn. Whether you're a suit, chef, quant, artist, media maven, nurse or gamer, you've probably used a Microsoft product today.
In summer of 2008, Gates left his day-to-day role with Microsoft to focus on philanthropy. Holding that all lives have equal value (no matter where they're being lived), the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation has now donated staggering sums to HIV/AIDS programs, libraries, agriculture research and disaster relief -- and offered vital guidance and creative funding to programs in global health and education. Gates believes his tech-centric strategy for giving will prove the killer app of planet Earth's next big upgrade.
Read a collection of Bill and Melinda Gates' annual letters, where they take stock of the Gates Foundation and the world. And follow his ongoing thinking on his personal website, The Gates Notes. His new paper, "The Next Epidemic," is published by the New England Journal of Medicine.
Bill Gates | Speaker | TED.com