Bill Gates: The next outbreak? We're not ready
Билл Гэйтс: Бид дараагийн тархалтанд бэлэн биш
A passionate techie and a shrewd businessman, Bill Gates changed the world while leading Microsoft to dizzying success. Now he's doing it again with his own style of philanthropy and passion for innovation. Full bio
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was a nuclear war.
down in our basement,
нуувч хамгаалалт хийж,
hunker down, and eat out of that barrel.
(Инээд)
дэлхийн хэмжээний гамшигт аюул
of global catastrophe
in the next few decades,
a highly infectious virus
илүү өндөр болсон.
in nuclear deterrents.
in a system to stop an epidemic.
in the newspaper,
through the case analysis tools
that didn't work well enough,
муу ажиллаж байгаад бус,
didn't have a system at all.
байхгүй байгаад оршиж байна.
илэрхий байхгүй байна.
key missing pieces.
ready to go, who would have gone,
seen how far it had spread.
болох хүртлээ хугацаа алдсан.
before they were put online
did a great job orchestrating volunteers.
than we should have been
into these countries.
to have hundreds of thousands of workers.
нэг ч хүн байсангүй.
to look at treatment approaches.
what tools should be used.
мэддэг хүн байсангүй.
taken the blood of survivors,
цусны дээжийг авч боловсруулан,
back in people to protect them.
илгээх боломж байж л байсан.
are really a global failure.
миний хэлсэн зүйлсэд огт анхаарсангүй.
but not to do these things I talked about.
epidemiologists ready to go,
(Инээлдэв)
but that's just pure Hollywood.
could allow the next epidemic
more devastating than Ebola
of Ebola over this year.
West African countries.
баруун африкийн 3 улсад бүртгэгдсэн.
it didn't spread more.
of heroic work by the health workers.
ажилтнуудын баатарлаг хүчин зүтгэл.
prevented more infections.
халдварыг тархахаас хамгаалсан.
that they're bedridden.
into many urban areas.
тахал төв суурин газруудад хүрээгүй.
more urban areas,
would have been much larger.
аз тохиохгүй л болов уу.
feel well enough while they're infectious
мэдэхгүй байж болно.
or they go to a market.
шалтгаантай ч байж болно.
a natural epidemic like Ebola,
хүчин зүйлс бий.
make things a thousand times worse.
of a virus spread through the air,
авч үзье л дээ.
very, very quickly.
died from that epidemic.
та нар сайн мэдэж байгаа.
a really good response system.
маш сайн систем бүтээж чадна.
and technology that we talk about here.
технологи бий.
авч чадах, мөн түгээж чадах
and get information out to them.
where people are and where they're moving.
чадах хиймэл дагуулын зураг байна.
the turnaround time to look at a pathogen
вакцин үйлдвэрлэж
биологийн салбар хөгжөөд байгаа.
that fit for that pathogen.
into an overall global health system.
системд оруулах л хэрэгтэй байна.
on how to get prepared
тулаанд орохоо хүлээж байдаг.
waiting to go.
us up to large numbers.
маш их хэмжээний нөөц бий.
that can deploy very rapidly.
явуулын нэгж бий.
дайны даалгавар гүйцэтгэсэн.
to check, are people well trained?
about fuel and logistics
тээвэр зохицуулалт хийх,
маш сайн мэдлэгтэй.
we need to deal with an epidemic.
эдгээр зүйлс л хэрэгтэй.
in poor countries.
хүчирхэг эрүүл мэндийн систем хэрэгтэй.
can give birth safely,
the outbreak very early on.
урьтаж мэдэх боломжтой байх ёстой.
the training and background
хэзээд бэлэн байж чадах
medical people with the military.
дагалдуулан бэлдэх хэрэгтэй.
to move fast, do logistics
чадварын давуу талыг
so that we see where the holes are.
харж сурна.
was done in the United States
Америкт 2001 онд нэг удаа хэрэгжүүлсэн.
and it didn't go so well.
(Инээд)
талбарт хүчирхэг судалгаа хэрэгтэй.
in areas of vaccines and diagnostics.
like the Adeno-associated virus,
Адено хам шинжийн вирусын жишээ.
төсөв орох талаар ойлголт алга.
for what this would cost,
compared to the potential harm.
энэ зардал маш бага байх нь тодорхой.
if we have a worldwide flu epidemic,
ойролцоогоор дэлхийн баялаг
баримжааг Дэлхийн Банк гаргасан.
by over three trillion dollars
and millions of deaths.
offer significant benefits
зөвхөн бэлэн байх төдийгөөр зогсохгүй
судалгаа хөгжлийн төвийг сайжруулж
global health equity
тэнцвэртэй байдлыг хангаж
as well as more safe.
би бодож байна.
be a priority.
or go down into the basement.
нуувч зоориндоо орох хэрэггүй.
because time is not on our side.
Цаг хугацаа бидний талд биш байна.
that can come out of the Ebola epidemic,
бэлэн байх ёстойг санууллаа.
warning, a wake-up call, to get ready.
дараагийн аюулд бэлэн байж чадна.
for the next epidemic.
ABOUT THE SPEAKER
Bill Gates - PhilanthropistA passionate techie and a shrewd businessman, Bill Gates changed the world while leading Microsoft to dizzying success. Now he's doing it again with his own style of philanthropy and passion for innovation.
Why you should listen
Bill Gates is the founder and former CEO of Microsoft. A geek icon, tech visionary and business trailblazer, Gates' leadership -- fueled by his long-held dream that millions might realize their potential through great software -- made Microsoft a personal computing powerhouse and a trendsetter in the Internet dawn. Whether you're a suit, chef, quant, artist, media maven, nurse or gamer, you've probably used a Microsoft product today.
In summer of 2008, Gates left his day-to-day role with Microsoft to focus on philanthropy. Holding that all lives have equal value (no matter where they're being lived), the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation has now donated staggering sums to HIV/AIDS programs, libraries, agriculture research and disaster relief -- and offered vital guidance and creative funding to programs in global health and education. Gates believes his tech-centric strategy for giving will prove the killer app of planet Earth's next big upgrade.
Read a collection of Bill and Melinda Gates' annual letters, where they take stock of the Gates Foundation and the world. And follow his ongoing thinking on his personal website, The Gates Notes. His new paper, "The Next Epidemic," is published by the New England Journal of Medicine.
Bill Gates | Speaker | TED.com